Taxing successful energy sources and subsidizing unsuccessful
ones-that is the essence of Washington's energy policy during the
1970s and early 1980s, and it would be repeated by the Senate's
version of the House's energy bill (H.R. 6). The bill would raise
taxes by an estimated $28 billion over 10 years, mostly from the
oil and natural gas sector, and spend much of this money on tax
breaks for alternative energy sources like ethanol and wind power.
If history is any guide, this approach is likely to backfire,
raising prices and reducing energy security.
The Wrong Weapon in the Energy Battle
The tax title of the energy bill proposes a number of tax code
changes, the combined effect of which would be to raise taxes paid
by companies working to expand oil and natural gas supplies. This
includes measures eliminating or reducing some existing deductions
against income from energy production, most notably the
manufacturer's deduction created by the American Jobs Creation Act
of 2004. This deduction, which applies to domestic industries,
would be modified to exclude major oil companies. The change would
raise taxes on new oil and gas production by $9.433 billion over 10
years. The bill would also impose new taxes, such as a 13 percent
excise tax on oil and gas from the Gulf of Mexico that is estimated
to raise $10.644 billion over the next 10 years.
Consumer anger over high gasoline prices sparked Congress's
current drive to pass energy legislation, but these measures will
not offer any relief at the pump. Simply put, the current tax code
has nothing to do with recent increases in energy prices, so
Washington-style tinkering with it will not benefit the driving
public.
Congress's misconception is a common one. The legislation's
underlying assumption that the domestic oil and gas sector is
currently undertaxed may be popular political rhetoric but is not
supported by the evidence. By many measures, energy companies face
tax rates comparable to or higher than those of other industrial
sectors. For example, the average effective tax rate for major
integrated oil and natural gas companies is 38.3 percent, which is
actually higher then the average rate of 32.3 percent for the
market as a whole, according to the Tax Foundation.[1] And these taxes have
risen along with oil company profits. According to Department of
Energy data, total income taxes paid by this sector reached a
record $71 billion in 2005, the last year for which complete data
is available. This was up from $48 billion in 2004 and $32 billion
in 2003. Revenues from other taxes on the oil and gas sector also
rose.
The Senate's proposed tax increases would likely reduce supplies
and increase prices in the years ahead by discouraging investment
in domestic drilling for oil and natural gas. America's demand for
energy is growing along with its economy, and so it will need more
domestic oil and natural gas supplies in the years ahead. However,
raising taxes on energy would move America in the opposite
direction, because it would raise the cost of capital for
exploration and production, making some domestic energy projects
less viable.
The Senate's tax provisions also undercut the energy security
rationale that some proponents offer for the bill. The tax
crackdown on domestic oil producers would give OPEC and other
non-U.S. suppliers, whose imports would not be subject to most of
these provisions, an advantage over U.S. producers.
The bottom line is that these tax measures would reduce domestic
supplies of oil and gas, leading to increase imports to fill the
void. And assuming that demand continues to grow, these provisions
would raise prices for consumers.
This is the lesson of the infamous windfall profit tax (WPT) on
oil firms imposed under the Carter Administration in 1980 and
repealed under the Reagan Administration in 1988. Anger at "big
oil" over high prices helped lead to this punitive tax. According
to the Congressional Research Service, "The WPT reduced domestic
oil production from between 3 and 6 percent, and increased oil
imports from between 8 and 16 percent. This made the U.S. more
dependent upon imported oil." There is little functional difference
between the WPT and the tax hikes in the current Senate energy
bill.
Subsidizing Unsuccessful Energy Sources
Much of the extra revenues generated from the energy bill's new
taxes would be used to subsidize politically correct alternative
energy sources such as ethanol and wind power. The bill includes
both tax incentives to build plants that generate alternative
energy and tax credits on the energy sold.
These policies have been tried before, with dismal results. The
30-plus-year history of federal attempts to encourage alternative
energy sources contains numerous failures and few, if any,
successes. Indeed, many of the recipients of tax breaks and
incentives in the Senate bill have been subsidized for decades (for
example, ethanol has enjoyed preferential treatment since 1978),
with the goal that they would become viable within a few years and
then go off the dole and compete in the marketplace. But this has
never happened.
In addition to the tax breaks, other portions of the bill
mandate that certain amounts of these alternatives be used. Thus,
their producers will enjoy both favorable tax treatment and a
guaranteed market, all at taxpayer and consumer expense.
Even after decades of assistance, alternative sources still
provide only a small fraction of America's energy needs. For
example, wind and solar energy generate only a few percent of
America's electricity, due to their high costs and unreliability.
Congress seems indisposed to learn that these alternatives have
serious economic and technological shortcomings, which is why they
needed special treatment in the first place.
Conclusion
The Senate's energy bill raises taxes on the energy sources
America relies upon, namely oil and natural gas, in order to
subsidize alternatives with unpromising track records. Raising
taxes on what works and heaping subsidies on what does not was bad
energy tax policy in the past and it will not fare any better this
time around.
Ben Lieberman is Senior
Policy Analyst in the Thomas A. Roe Institute for Economic Policy
Studies at The Heritage Foundation.
[1] Scott
A. Hodge and Jonathan Williams, "Large Oil Industry Tax Payments
Undercut Case for Windfall Profits Tax," Tax Foundation, January
31, 2006.