Retreat is not a word that features prominently in the lexicon
of British military history. Over the last 200 years, Great Britain
has waged more wars and won more conflicts than any other nation in
the world. From the Falkland Islands to Sudan to the North West
Frontier, British soldiers have left their mark with a
distinguished record of heroism, sacrifice, and bravery. That
tradition continues today in Iraq and in Afghanistan, where more
than 250 British servicemen have laid down their lives for Queen
and Country.
It is a proud history that has earned Britain a reputation as a
great warrior nation. It is unclear, though, whether her current
political leadership possesses the vision and determination to
ensure that she remains a global power that is both willing and
able to face the great challenges of our time. The U.K. now spends
a pitiful 2.2 percent of its GDP on defense, its lowest level since
the 1930s.
Prime Minister Gordon Brown's announcement this week that
Britain will reduce her troop strength in Iraq, from 5,500 to just
2,500 by spring 2008, sends all the wrong signals at a time when
the U.S. and the U.K. are engaged in a global war against Islamic
extremists. Brown's decision represents a spectacular turnaround
from his declaration in August ruling out a timetable for the
withdrawal of British forces. Sources in the Ministry of Defense
are already suggesting that all British soldiers may be removed
from the country by the end of next year.
A British withdrawal from Iraq will be interpreted by the West's
worst enemies as a display of weakness and portrayed as a major
defeat for Britain. Both Iran and al-Qaeda will claim a huge
propaganda victory when the last British soldiers depart the air
base in Basra.
There are no compelling military or strategic reasons for a
British withdrawal. The security situation in and around Basra
remains tense, with Iranian-backed militias continuing to grow in
strength, assisted by a corrupt police force heavily infiltrated by
Tehran's agents. There is a vital need to maintain security along
the Iraq-Iran border, as well as to protect the supply routes that
run from Kuwait to Baghdad. If the British withdraw altogether, the
United States will have to send several thousand troops to replace
them, opening up another major front for U.S. forces to defend.
The momentum for such a move is purely political. With Brown's
administration facing a general election in 2008 and up against
widespread public opposition to the war, a decision to cut troop
numbers in half may be politically expedient but makes no sense in
military terms.
The biggest beneficiary of such a move will be the barbaric
Iranian regime of Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, whose poisonous tentacles
reach into every element of government and society in Basra and the
Shiite-dominated south. Iranian arms and money are flowing into the
country, and Tehran is directly responsible for the killing of
numerous British soldiers who have died in a proxy war waged by the
Mullahs and their henchmen against Allied forces.
It is also just six months since the Iranian Revolutionary Guard
captured and held 15 British sailors for two weeks in a blatant act
of war before releasing them in a staged propaganda exercise before
the world's cameras in an act of public humiliation.
Just two decades ago, Iranian saber-rattling would have been met
with a ferocious response. Today it is greeted with indifference
and more troop cuts by the political mandarins in Downing Street
and Whitehall.
On both Iraq and Iran, Prime Minister Brown looks rudderless and
held hostage by the polls and the left wing of his own ruling
Labour Party. His premiership started off well, with a strong
response to the attempted London bombings in June and a
statesmanlike meeting with President Bush at Camp David in August.
He has since been increasingly outflanked on the world stage by his
nearest rival, the charismatic and hyper-energetic French
president, Nicolas Sarkozy.
In just a few months, Sarkozy has performed one of the most
stunning foreign policy revolutions of modern times. Alongside his
eloquent and high profile foreign minister, Bernard Kouchner, the
new French president has emerged as a key U.S. ally in efforts to
halt the emergence of a nuclear-armed Iran. While Brown was busy
preaching to his followers at the Labour Party Conference in the
sleepy seaside town of Bournemouth, Sarkozy was delivering a
rousing speech at the U.N. General Assembly in New York, warning
the Iranian regime of the consequences of playing with fire.
It is important not to read too much into the near-term
geo-strategic implications of the Sarkozy revolution. There is
little prospect of a U.S.-French alliance replacing the centrality
of the Anglo-American Special Relationship in Washington. At all
levels, from intelligence sharing to cultural ties to economic
investment, the United States and the United Kingdom are and will
remain intricately entwined for the foreseeable future. There is
also scant evidence that the great French public shares Sarkozy's
enthusiasm for les Americains.
In military terms, France would struggle to compete with British
levels of combat experience and force projection. While
battle-hardened British forces have been waging major campaigns
against insurgents in Iraq and against the Taliban in Afghanistan,
French troops have seen military action only in minor colonial
conflicts in Africa in recent years. In Afghanistan, the French
have barely fired a shot on offense. It is one thing to talk tough
when it comes to standing up to tyrants and terrorists, but it is
another thing altogether to commit tens of thousands of troops to
fight in a major war.
There is, however, no room for complacency in London, and
Downing Street should not be encouraging the strategists in Foggy
Bottom to think that France, Germany, and a common European Union
foreign policy might represent a viable long-term alternative to
the Special Relationship.
Brown's signals toward Washington since coming to power have
been far from warm and have given the impression that the prime
minister is going out of his way to distance himself from the
United States. Brown's latest announcement of British cuts in Iraq
will reinforce this picture, as well as project an image of
weakness at a time when Britain and America are fighting a war on
several fronts. It also directly undercuts efforts by the U.S.
government to strengthen support for the surge and for the need to
maintain a large fighting force in Iraq.
Gordon Brown needs to show strong British leadership on the
world stage on issues other than international development and
climate change. For all intents and purposes, he is a war leader,
whether he likes it or not. The Iranian regime of Mahmoud
Ahmadinejad represents the biggest nation-state threat to
international security of this generation. It is a brutal and
highly dangerous tyranny that already has British and American
blood on its hands and is actively waging war against U.S. and
British forces. In the face of this aggression, Brown needs to
demonstrate real mettle and determination. By halving troop numbers
in Iraq, however, he looks more like Neville Chamberlain than
Winston Churchill.
Nile Gardiner, Ph.D., is
Director of the Margaret Thatcher Center for Freedom at The
Heritage Foundation.