The Senate Armed Services Committee's version of the National
Defense Authorization Act for fiscal year 2008 (S. 1547) contains
two provisions that will serve to delay the fielding of an
effective missile defense capability. The first eliminates funding
for a test bed for missile defense systems in space, and the second
establishes operational testing requirements in order to continue
development of the missile defense system. To help protect the
American people, U.S. soldiers deployed abroad, and America's
friends and allies from missile attack, the Senate should affirm
its support for fielding missile defense systems in space and for
the spiral development process for missile defense, which is
necessary to field the complex missile defense system.
A Space-Based Missile Defense
The Bush Administration's missile defense budget proposes $10
million in FY 2008 as initial funding to establish a space test
bed.[1]
Funding for this program is envisioned to reach $124 million in FY
2013, for a total of $290 million from FY 2008 to FY 2013. The
funding proposal is categorized as one of several "capabilities
investments"that are designed to address requirements beyond FY
2013.
Even though the Bush Administration's proposal to begin work on
establishing a space test bed is very limited and in keeping with a
slow, incremental approach, it has been attacked by missile defense
skeptics on the Senate Armed Services Committee. Their aim is to
force the U.S. to adopt a position that prohibits it from
developing--much less deploying--missile defense interceptors in
space under any circumstance and for all time.
This opposition is being driven, at least in part, by a desire
to "prevent the weaponization of space." Arms control advocates are
currently focused on this issue and base their proposals on the
assertion that space is not already weaponized,[2] which is true only
in a very limited sense.[3] The fact is that space was weaponized when
the first ballistic missile was fired, because ballistic missiles
travel through space on their way to their targets. The threat that
these weapons pose to U.S. security and the U.S. population is
undeniable. The superior effectiveness of space-based interceptors
in countering ballistic missiles is based on the fact that
ballistic missiles transit space. As a result, space-based
interceptors are ideally located to intercept ballistic missiles in
the boost phase, when they are most vulnerable.
The Senate should reject the assertion that space-based
ballistic missile defense interceptors would constitute an
unprecedented move by the U.S. to weaponize space. It should do so
by recognizing that space is already weaponized and identifying the
advantages of fielding missile defense interceptors in space that
target threatening missiles that transit space.
A constellation of space-based missile defense interceptors
would provide missile defense to the U.S., U.S. troops deployed
abroad, and U.S. friends and allies. Participants in the
Independent Working Group on Missile Defense, the Space
Relationship, and the Twenty-First Century determined that a
substantive program for space-based missile defenses would require
$100 million in FY 2008, $500 million in FY 2009, and $1 billion in
FY 2010 to create the space test bed.[4] This approach should yield a
capable development test bed in three to four years if it is put in
the hands of a small, competent management team focused on reviving
the demonstrated technologies of the Brilliant Pebbles program of
the early 1990s.
A Dead End for Missile Defense?
The Department of Defense is using a spiral development process to
advance missile defense technology and systems. This means that it
is putting developmental systems in the field and improving them
incrementally. The spiral development process is essential to the
missile defense program because the eventual missile defense
"architecture" is a system of systems that must be built in order
to be tested.
The Senate Armed Services Committee, however, has chosen to
ignore this reality. The Committee would deny the Department of
Defense access to funds for the acquisition or deployment of
operational long-range missile defense interceptors in Europe until
the Secretary of Defense certifies that the interceptors have a
high probability of success obtained through operational tests.[5] A
similar provision would prohibit the deployment of more than 40
long-range missile defense interceptors in Alaska unless the system
has demonstrated a high probability of effectiveness through
"operationally realistic end-to-end flight testing."[6]
Supporters of these provisions are likely to advertise them as
just "fly before you buy" common sense. In reality, this is an
effort to prohibit the procurement of additional missile defense
components until current ones have passed an unrealistic and
perhaps impossible slate of end-to-end operational tests. The
problem is that such tests depend on the fielding of the additional
components in order to constitute the end-to-end system to be
tested. These restrictions are akin to a requirement that the
Department of Defense may not deploy the first satellite in a
constellation of satellites until it has conducted operational
tests that demonstrate that the entire constellation works as a
whole. These restrictions will grind the overall missile defense
program to a halt because the system, as a system of systems,
requires that components must be built in order to be tested.
The Senate must reject such restrictions, which could severely
delay the fielding of an effective missile defense. Instead, it
should consider the substance of an amendment to the House's
national defense authorization bill offered by Representative Pete
Sessions (R-TX). That amendment stated that the President would
retain the power to put developmental missile defense systems on
operational alert.[7] The Sessions amendment could be modified to
state that the Department of Defense would not be restricted from
using funds for the deployment of long-range missile defense
interceptors that would support end-to-end and operationally
realistic testing of the system, and that the President's power to
put developmental missile defense systems on operational alert
shall be maintained.
Conclusion
The Senate Armed Services Committee's version of the National
Defense Authorization Act contains two provisions that undermine
progress in missile defense. The first curtails the development of
a space test bed, which offers the most promise for providing an
effective defense. The second creates a procedural dead end for
missile defense by requiring operational tests of the system prior
to the acquisition of all the components that are necessary to
conduct such tests.
If these provisions become law, the American people will be
deceived. The rhetoric out of Washington would lead the American
people to believe that their government is committed to defending
them against missile attack. The reality, however, will be that
they are being provided a defense of limited effectiveness and
subject to significant delays. The Senate needs to make good on its
promise to field an effective defense against ballistic
missiles.
Baker Spring is
F. M. Kirby Research Fellow in National Security Policy in the
Douglas and Sarah Allison Center for Foreign Policy Studies, a
division of the Kathryn and Shelby Cullom Davis Institute for
International Studies, at The Heritage Foundation.
[2]
Jeffrey Lewis, "What If Space Were Weaponized? Possible
Consequences for Crisis Scenarios," Center for Defense Information,
July 2004, at www.cdi.org/PDFs/scenarios.pdf.
[4]
Independent Working Group on Missile Defense, the Space
Relationship, & the Twenty-First Century, 2007 Report
(Cambridge, Mass.: Institute for Foreign Policy Analysis, 2006), at
www.ifpa.org/pdf/IWGreport.pdf.
[5] Senate Armed Services Committee,
"National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2008," S. Rpt.
110-77, June 5, 2007, pp. 140-142.
[7]
Congressional Record, May 16, 2007, pp. H5271-H5272.