High oil prices, currently
triple the average of the 1990s, are the main cause of today's high
gasoline prices. But they are not the only cause. The cost of
refining oil into gasoline has also risen, due in part to
unnecessarily costly and onerous federal refinery regulations. One
pending bill, The Refinery Permit Process Schedule Act (H.R. 5254),
takes steps to streamline the regulatory process. Reining in
refinery regulations should lead to increased refining capacity and
thus lower prices.
Inadequate Domestic Refining Capacity
No new refinery has been
built in the U.S. since the 1970s, and even expansions of existing
refineries have not kept pace with growing demand for gasoline in
recent years. Consequently, the price consumers pay at the pump
reflects not only high oil prices due to tight supplies, but also
high refining costs due to tight refining capacity.
Domestic gasoline output
and gasoline imports together are barely adequate even under the
best of circumstances, and the lack of spare refining capacity
leaves little margin for error. This is especially true during the
high-demand summer months. In fact, there is so little cushion that
even minor incidents that knock a single refinery offline can boost
prices nationwide. More major events-such as Hurricane like
Katrina, which impacted 14 percent of refining capacity-can send
prices skyrocketing.
Part of the reason that
capacity is so tight is costly and time-consuming regulations
affecting refinery operations. Most stem from the Clean Air Act and
became much more stringent after that statute's 1990 rewrite.
According to the Federal Trade Commission, "[E]nvironmental laws
and regulations have required substantial and expensive refinery
upgrades, particularly over the past 15 years."
The need for these
additional environmental measures is questionable, given that air
pollution from refineries and other sources was already in sharp
decline before they were enacted.
Nonetheless, the existing statutory requirements and Environmental
Protection Agency (EPA) rules remain in place, and the EPA
continues to promulgate new rules.
By some estimates, as much
as 25 percent of capital outlays in the refining sector goes to
environmental regulatory compliance. This investment, several
billion dollars annually, is money that is spent maintaining
existing capacity, rather than expanding it. And not only do these
costly regulations siphon resources away from refinery expansions,
but they also make those expansions more expensive and
protracted.
According to the
projections through 2030 from the Department of Energy's Energy
Information Administration (EIA), "[D]emand for refined products
continues to increase more rapidly than refining
capacity…."
Though increased imports of gasoline, currently near 10 percent and
rising, can partially fill the gap created by inadequate domestic
capacity, this trend does not bode well for future gasoline
prices.
A
Modest Pro-Capacity Step
H.R. 5254 is a modest
attempt to rein in this regulatory excess. It seeks only to
expedite the permitting process and judicial review for refinery
expansions. It does not make substantive changes to the underlying
regulations.
To be sure, substantive
regulatory changes would be well justified. For example, the costly
and environmentally unnecessary New Source Review program creates
massive costs and delays for refinery expansions, accomplishes
little for air quality, and in some instances is counterproductive,
leading to higher levels of pollution. Unreasonable deadlines in
EPA's new ozone standards will create operational problems for many
refineries and should be modified. Overall, there is ample room to
prune or discard many refinery regulations that are outdated,
redundant, unnecessarily complex, or overly time consuming. Many
could be cut back, and these changes would not jeopardize air
quality.
Nonetheless, speeding the
permit process is a good first step in an area where little has
been accomplished. Measures that sought to remove regulatory
impediments to refinery expansion were considered in last year's
energy bill, but many in Congress opposed them, claiming that they
were either giveaways to big oil or environmental rollbacks. Though
these allegations are questionable, they were persuasive enough so
that the final version of the Energy Policy Act of 2005 did little
to streamline refinery regulations.
H.R. 5254 also has
provisions that would make closed military bases available as
potential sites for new refineries. This is an interesting idea,
but it is unclear whether any such facilities are suitable for a
new refinery. Many experts think provisions facilitating expansions
of existing refineries are more promising than efforts to build new
ones.
In sum, H.R. 5254
addresses one of the contributors to today's high gasoline prices -
excessive regulations that block hamper needed additions to
refinery capacity - and as such could be part of the solution to
the pain at the pump.
Ben
Lieberman is Senior Policy Analyst in the Thomas A. Roe
Institute for Economic Policy Studies at The Heritage
Foundation.