FICTION:
"Stop the Raid" legislation would increase the federal budget
deficit by more than $1 trillion over 10 years, without fixing
Social Security's long-term solvency problem.
FACT: "Stop
the Raid" legislation does not increase the long-term national
debt. Eliminating hidden borrowing will
appear to increase short-term deficits, but this is because
Congress only looks a few years into the future when it does its
budget. Look a few more years out and neither the amount of
spending nor the amount of borrowing will change. The only change
is that Congress is forced to report the actual level of its
deficit spending instead of using Social Security as a slush fund
to conceal part of it from the American people.
FICTION:
"Stop the Raid" uses an accounting gimmick. Counting the surplus
revenue twice is, in effect, a double raid.
FACT:
Congress today uses the Social Security surplus to cover up its
out-of-control spending habit. "Stop the Raid" would put an end to
that accounting gimmick and force Congress to honestly report the actual level of its deficit
spending.
FICTION:
"Stop the Raid" issues two sets of bonds on the same money.
FACT: "Stop
the Raid" would force Congress to use Social Security revenues to
pay for Social Security. That requires changes in the way that
Congress does its accounting. But if you look at the money coming
in each year and the money going out, that stays about the same as
it is now. How the government issues bonds between its different
programs doesn't matter so long as those numbers stay the same.
FICTION:
Social Security would be saddled with two new long-term obligations
that would further weaken the program. These would include
administrative costs to operate the private accounts and extra
expenditures required to make the accounts inheritable by
recipients' survivors.
FACT: There
would be no big increase in administrative costs. Personal accounts would be managed mainly by
existing methods. The non-partisan Social Security Administration estimates that
administrative costs would amount to about 0.3 percent of account
balances annually-that's less than you pay on your 401(k) or IRA.
SSA already issues an annual statement to workers that can be
easily and inexpensively expanded to show their account balances,
and most tasks can be handled by existing government workers or
contracted out.
Making accounts inheritable is a simple matter
of fairness, and it doesn't cost that much, either. It's not fair
that people could pay into Social Security all of their lives, die
before collecting a dime, and then leave nothing at all. "Stop the
Raid" won't solve this problem completely, but it's a big step in
the right direction.
FICTION:
Setting up accounts takes money out of Social Security (or the
Social Security trust fund), and so benefits will have to be
cut.
FACT:
These accounts wouldn't take money out of Social Security, they'd
keep it in Social Security. For two decades, Congress has spent
Social Security revenues on other government programs-in other
words, taking money out of Social Security. Personal
accounts would save Social Security surpluses and make sure that
they could only be used to pay Social Security benefits; this keeps
money in Social Security. It's plain wrong to say that
spending Social Security money on other things is somehow "saving"
it, and safekeeping Social Security money in accounts is somehow
"spending" it.
There is no alternative to accounts. Let's say
we do nothing-we know that in 12 years, in 2017, Social Security is
going to take in less money than it has promised to pay out in
benefits. In 2017, Congress will have to decide whether it wants to
raise taxes, run up the debt, cut benefits, or cut back hard on
other spending-there are no other options. How can this happen when
we're taking in so much extra money today in Social Security?
Easy-the money comes in and Congress spends it.
But when you put that extra money into
accounts, Congress can't spend it. So putting that money into
accounts means that the crunch isn't bad when it finally does come.
If you're collecting benefits then, you would get some from Social
Security, just like today, and some from your account. In total,
you would receive the same that's promised today-no cuts. There's
even the chance you could get a bit more than is promised today,
depending on how the accounts are set up.
FICTION:
"Stop the Raid" will require hefty tax increases.
FACT: Doing
nothing requires hefty tax increases. Come 2017, Congress will have
to figure out how it's going to pay for promised benefits because
Social Security won't be taking in enough money to cover the bill.
There are three options: run up the debt (which means future tax
hikes), make big cuts in other programs, or raise taxes. And after
2017, things don't get better; they get worse. Taxes keep going up,
other programs keep getting squeezed out, and the debt
explodes.
"Stop the Raid"
isn't a permanent fix for Social Security, but it's a step in the
right direction. It puts Social Security on sounder financial
footing by making sure that money that goes into Social Security
stays there and isn't spent on other things. Congress is still
going to have to figure out how to deal with the future costs of
Social Security, but "Stop the Raid" buys us a little time and
makes us better off than if we do nothing at all.
FICTION:
Putting Social Security's surplus into accounts is risky.
FACT: Are
government bonds risky? The millions of Americans who own them
don't think so. That's what the accounts would be invested in
initially-government bonds. After a few years, workers might have
the choice of a few other safe investments, like stock indexes and
bond funds. Whether you keep your money in government bonds or try
something else-that's your choice.
What's really
risky is doing nothing. According to Social Security itself, if
Congress does nothing now, the program starts paying out more than
it takes in 12 years from now. Then Congress has a choice: raise
taxes or cut benefits? If we do nothing today, we're gambling on
what Congress is going do 12 years from now and every year after
that.
FICTION:
"Stop the Raid" would create accounts that are so small as to be
meaningless.
FACT:
"Stop the
Raid" would create individual accounts just big enough to keep
Congress from spending Social Security's surplus revenues on
everything from highways and bridges to the Rock 'N Roll Hall of
Fame museum. The accounts would keep that money in Social Security
and use it to pay Social Security benefits. That is an important
step, and the accounts will be just the right size to accomplish
it.Congress could look
at bigger accounts, which are a good idea, in a couple years, but
stopping the raid on Social Security's trust fund now is an urgent
priority.