A recent article in The Wall Street Journal reports that
support for free trade is slipping among Republicans: "By a nearly
two-to-one margin, Republican voters believe free trade is bad for
the U.S. economy, a shift in opinion that mirrors Democratic views
and suggests trade deals could face high hurdles under a new
president." It also says that "six in 10 Republicans in the poll
agreed with a statement that free trade has been bad for the
U.S."[1]
While such polling may be useful in stoking Washington's highly
charged political debate on free trade, news outlets have a
responsibility to report the facts along with people's opinions. As
a matter of fact, free trade is good for the U.S. economy: It
improves growth, helps more people than it hurts, and produces
benefits that flow to all segments of society.
Why Free Trade Is Good
The role of free trade in shaping America as the world's
dominant economic power is undeniable. Trade liberalization
promotes the efficient use of resources--shifting labor and capital
from less competitive industries to those with greater economic
potential. Free trade bolsters investment, innovation,
productivity, long-term economic growth, and job creation. Free
trade has also raised living standards by providing access to a
wider variety of goods at lower prices. In fact, free trade has
contributed an additional $10,000 per year of purchasing power to
the typical American household of four.[2]
It's true that not all firms exposed to the rigor of
international competition are able to adapt or even survive,
leading to some U.S. job losses. However, the number of workers
hurt by foreign competition is a relatively small share of the
total number of workers displaced each year in the normal operation
of America's dynamic economy. In fact, improvements in technology
and productivity play a far greater role in restructuring the U.S.
labor force than free trade.
Growing at an average rate of 3.2 percent a year in 2003-2005
and 3.3 percent in 2006, the U.S. economy is expanding fast enough
to create new opportunities for those adversely affected by
increased international competition.[3] The U.S. economy is operating
at full employment and creating new jobs to replace those that are
lost for any reason. The most recent jobs report revealed that more
than 8 million jobs have been created since August 2003, with
110,000 jobs created in September alone.[4] September was the 49th
consecutive month for job growth, setting a record for the longest
uninterrupted expansion of the U.S. labor market. In addition,
exports increased by nearly 15 percent over the 12 months ending in
July, which reduced the trade deficit by more than $8 billion.[5]
Why Facts Are Important
Demagogues and tyrants around the world--not just a few
politicians here in the United States--make a living out of
convincing people that the sky is falling. The essence of
statesmanship in a democratic society is just the opposite: helping
people understand the facts and proposing real solutions to real
problems.
Presidents Bill Clinton and George W. Bush have both been
staunch supporters of free trade, looking--as perhaps a President
can best do--at the totality of the U.S. economy and the costs and
benefits of trade for our population as a whole. Members of
Congress, on the other hand, are more susceptible to the pressures
of special interests. In the trade debate, concentrated interests
representing the relatively few people hurt by free trade often
outweigh the larger but more diffuse masses who benefit from lower
prices and greater choice in an open economy.
Stories that report only people's opinions, without reference to
the underlying facts, can distort the public's understanding of
what is really happening in an economy, even to the point of
becoming self-fulfilling prophecies. It is even worse when polls
are carelessly designed or reported.
The Journal/NBC News poll asked respondents to choose
between two statements: (1) Foreign trade has been good for the
U.S. economy, because demand for U.S. products abroad has resulted
in economic growth and jobs for Americans here at home and provided
more choices for consumers[6]; and (2) Foreign trade has been bad for the
U.S. economy, because imports from abroad have reduced demand for
American-made goods, cost jobs here at home, and produced
potentially unsafe products.[7] Thirty-two percent chose the first
statement, while 59 percent picked the second.
Presenting these statements as mutually exclusive
interpretations of reality is highly misleading. In fact, both
statements contain elements of truth. But, on balance, free trade
yields far greater benefits than costs when considering the economy
as a whole.
Conclusion
Including a factual context along with the opinion poll helps
readers to understand not only what people are thinking, but also
the extent to which their thinking corresponds to reality. As
Journal editor Paul Gigot wrote in the 2007 Index of
Economic Freedom, co-published by The Heritage Foundation,
"There are no permanent victories in politics or economics, which
is one reason that this Index exists to chronicle annual
progress or regression." Gigot adds that experts have a
responsibility "to remind forgetful politicians of the benefits of
economic freedom." That responsibility extends to educating the
voters who elect those politicians.
Ambassador Terry Miller is
Director of the Center for International Trade and Economics at The
Heritage Foundation.
[1]John
Harwood, "Republicans Grow Skeptical On Free Trade," The
Wall Street Journal, October 4, 2007.
[5]White House Office of the Press Secretary,
"Fact Sheet: September 2007 Marks Record 49th Consecutive Month of
Job Growth," October 5, 2007.
[6]John
Harwood, "Republicans Grow Skeptical On Free Trade," The
Wall Street Journal, October 4, 2007.