On July 6, the Bureau of Labor Statistics released its jobs
report for June, showing that the economy added 132,000 new workers
and the unemployment rate remained at the low rate of 4.5 percent.
Workers' earnings increased by 0.3 percent, bringing the growth for
the year to 3.9 percent. More than 2 million jobs have been created
in the last 12 months, which has led to a slight decline in the
unemployment rate. Congress should make permanent the pro-growth
elements of the Bush tax cuts that reduced the taxes on capital
gains and established lower marginal income tax rates.
June Jobs
The 132,000 new jobs surpassed the consensus forecast of
125,000. Even better news were the upward revisions for April and
May that totaled 75,000 additional jobs. The revision for April was
especially significant since it was originally reported that fewer
jobs were created during April than during any month in the past
two years.
The majority of new jobs were created by businesses in
education, health, and leisure and hospitality. State and local
governments added 40,000 new workers to the government payroll.
Manufacturing was down by 18,000 jobs, but construction was up by
12,000 jobs. Construction employment has declined over the past 10
months as the housing market has softened.
Another striking feature of the economy is the consistently low
level of unemployment. The unemployment rate remained at 4.5
percent in June, and has fluctuated between 4.4 percent and 4.6
percent for the past 10 months.[1] This is quite low,
historically. Outside the tech bubble of the late 1990s,
unemployment has not fallen below this rate since the early 1970s.
For adults this rate is an even lower 4.0 percent. Very few workers
who want jobs cannot find them.
Minimum Wage and Teenagers
However, teenagers have a much more difficult time finding work.
15.8 percent of teenagers and 31.2 percent of African-American
teenagers who want a job cannot find one.[2] The minimum wage helps
explain why many teenagers, especially young minorities, are out of
work when most employers are eager to hire new workers.
Minimum-wage jobs are entry level positions held by workers with
few job skills. Typically, these workers are teenagers and young
adults who have little labor market experience.[3] Through experience
on the job, they gain skills such as following directions from
their bosses and interacting with co-workers and customers.
Experience makes them more productive and causes their earnings to
rise. Two-thirds of minimum-wage earners get a raise within a
year.[4] Minimum-wage jobs provide teenagers with
on-the-job training that enables them to move up their career
ladder later in life.
A high minimum wage discourages companies from providing
teenagers with this training. Employers hire unskilled workers
because they will work for less than workers who are more skilled.
However, if an employer must pay $7.25 an hour to both a skilled
and an unskilled job applicant, he will always hire the more
productive worker. Research shows that employers change who they
employ when the minimum wage rises: They hire more skilled workers
and fewer unskilled and disadvantaged workers.[5] Minority teenagers
are particularly likely to lose out.[6]
Congress intended the minimum wage to help low-income families
get ahead. Instead it has handicapped them, denying many young
workers access to entry level jobs and the training and experience
that would help them get ahead later in life. Workers suffer from
that lost experience over the long-term. Research shows that such
workers have reduced wages and less chance of holding a job after
more than a decade.[7] With the minimum wage set to rise on July
24, more disadvantaged teenagers will be denied jobs that would
have provided them with vital training for their future
careers.
Good News for American Workers
Overall, this job report is good news for American workers. A
low unemployment rate and solid job creation rate have increased
income for workers. Wages have risen 3.9 percent over the past 12
months, while inflation has risen by only 2.6 percent. Raises and
promotions are moving many workers up the career ladder.
Alternative measures of unemployment echo the good news. The
unemployment rate among discouraged workers is down to 5.4 percent
from 5.6 in June 2006. Discouraged workers are individuals in the
labor force who have given up looking for work because they do not
believe they can find a job.
What Congress Should (and Should Not)
Do
Congress should help keep the economy growing by making
permanent the Bush tax cuts and not interfering in the labor
market. The pro-growth elements of the Bush tax cuts lower the cost
of capital and make work more rewarding because workers keep more
of what they earned. The tax cuts clearly helped boost the economy,
as employment has grown every month since August 2003, shortly
after these tax cuts were made law.
Also, Congress should not meddle in the labor market with laws
that artificially boost wages. The minimum wage partially explains
why the unemployment rate of teenagers is so high and why teenagers
are dropping out of the job market. The recent increase in the
minimum wage will only reinforce that trend. Additional
interference will hurt the youngest-and often the least
skilled-workers.
Rea S. Hederman, Jr., is
Senior Policy Analyst, and James Sherk is Bradley
Fellow in Labor Policy, in the Center for Data Analysis at The
Heritage Foundation.
[1]Bureau of Labor Statistics, "Employment
Situation News Release," Table A-1, July 6, 2007, at .
[2]Ibid., Tables A-1 and A-2.
[6]David Neumark and William Wascher, "The Effects
of Minimum Wages on Teenage Employment and Enrollment: Evidence
from Matched CPS Surveys," Tables 9 and 10, in Solomon Polchek,
ed., Research in Labor Economics, Vol. 15, (Greenwich,
Conn.: JAI Press, 1996).
[7]David Neumark and Olena Nizalova, "Minimum Wage
Effects in the Longer Run," National Bureau of Economic Research
Working Paper No. w10656, June 2004.