Hurricane
Katrina's human toll has been devastating. As well, the hurricane's
impact on already-high gasoline prices is hard to ignore.
Politicians are coming up with the usual list of easy answers to
ease pain at the pump, but unfortunately, they are the wrong
answers. Setting price caps, pumping lots of oil out of the
Strategic Petroleum Reserve, and going after industry
"price-gouging" and collusion will not have much of an impact, and
each comes with problems of its own. Waiving some gasoline
regulations, however, could help in the short term, and in the long
term, increased drilling and refining capacity will help to avert
disaster-driven price spikes.
The state of
Hawaii is set to try the easiest answer of them all, mandating
lower prices. State Senator Ron Menor, a supporter of the law
imposing price controls, believes that "over a period of time,
Hawaii consumers will realize savings at the pump."
Price controls
were tried before, by the federal government in the 1970s, and the
consequences were disastrous. The experience showed that attempts
to force gasoline prices below market levels invariably result in
shortages. Expensive gas gets replaced by scarce gas.
Those old enough
to remember waiting in long gas lines-and stations sometimes
running out before your turn-will get a real feeling of
déjà vu when Hawaii's price caps take effect. This is
not something that the other 49 states should do.
Others advocate
another quick fix: unloading the 700 million barrels of oil in the
Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR). The SPR is a federally-run oil
stockpile that was created for use in times of temporary oil supply
disruptions, such as an outbreak of hostilities in the Middle East
that cuts oil production or prevents tankers from getting through.
It can also be used for smaller supply disruptions, including those
caused by hurricanes. In such events, the SPR would be tapped to
fill the void and prevent a sharp price spike until regular
supplies come back on line.
The government is
set to release SPR oil to supply some Gulf-area refineries that
would otherwise sit idle due to a lack of petroleum. This would be
a limited release of several million barrels for a few weeks, until
the Katrina-damaged Gulf supplies become available again. A similar
release was done last year, in response to Hurricane Ivan, and
worked out well.
However, others
have been calling on the Administration to authorize a much larger
release of SPR oil in an effort to flood the market and bring
prices down. Long before Katrina, Sen. Charles Schumer (D-NY) was
calling on the President "to act immediately to reduce skyrocketing
prices at the gasoline pump by tapping the Strategic Petroleum
Reserve."
Using the SPR to
manipulate prices is a shortsighted strategy. Given that the global
price is set by the supply and demand of 84 million barrels per
day, 700 million barrels is not enough to make much of a difference
for very long. After a few months of slightly lower prices, we
would be right back to where we would have been anyway, andwe would
no longer have the SPR on hand in case of an even more severe
supply disruption.
High gasoline
prices have also led to calls for investigation of the oil
industry, in the hope that finding illegal collusion or other
illegal practices and bringing the perpetrators to justice will fix
the problem. Past price increases have led to many such
investigations, and for the most part, they have come up
empty-handed. It is worthwhile for the federal government to
conduct an additional investigation to ensure that no illegal
conduct is occurring this time, but the reality is that it is
unlikely to result in any relief at the pump.
Other "solutions"
are simply out of the question. For example, some in Congress have
called for a temporary repeal of the 18.4 cents per gallon federal
gas tax, which is used to build and maintain federal roads and
bridges, until prices go down. Given the recently-passed $286
billion highway bill and its multitude of pork barrel projects,
those gas tax revenues are already spoken for.
Some have called
for tougher federal vehicle mileage standards, even more stringent
then the Administration's recently-announced new standards for
small trucks and SUVs. Beyond raising consumer choice and safety
issues (more efficient vehicles are smaller and less safe in
collisions), the government simply cannot force people into smaller
cars overnight. Vehicle fleet turnover takes many years, and thus
tougher mileage standards are not an immediate answer to high gas
prices.
There are steps
for reducing oil and gasoline prices that do make sense. Allowing
more domestic oil drilling is one. Indeed, if we had more drilling
in currently off-limits areas in Alaska (including the Arctic
National Wildlife Refuge, which will be part of the budget debate
when Congress returns), the Pacific coast, and elsewhere across the
U.S., then we would not have been as dependent on the Gulf of
Mexico production that was impacted by Katrina. There is also room
to streamline the rules hampering expansions of refinery capacity,
which was barely adequate even before Katrina hit. More refinery
capacity would mean greater resiliency and therefore less price
volatility when some facilities experience downtime.
There are also
opportunities to simplify the complex regulation of gasoline. The
Environmental Protection Agency announced that, in light of
Katrina, it will temporarily waive several problematic fuel
regulations so that it will be easier to supply gasoline in the
weeks ahead. If this works, Congress should consider more permanent
streamlining of the maze of costly federal gasoline provisions.
Sure, these
solutions would take time to have their full effect and would
likely engender opposition from environmental activists and others.
They may not be the easy answers, but they are the ones Congress
should focus on when it returns after Labor Day.
Ben Lieberman is
Senior Policy Analyst in the Thomas A. Roe Institute for Economic
Policy Studies at The Heritage Foundation.