The following is Larry Kudlow's November 13 address to
members of The Heritage Foundation's President's Club at
the fall 2006 President's Club meeting, held at the Ronald Reagan
International Trade Center in Washington, DC.
We were endowed by our Creator with the inalienable rights of
life, liberty and the pursuit of happiness. We were not endowed by
the Federal Government, we were not endowed by entitlements, we
were not endowed by pork barrel spending, we were not endowed by
budgetary earmarks. We got our freedom and our liberty from the
Creator, from God. That is a lesson conservatives have to
remember.
Now, it is interesting. I'm an economist, at least I used to be.
We had some data points today. The government published its budget
and tax figures for the month of October, the first month of the
new fiscal year 2007. And after three years of lower marginal tax
rates on personal incomes, capital gains and dividends, the revenue
tax collections at lower tax rates are soaring, continue to soar at
a 12 percent rate. At a 12 percent rate this will mark, I think,
the third straight year at a double digit rate. If that doesn't
justify the Laffer Curve, I don't know what will.
But unfortunately the spending rates continue to hover around 8
percent and therein lies the problem, and therein lies one of the
issues of this election. It's an invisible-hand issue; it is not
being discussed in the mainstream media. A
simple-back-of-the-envelope calculation suggests that if we had
held government spending to something on the order of about 6
percent-no big deal, even that's almost twice the rate of
inflation-the budget would be virtually in balance, at lower tax
rates today in this fiscal year. if we had made modest spending
restraint adjustments, on entitlements and non-entitlements alike.
That's how close-that's how good a story this could have been.
[Applause.]
If we had held government spending to something on the order of
about 6 percent-no big deal, even that's almost twice the rate of
inflation-the budget would be virtually in balance
That's how good a story this could have been. And there is no
institution that has talked more about this than The Heritage
Foundation. That's why I'm so pleased to be able to speak this
evening on these points. The idea that there's something called big
government conservatism and rapid spending, the idea that pork
barrel spending and corrupt budget earmarks wins elections helped
us to lose this election. I know Iraq was a big issue, but that's
what helped us to lose this election. [Applause.]
If you look very carefully at the exit polls and rank the top
issues, alright, let me start with this-extremely important
issues-corruption was 41 percent, terrorism and the economy 39,
Iraq 35. If you go down one notch and say, ask them extremely and
very important issues, economy 82, corruption 74, terrorism 72,
Iraq 67, from which I conclude it is still the economy, stupid.
Now, the point I want to make this evening is that even though
the economy is functioning at a healthy rate, with low
unemployment, plenty of job creation, plenty of wealth creation,
plenty of home ownership, the fact remains under the surface the
economic issue has suffered from the issues of over spending and
budget deficits. A recent Boxwood Poll by the Club for Growth shows
that the Republican Party has lost its brand as the party of low
spending and limited government. That's what the data show. People
for low spending and limited government are now voting Democrat in
this last election. That may be the dumbest vote they've ever made,
but there you have it, we have lost that great issue. It is not
good. We have to take it back. [Applause.]
In addition to maintaining low tax rates, maybe getting rid of
the corporate income tax altogether, maintaining the retirement
accounts, maintaining all of the investor class tax-free savings
accounts including the key aspect of Social Security reform, things
that I think my other friends and colleagues have spoken about- I
have a very simple idea for the White House and the new Republican
leadership in Congress. Don't be on the defensive, do not appease
the left, do not slide left, do not move your lips. [Applause.]
Instead, merely propose a spending limitation bill on the road to a
balanced budget at current low tax rates. [Applause.] I want to see
this. Conservative Democrats. Red-what do we call them now-it used
to be boll weevil-Blue Dog Democrats. They are conservative. I've
interviewed a bunch of them on the program. Ross Perot voters,
independents who deserted the GOP heavily.
The CNN poll released, I don't know, 10 or 12 days ago showed
that the Reagan message of limited government and limited services
is still intact by nearly two to one. They put that out. I don't
know if anybody paid attention to it. It was a classic Reagan
message: by about 55-35, people said government is still reaching
too far.
I want a spending limit PAYGO. The Democrats will offer a
revenue PAYGO, which means when they propose a hundred billion
dollars of additional spending on education and health-and Lord
knows what else-in the next session of Congress, they will work to
raise taxes to finance it. That's a phony revenue PAYGO. I want the
GOP-House, Senate, White House-to be united behind a spending-limit
PAYGO which says if you increase spending here, you must lower
spending here. It's very simple. [Applause.] This was the message
of the high tide of the Gingrich army, Congress in the middle
1990s. Bill Clinton is getting credit for a balanced budget.
Those are old fashioned, Reaganesque Republican ideas. We need
to renovate them. A spending limit-and then complete the task of
tax reform, and then complete the task of tax free investor savings
accounts, and then complete the task of free trade, and other
economic growth policies, and then go after the deregulation of
business, but before we get even to the Thanksgiving week, before
the Democratic leadership runs away with the politics of the day, I
want to see all three branches of the Republican party go for this
spending limitation and balanced budget approach at lower tax
rates. That is our job, that should be our response, right now.
[Applause.]
And if they won't go there, if we can't get it done, then the
great think tanks like Heritage and all of us, the scribblers, the
broadcasters, you name it, this should be our mantra, I want a
spending limitation, balanced budget approach at low tax rates to
promote economic growth and regain the Reagan high ground
principles. [Applause.] That is my message tonight.
You can only get one point, one good point on the air in a six-
or seven-minute segment. Mine is spending limits, balanced budgets,
low tax rates, and Ronald Reagan, and then we can come back in 2008
as I know we will.
Ed Feulner, thank you for having me.
Larry Kudlow is an economist and host of CNBC's "Kudlow and
Company".