The election in
December of 39-year old David Cameron as leader of the British
Conservative Party has dramatically transformed the fortunes of the
world's oldest political organization. The latest polls place the
Conservatives in a clear lead over the ruling Labour Party for the
first time since 1992. The prospect of a Labour defeat in 2009 or
2010, previously unthinkable, is now a distinct possibility.
The extraordinary
political rise of David Cameron has been matched by a decline in
the standing of Prime Minister Tony Blair. A recent
Guardian/ICM poll registered a 55 percent disapproval rating
for Blair, with 66 percent of British voters agreeing that the
Labour government has run out of steam.
In contrast, Cameron's approval rating stands at 51 percent.
Alarmingly for Labour, Blair's heir apparent, the Chancellor of the
Exchequer Gordon Brown, fares even worse in the polls when he is
matched against Cameron. With Brown as projected leader, the
Conservative Party's lead is significantly increased.
It remains to be
seen whether Cameron will maintain the solid lead he has generated
in the polls. However, there is no doubting that the Conservative
Party has returned as a force to be reckoned with in British
politics and on the European stage. Cameron has already thrown down
the gauntlet to the Euro-federalists, declaring his intention to
remove Britain's Conservatives from the European People's Party
(EPP), a political grouping in the European Parliament that is
committed to the idea of "ever closer union." This bold move is
clearly in line with the British national interest and bodes well
for future British policy toward the EU.
On the broader
international canvas, however, Cameron's ideas remain an enigma. He
has said little about long-term British policy with regard to Iraq
or the threat to Western security posed by rogue regimes such as
Iran and Syria. Nor has he outlined a coherent conservative
strategy for waging the war against al Qaeda. Perhaps most
significantly, the new Tory leader has had very little to say about
relations with Britain's closest ally, the United States.
Restoring Relations
with the Bush Administration
In many respects
Cameron inherits a poisoned chalice as Conservative Party leader in
his dealings with the U.S. The relationship between the Bush White
House and Cameron's predecessor Michael Howard was tense at the
best of times. Howard's ex post facto criticism of the
Anglo-American decision to go to war in Iraq, as well as his
attacks on Tony Blair's unwavering support for President Bush,
seriously damaged relations between conservatives on either side of
the Atlantic.
Howard was
perceived by Washington as playing the anti-American card in an
effort to tap into widespread anti-war sentiment. At the same time,
British conservatives resented what they perceived to be an
exclusive and close political relationship between the Bush
Administration and the leadership of the Labour Party. The problem
was further compounded by a confused U.S. policy on Europe that
came across as favorable to the idea of further political
integration in Europe, an anathema to most British conservatives.
This fraught
relationship was extraordinary and unprecedented. A right-of-center
U.S. administration had developed close ties with a British social
democratic party that had abhorred U.S. foreign policy for most of
the 1980s and 1990s, while largely cold-shouldering a British
conservative political movement that had for decades been a staunch
supporter of the United States. In parallel, a substantial minority
of British conservatives adopted a virulent strand of
anti-Americanism that had been the exclusive preserve of the
Left.
In the background, British public opinion toward the United States
turned increasingly hostile, resulting in a public diplomacy
challenge of epic proportions.
Howard's departure
and Cameron's ascendancy, however, offer an excellent opportunity
for a fresh start in relations between British and American
conservatives. The appointments of William Hague as Shadow Foreign
Secretary and Liam Fox as Shadow Defence Secretary bode well for a
renaissance in the transatlantic conservative alliance. Both are
strong Atlanticists with extensive ties to the United States. In
his previous brief as Shadow Foreign Secretary, Fox made numerous
trips to Washington, building bridges and laying important
groundwork for future cooperation.
A White House
Meeting with President Bush
It is in the best
interest of both the Bush Administration and Britain's
conservatives to put aside past disagreements and start talking to
each other again. Both need each other and share common interests
on the world stage. British conservatives have an important role to
play in influencing U.S. policy toward Europe. The Conservative
Party should send the message that further political integration in
the European Union poses a huge strategic threat to the
Anglo-American alliance.
It is in the Bush
Administration's firm interest to cultivate close ties with the new
Tory leader. The United States needs strong Conservative Party
support for the global battle against terrorism, the building of a
stable Iraq, trade liberalization, and a host of other foreign
policy issues.
Tony Blair deserves credit for his central
role in the war on terror and for the courage of his convictions in
going to war in Iraq in the face of tremendous opposition from much
of his own party and several powerful European governments. His
steadfast support for the United States in the four years since
September 11 and his key role in building the international
coalition of the willing demonstrated principled leadership as well
as vision.
However, Blair's
days as Prime Minister are numbered, and the British Government's
pro-American outlook may not last beyond his premiership, which
could end as early as 2007. In addition, it should be acknowledged
that Blair made several major errors of judgment on the
international stage, including his support for the European
Constitution, a blueprint for a federal Europe that threatens both
U.S. and British interests.
While maintaining
a close working relationship with the Blair Government, the Bush
Administration must increase its dialogue with British
conservatives, despite the likelihood of strong opposition from
both Downing Street and the Foreign Office. It will be a delicate
balancing act, but nevertheless one that must be implemented. There
should be regular contact between senior officials at the National
Security Council, Pentagon, and State Department and the
Conservatives' foreign policy team. In addition, the President and
other senior administration officials should meet with the new
Conservative leader at the White House.
A recent precedent
was set by the February 2003 visit to Washington of then-German
opposition leader Angela Merkel, who met with the Vice President,
Secretary of Defense, National Security Adviser, and several key
senators.
In July 2005, the President met Merkel's leading foreign policy
adviser, Wolfgang Schauble (now interior minister) in the Oval
Office.
A high-level trip to the United States will be an important
opportunity for David Cameron to present himself as a potential
world leader.
In his first visit
to Washington, Cameron should affirm his commitment to the
U.S.-British alliance, strongly back Britain's presence in Iraq,
and call for an aggressive British role in the global war on
terror. In the spirit of its two most successful modern leaders,
Winston Churchill and Margaret Thatcher, the Conservative Party
must once again be the home of the special relationship. It is a
partnership that has bonded the world's two leading nations for
over 60 years and remains the central bulwark in the defense of
Western civilization against terrorism and totalitarianism.
Nile
Gardiner, Ph.D., is the Bernard and Barbara Lomas Fellow, and
John
Hulsman, Ph.D., is Senior Research Fellow in European Affairs,
at the Margaret Thatcher Center for Freedom in the Kathryn and
Shelby Cullom Davis Institute for International Studies at The
Heritage Foundation.