Two major
terrorism plots in the last six weeks highlight Pakistan's central
role in the war on terrorism. One of these plots-a plan to blow up
airline flights mid-air between the United Kingdom and the United
States-was successfully thwarted because British, American, and
Pakistani security agencies worked together. The other-a series of
bombings July 11 that killed nearly 200 on commuter trains in
Mumbai, India-has been linked by Indian officials to a terrorist
group operating in Pakistan. These plots demonstrate the need for
more effective engagement with Pakistan that encourages it to widen
its terrorism crackdown beyond al-Qaeda to local extremist groups.
This approach could reap great dividends in the war on
terrorism.
Pakistani
cooperation since 9/11 has been critical in helping to degrade
al-Qaeda's ability to plan and execute catastrophic acts of
terrorism. Islamabad has arrested several key al-Qaeda leaders and
conducted military operations in tribal areas along the
Pakistan-Afghanistan border over the last two years. These
operations have resulted in the deaths of hundreds of Pakistani
soldiers, which is why Pakistani officials chafe when Western media
reports discount their country's contribution to the war on
terrorism.
Even so, the
airliner plot and the Mumbai bombings, both linked to
Pakistan-based terrorist groups, should prompt U.S. policymakers to
think more critically about how to work with Pakistan to address
the increasingly dangerous problems of extremism and militancy in
that country. Tackling these problems now will determine
longer-term success in fighting global terrorism.
A Three-Pronged
Approach
First, the U.S.
must convince Pakistan to condemn the use of violence for political
objectives and to disrupt the operations of groups involved in
terrorism, including those operating in Kashmir. Reports emerged
yesterday that one of the main figures involved in the airliner
plot-British citizen Rashid Rauf, who was arrested in Pakistan last
week-had been a member of a Pakistan-based terrorist group that
operates in Indian Kashmir, the Jaish-e-Mohammed (JEM). Pakistan
has officially banned domestic terrorist groups like JEM and the
Lashkar-e-Tayyiba (LET, now referred to as Jamaat ul Dawa) but has
taken little concrete action to stop their activities. Although JEM
and LET focus primarily on militancy in Kashmir, their pan-Islamic
objectives and anti-West views mirror those of al-Qaeda.
President Pervez
Musharraf, the victim of at least two assassination attempts,
should understand the danger radical militant groups pose to his
country. Yet he continues to distinguish between radical groups
fighting in Kashmir and al-Qaeda, in the apparent belief that his
country's interests are better served if he tackles the Kashmir
groups gradually. But time is not on his side. The longer these
groups exist, the more support they attract, the more radical they
become, and the greater the threat they pose to his country and the
international community.
Pakistan's August
9 arrest of LET leader Hafiz Mohammad Sayeed is a step in the right
direction, but the government must keep pressuring these groups by
shutting down their training camps, restricting their funding
sources, confiscating their weapons, and destroying their ability
to propagate their extremist, violent message. Firm action against
the LET would also help defuse tensions with India, which has
repeatedly raised its concerns about the group and suspects it may
be linked to the Mumbai bombings.
The same holds for
Pakistan's treatment of the remaining Taliban members in the
country. In a televised national address last month, Musharraf
warned that Taliban elements were trying to threaten Pakistan's
moderate, progressive society and vowed to crack down on extremism.
The key question is whether Musharraf will follow his words with
action.
Second, to improve
Pakistani public opinion toward America, the U.S. should structure
its assistance programs in a way that demonstrates support for
improving the lives of average Pakistanis and doesn't appear to be
merely buying regime support for counterterrorism cooperation. U.S.
economic assistance to Pakistan since 9/11 has focused largely on
debt relief and direct support to the government and, to a lesser
extent, on education, health care, and development. The U.S. needs
to steer more assistance toward projects that touch the grassroots
of society and fortify democratic institutions. Free, fair,
and participatory elections next year would open up the political
playing field and help limit the influence of anti-West,
pro-Taliban parties.
The robust
response of the U.S. government to the devastating earthquake that
hit Pakistan on October 8, 2005, shows how aid can help shape
attitudes toward Americans. A poll conducted by Terror Free
Tomorrow, a Washington-based NGO, indicates that the number of
Pakistanis with favorable views of the U.S. doubled from 23 percent
in May 2005 to 46 percent in November 2005. Yet it shouldn't take a
natural catastrophe for the Pakistani people to understand that the
U.S. cares about them. U.S. policymakers need to think more
carefully about ways to influence public opinion through our
multi-year, multi-billion dollar aid program.
Third, the U.S.
needs to be more creative in its diplomacy with the Pakistan
government to encourage President Musharraf to take actions that
may be politically challenging. Washington should leverage its
influence more effectively, especially given the Bush
Administration's landmark decision to sell F-16s to Pakistan for
the first time in 16 years. This significant demonstration of U.S.
support for Pakistan's long-term security gives Musharraf
ammunition in responding to critics who question the benefits of an
expanded relationship with the U.S.
Conclusion
To achieve more
successes in the war on terrorism like the foiled airliner plot,
the U.S. must continue robust, high-level engagement with Pakistan.
One of the chief purposes of this engagement should be to get
Pakistan to crack down on domestic groups that propagate violence,
undermine values of peace and moderation, and support the
destructive and hateful ideology of al-Qaeda. Without a broader
view of countering terrorism, President Musharraf will not achieve
his goal of an enlightened, moderate Pakistan-and the civilized
world will be more likely to suffer further acts of mass murder and
destruction.
Lisa Curtis is
Senior Research Fellow in the Asian Studies Center at The Heritage
Foundation.