A significant national security development took place last
weekend that barely garnered a footnote in the national
media: A U.S. missile defense interceptor hit--and destroyed--a
target missile over the Pacific. This is a big step forward for the
U.S.'s leverage against hostile regimes that would develop
ballistic missiles.
The successful test of the Terminal High Altitude Area Defense
(THAAD) system adds to U.S. land-based capabilities to counter the
growing short and medium range ballistic missile and nuclear
threats from rogue states like Iran and North Korea.
Ultimately, it will become an important component of the layered
missile defense system the Bush Administration is pursuing for
protecting the homeland, American troops deployed abroad, and U.S.
friends and allies.
THAAD is unique. As a key component of the U.S.'s planned
"layered" missile defense system, it is the only interceptor under
development designed to destroy incoming short- and medium-range
ballistic missiles both inside and outside the atmosphere with
lethal hit-to-kill technology. (The January 26 test destroyed the
target missile insidethe atmosphere.)
The layered missile defense system will include components
capable of intercepting missiles in all phases of flight, including
the early boost-phase, the high-altitude midcourse phase, and the
high-velocity terminal phase.
THAAD is designed to destroy a missile in its terminal phase as
the missile approaches its target. THAAD will not only complement
the land-based, terminal-phase Patriot (PAC-3) system, but it will
also knock out incoming missiles at a higher altitude than Patriot,
providing an added layer of security.
THAAD's higher altitude intercept capability will also provide a
broader area of protection than the Patriot system. And THAAD's
terminal defense will allow the U.S. missile defense system to deal
with decoys, often deployed on ballistic missiles to confuse and
overwhelm missile defenses. (Both Iran and North Korea are looking
at lightweight decoys for their ballistic missiles.)
As the Department of Defense moves forward with THAAD,
policymakers should keep in mind certain other good ideas as well.
These are important for making the U.S. missile defense system as
efficient and effective as possible in countering the missile--and
nuclear--threat.
In the near-term, the THAAD tests should continue to be
conducted by soldiers--as opposed to just contractors--to increase
their experience with the system and provide an important feedback
loop to the developers.
Also, in the future, the system should be tested against a
target that is outside the atmosphere as soon as possible to push
the envelope on that important capability.
In the longer term, the Pentagon should improve THAAD's
capability to counter even longer-range missiles with higher
reentry speeds such as intercontinental ballistic missiles
(ICBMs).
This will allow THAAD to add to the capability of the
Ground-Based Midcourse Defense (GMD) interceptors already fielded
in Alaska and California against ICBMs, which both Iran and North
Korea are developing.
Finally, policymakers need to pay close attention to the
development of a boost-phase intercept capability, which is lagging
the midcourse and terminal component development. Boost-phase
intercepts are the most effective way to counter ballistic missiles
since this is the phase of flight when missiles are the most
vulnerable.
Given the flight trajectories of ballistic missiles, the ideal
deployment location for boost-phase interceptors is space. The U.S.
should be moving as aggressively as possible to complement ground
and sea-based missile defenses with the development and deployment
programs for space-based interceptors.
The ballistic missile and nuclear threat to the homeland and
U.S. friends and allies posed by states such as North Korea and
Iran is real and growing. As a result, the U.S. ballistic missile
defense program needs to move forward as quickly as possible.
Doing so will not only provide protection against hostile
regimes in the possession of ballistic missiles and weapons of mass
destruction, but may ultimately lead these regimes to question the
utility of these programs and, hopefully, make the decision to
peacefully abandon them.
Peter Brookes is Chung Ju
Yung Fellow for Policy Studies and Senior Fellow for National
Security Affairs in the Kathryn and Shelby Cullom Davis Institute
for International Studies at The Heritage Foundation. Baker Spring is F. M. Kirby
Research Fellow in National Security Policy in the Douglas and
Sarah Allison Center for Foreign Policy Studies, a division of the
Kathryn and Shelby Cullom Davis Institute for International
Studies, at the Heritage Foundation.