Plan Colombia-a six-year,
U.S.-backed plan to help Colombia combat drug trafficking and
terrorism and strengthen public institutions-is slated to end
in 2006. Initially, the plan lacked details and offered sanctuary
to violent guerrillas, but in 2002, newly elected President Alvaro
Uribe Vélez brought to bear the political will needed to
improve the strategy and bring illegal armed groups to
justice.
Thanks to expanded public
security, unemployment is down, the economy is growing,
justice reforms are taking hold, drug production has decreased, and
rural rebels have demobilized in record numbers. Yet Colombia needs
to expand terrorism-free zones, deploy more soldiers and police to
bring all rebel armies to justice, speed up institutional reforms,
and obtain better cooperation from international allies. As a
partner in this effort, the United States should:
-
Help Colombia strengthen its military and
police forces to defeat rural terrorist armies,
-
Prioritize development support for improving
government accountability and effectiveness,
-
Press Colombia to undertake stronger
economic reforms and advance free trade,
-
Promote more sustainable drug crop
eradication strategies, and
-
Encourage neighbors and international allies to
cooperate more closely in curbing regional
narcoterrorism.
A History of
Instability. Historically, weak
government and law enforcement have helped Colombia to
become a major smuggling nation. During the drug-boom years of the
1970s, Colombia became the primary source of marijuana reaching
American cities. As producers switched to coca and became more
prosperous, the countryside became more violent. The first Bush
Administration responded by launching a five-year, $2 billion
Andean counternarcotics initiative that helped Colombia defeat
major smuggling cartels.
Dismissive of these
efforts, the succeeding Clinton Administration cut funding,
decertified Colombia as cooperating on narcotics after
President Ernesto Samper was accused of taking campaign
contributions from drug lords, and withheld security assistance for
two years. During the interim period, bandit armies like the
communist Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC) took over
much of the trafficking.
In 1998, President
Andrés Pastrana made resumption of U.S. security assistance
a priority. His government authored Plan Colombia, which outlined a
partnership with the United States to reduce trafficking and end
rural conflict by strengthening the economy, reducing public debt,
modernizing the security forces, reforming institutions,
securing foreign partnerships, promoting alternate industries,
improving health and education, and achieving a negotiated
peace with armed rural groups. In 2000, the United States reversed
course, approving $1.3 billion in emergency support for Plan
Colombia and pursuing a comprehensive partnership in reforming
the Colombian state instead of narrowly targeting narcotics
trafficking.
Although skeptical of
President Pastrana's peace strategy of giving sanctuary to the FARC
rebels in hopes they would disarm, President George W. Bush pressed
Congress for additional assistance as well as the more expansive
Andean Regional and Andean Counternarcotics initiatives that
included Bolivia, Ecuador, Peru, and Brazil. In 2002, the flawed
peace process was discarded, and Alvaro Uribe was elected president
after pledging a more serious effort against
narcoterrorism.
Partial
Success. Uribe doubled aerial drug
crop eradication and collected a $780 million war tax to pay for
two new army battalions. As a consequence, mayors and police are
back in all 1,098 municipalities. Cultivation of coca crops
has declined by 33 percent, and cultivation of the opium poppy has
declined by 25 percent. From 2003 to 2004, terrorist attacks
declined by 42 percent while demobilizations and desertions
from rebel and paramilitary groups rose from 1,934 to
2,489.
Even though peace
negotiations with the Marxist rebels have not yet advanced, the
paramilitary United Self-Defense Forces (AUC) have begun a
bloc-by-bloc demobilization. In June 2005, the Colombian congress
passed a justice and peace law that offered leniency to most former
combatants, balanced by punishment for those who committed grievous
crimes. Moreover, increased security and certainty have boosted
public confidence and helped the national economy to recover from a
recession in 1999, growing by 3.9 percent in 2003. Unemployment
fell from a high of 20.5 percent in 2000 to 15 percent in
2004.
The Road Ahead.
Despite this welcome
progress, Colombia is not yet strong enough to stamp out drug
trafficking or force the Marxist rebels to demobilize. Moreover,
social and economic reforms need more resources, and public
institutions must improve at a faster pace for life in small towns
to improve noticeably. To help Colombia achieve its goals, the
Bush Administration should continue Plan Colombia funding. However,
it should target the $550 million provided this year to help
Colombia to:
-
Expand its security
forces to surround and
defeat illegal armed bands. The United States should help the
Colombian government to provide better air mobility and
training.
-
Improve local
governance to
consolidate state authority in terrorism-free zones.
-
Strengthen property rights,
ease burdensome business regulations, and advance free
trade, thereby allowing
small businesses to flourish and create jobs.
-
Promote more varied drug crop
eradication strategies through manual efforts, confiscating
cultivated areas, and researching coca-specific
mycoherbicides.
-
Encourage more cooperation from
regional and international allies in curbing regional narcoterrorism by
denying territory to narcoterrorists.
Conclusion.
Colombia is an
important trade partner and democratic linchpin in South America.
It was a disintegrating state in the 1990s and has managed to turn
itself around with help from the United States and other allies.
Continuing this partnership will sustain stable markets for
U.S. businesses and reduce the regional instability caused by
lawlessness and narcoterrorism.
Stephen
Johnson is Senior Policy Analyst for Latin America
in the Douglas and Sarah Allison Center for Foreign Policy Studies,
a division of the Kathryn and Shelby Cullom Davis Institute for
International Studies, at The Heritage
Foundation.