Post-Cold War security requires a new nuclear weapons policy,
operational doctrine, arsenal, and infrastructure. The Bush
Administration, which announced a new strategic policy with the
Nuclear Posture Review (NPR) in 2002 and issued a draft of the new
Doctrine for Joint Nuclear Operations for the military in
2005, is now moving to construct a nuclear arsenal to meet the
needs of the new policy and doctrine, which directs the
fielding of both offensive and defensive strategic nuclear and
conventional forces to reduce to an absolute minimum the
possibility that any hostile state will be able to launch a
successful strategic attack on the U.S. or its friends and
allies.
While the Bush Administration does not use the term, this
constitutes a damage-limitation strategy. In this context, the
National Nuclear Security Administration (NNSA) announced on March
2, 2007, that a joint Department of Defense and NNSA Nuclear
Weapons Council had selected a Lawrence Livermore National
Laboratory and Sandia National Laboratory design for the Reliable
Replacement Warhead (RRW). The RRW is to be provided to the Navy to
replace existing warheads on a portion of its submarine-based
nuclear-armed missiles.
The NNSA's description of the requirements behind the design and
the design itself, however, seems to indicate that meeting the
requirements for military utility and effectiveness was not the
most important consideration in the selection process. This should
set off alarm bells on Capitol Hill. An effective nuclear deterrent
force remains essential to the protection of U.S. security. An RRW
design that fails to meet the requirements for the
damage-limitation strategy, which is dramatically
different from and more taxing in certain ways than the Cold War
strategy for deterring the Soviet Union, would not only be of
limited capability, but could also be counterproductive
insofar as it bolsters a perception of effectiveness that is a
delusion.
A Question of Emphasis. The NNSA's announcement
listed seven attributes of the RRW program as important
achievements reached through the design competition:
- Assuring long-term confidence in the reliability of the nuclear
weapons stockpile,
- Enhancing the security of U.S. nuclear weapons,
- Improving the safety of the stockpile,
- Developing a responsive infrastructure,
- Sustaining nuclear weapons design and production
skills,
- Reducing the size of the weapons stockpile, and
- Decreasing the likelihood of the need for an explosive nuclear
test.
All of these attributes are appropriate for a successful
RRW program, and all but the last two are essential. None, however,
speaks to the issue of how the RRW will meet the needs of the new
damage-limitation strategy that presumably involves entirely
new targeting requirements, more urgent timelines for conducting
operations, and mating of the warhead with new delivery vehicles
beyond the existing Navy missiles.
Acting NNSA Administrator Thomas P. D'Agostino, in testimony
before the House Subcommittee on Strategic Forces on March 20,
2007, indicated that ensuring the utility of the RRW in meeting new
military requirements has been all but ignored: "We are pursuing
the RRW strategy to ensure the long-term sustainment of the
military capabilities provided by warheads in the existing
stockpile, not to develop warheads for new or different military
missions."
Need to Focus on Military Utility. It appears that
Congress needs to remind the NNSA Administrator that the NPR
and the Doctrine for Joint Nuclear Operations have already
designated new military missions for nuclear weapons and that it is
the NNSA's responsibility to design and build the warheads needed
to fulfill those missions.
This does not mean that Congress should withhold support
for the RRW as was done by the House Armed Services Committee in
its May 10 mark-up of the fiscal 2008 Defense Authorization bill.
The Committee took the short-sighted action of reducing
funding for the RRW program by 40 percent. Rather, Congress should
accelerate the program and broaden its purpose. Specifically,
Congress should:
- Provide the NNSA with the full $6.5 billion
requested for weapons activities in fiscal year 2008.
- Direct the NNSA to refine the RRW's design and build it
to provide the military with the capabilities to hold at risk
enemy targets that require nuclear weapons and that constitute the
means to attack the U.S. and its friends and allies with nuclear,
biological, and chemical weapons. This includes both hardened and
mobile targets.
- Direct the NNSA to design and build the RRW so that it
can be mated to delivery systems that can strike enemy targets
quickly and accurately enough to limit the damage that otherwise
would be imposed on the U.S. and its friends and allies.
- Give the NNSA the explicit authority to pursue the RRW
as a new warhead design and conduct explosive tests as necessary to
field nuclear weapons with these capabilities.
Conclusion. Nuclear weapons are no less essential to
the security of the U.S. and its friends and allies than they were
during the Cold War, but the requirements are different. Current
and projected circumstances will allow the U.S. to maintain a
smaller active nuclear arsenal and stockpile of warheads, in
part based on the deployment of effective conventionally armed
strategic strike weapons and defenses. This smaller U.S. nuclear
arsenal, however, makes it more important that the arsenal is
fully modernized and tailored to meeting the demands of the
damage-limitation strategy.
U.S. strategic forces should not be used to exact revenge on an
enemy foolish enough to attack the U.S. or its friends and allies
with weapons of mass destruction. They should be used to deter that
enemy from attacking by making it clear that such an attack will
fail.
Baker Spring is F. M. Kirby
Research Fellow in National Security Policy in the Douglas and
Sarah Allison Center for Foreign Policy Studies, a division of
the Kathryn and Shelby Cullom Davis Institute for
International Studies, at The Heritage Foundation.