Lawmakers on
Capitol Hill are grabbing at straws to put off inevitable gasoline
price hikes so Americans won't have to change their consumption
habits. Now that China's state petroleum company, SINOPEC, plans to
drill in Cuban waters between Havana and the Florida Keys, they are
reacting to foreign competition as well.
Some in Congress
think the United States should join the Chinese so they don't
recover most of Cuba's hydrocarbons. Others would block all
drilling in the Florida Straits to keep the Chinese from
establishing a presence there, safeguard coral reefs, and reassure
tourists who don't want to see oil derricks on the
horizon.
There is a more
practical middle ground:
-
To counter
current price hikes, regulators should eliminate supply bottlenecks
by promoting refinery expansion, eliminating unnecessary gasoline
blend requirements, and by easing tariffs on imported
ethanol.
Come on
in, the water's fine
Brazilian,
Spanish, and Canadian companies have drilled in Cuba's Economic
Exclusionary Zone for years, ever since geologic surveys suggested
potential deposits in the North Cuban Basin between Key West and
Havana. (See Map 1.)

Until now, few in
Washington worried because commercial quantities of lightweight
crude had never been found there, but China's entry into Cuba's
hydrocarbon industry, which was announced in January 2006, has
raised expectations. No one doubts the People's Republic is serious
in its desire to fuel its rapidly growing economy or to flex its
commercial muscle and even defend its interests near U.S.
shores.
This past year,
Cuba dangled a tempting offer in front of U.S. oil firms. Like
other private suitors, these firms were invited to bear all
exploration and drilling costs in return for a share of any oil
produced in partnership with Cuba's state petroleum company. Some
in Congress favor partial lifting of U.S. trade sanctions against
the Castro regime to let American firms enter such
arrangements.
Not so
fast
Members of
Florida's congressional delegation don't think exploration in U.S.
or Cuban waters is a good idea, and argue that any leaks and loose
byproducts could harm marine habitats and threaten Florida's $50
billion tourism industry. Moreover, nearby Chinese drilling
platforms could provide better signal reception for electronic
eavesdropping activities now reportedly conducted on the
island.
Florida lawmakers
want to preserve an existing 1980s-era ban on oil and gas
exploration and extend the off-limits zone to more than 200 miles
off Florida's shores, which would include the western end of Cuba.
New legislation would prevent U.S. renewal of the 1977 agreement
that allows Cuba to conduct commercial activity on its side of the
Florida Straits. In theory, foreign drillers would have to leave,
including the Chinese.
Practical
pitfalls
Any response to
the issue of oil and gas exploration in the Florida Straits will
have long-term ramifications. Lifting U.S. sanctions against the
Castro regime to permit joint ventures with the Cuban state raises
security concerns and reduces incentives for a transition away from
communism when Cuba's aging dictator dies. If wells produce, U.S.
oil platforms would aid a hostile despot who once wrote that his
destiny was to make war on the United States.
Such wells could
also be targets for asset seizure-the regime's early history of
expropriations should be a warning. More recently, Canada-based
FirstKey Technologies spent $9 million to figure out how to
renovate an old Soviet-built power plant, but then reportedly lost
its stake in 1999 when Cuban officials took the plans and used them
to shop for other partners.
Elsewhere, Castro
ally Hugo Chávez in Venezuela just took over local
operations of France's Total and Italy's Eni petroleum companies
for their unwillingness to pay higher taxes. In April, Bolivian
president Evo Morales told foreign gas field operators to hand over
more earnings or get out. Ideologically friendly state companies
from China and Iran are proving more compatible partners for these
regimes.
Blocking foreign
energy production in Cuban waters may be impractical. The United
States could have trouble suddenly laying claim to an economic zone
it has ceded to Cuba. As one congressman pointed out, Canadian
companies drill as close as 50 miles to American shores near Maine,
Washington, and Lake Ontario. Fears of additional 200-mile no-drill
zones around the United States could drive gasoline prices
higher.
In defending such
a move, America might have to police waters that extend south of
Cuba. Support from allied nations could come at a steep price or
not at all since the United States has already called in chits for
operations in the Middle East. Likewise, personnel, hardware, and
fuel to enforce such a ban are largely tied up.
What
Congress should do
Instead of
debating whether to permit or block drilling in nearby Cuban
waters, Congress should:
-
Relieve
supply line bottlenecks for the near term. Federal policy
should promote fuel diversity, so that markets, not government
regulations and taxpayer subsidies, determine abundant supply. It
should ease complicated regulations that limit refinery expansion
and mandate complicated regional recipes for gasoline that have
made it difficult for existing refineries to meet growing demands.
Congress should eliminate the current 54-cent per gallon tariff on
imported ethanol.
-
In the
long term, promote the responsible development of U.S.-controlled
energy resources in the eastern Caribbean and elsewhere to
lessen the nation's dependence on imports and vulnerability to
disruptions in supply. The Bush administration and Congress should
elaborate appropriate safeguards to protect fragile habitats and
ensure that commercial operations remain far enough offshore to
avoid impacting tourism. U.S. vigilance in these waters could help
safeguard environmental concerns over drilling on both sides of the
Straits and alert U.S. decision-makers to possible hostile military
or intelligence uses of foreign platforms.
-
Allow
market forces to shape demand. If gasoline gets too
expensive when demand exceeds supply, consumers will change their
consumption habits, promoting the development of alternate
technologies such as fuel cells and hydrogen power. No one should
get too comfortable with the status quo.
Conclusion
Drilling wells
won't lower prices in the near term. Exploration is speculative,
and there is a lag time for viable wells to start producing. So
far, existing fields near Cuban beaches have produced small
quantities of poor-quality sulfurous crude that must be blended
with lighter oil to refine into gasoline. Addressing our own
limited refining capacity, complicated blend requirements for
fragmented internal markets, and senseless tariffs on imported
ethanol will help lower prices more quickly.
Depletion of known
reserves is a fact, however. To keep our economy moving until
renewable energy sources come online, petroleum exploration must
continue. The most practical place to look is right here at home.
It makes little sense to permit U.S. oil firms to explore Cuban
waters, let a hostile dictator reap profits, and then allow him to
kick such firms out. Instead, they should be able to tap adjacent
U.S. seabeds-where exploration is under U.S. environmental
scrutiny-that share the same structures and potential deposits.
Stephen
Johnson is Senior Policy Analyst in the Douglas
and Sarah Allison Center for Foreign Policy Studies at The Heritage
Foundation.