Sovereign wealth funds, which are established by governments as
a means to invest their foreign exchange earnings abroad, are the
latest bugaboo of economic nationalists. Abu Dhabi's purchase of
4.9 percent of Citicorp inspired the latest panic. Even The
Wall Street Journal characterized the investment as
something other than "a normal commercial transaction," noting that
"[i]t comes from a sovereign wealth fund controlled by a foreign
government, which has political as much as business interests; from
an Arab government that has a troubling history with American
banking laws; and it offers a middle eastern entrée into the
U.S. financial system that since 9/11 plays a pivotal role in the
war on terror."[1] But worries that government-owned
investment funds could be used to advance a political agenda are
often unfounded. America has the banking, investment, and security
mechanisms in place to reduce the risk associated with foreign
ownership of critical assets and so can reap the economic benefits
that come from foreign investment. Policymakers should not consider
stricter investment controls.
Sovereign Wealth Funds and the U.S.
Market
Sovereign, state-owned wealth funds manage an estimated $2-3
trillion of global assets.[2] The size of these funds can be difficult to
estimate, because governments are not required to disclose
information about the fund's assets, liabilities, or underlying
investment strategy. While this makes it difficult to assess the
impact such funds could have on the global economy, even $3
trillion is but a fraction of global investment, conservatively
estimated at around $165 trillion.[3]
Despite current jitters in U.S. financial markets, worries over
America's trade and budget deficits, and concern over the falling
value of the U.S. dollar, foreign investment in the U.S. remains
strong. Just like any investor, a country may seek to hold a more
globally diverse asset portfolio by selling some U.S. bonds or
other assets, but fundamentally, foreign investors consider the
U.S. a top destination for investment.
That's a good thing. Taxes on savings and government budget
deficits combine to keep America's savings rate too low to satisfy
U.S. demand for capital. Foreign investment fills the
savings-investment gap, promoting long-term economic growth and job
creation. In 2005, foreign investors held about 32 percent of U.S.
financial assets, including publicly held federal debt and
corporate stocks and bonds.[4]
In the normal course of everyday trade, billions of dollars flow
into and out of the U.S. Most of this flow of funds in the U.S. is
controlled by the private sector, based on the consumption and
investment decisions of individuals and corporations. That is not
so in much of the Middle East and in China, where the state
continues to control most economic activity. The top five sovereign
wealth funds are listed in Table 1, along with the respective
country scores from The Heritage Foundation's 2007 Index of
Economic Freedom. It is clear that many of the sovereign wealth
funds originate from countries that need greater financial and
investment freedom, for the benefit of domestic and foreign
investors alike.
Issues with corporate governance, transparency, and financial
market openness plague many of the countries most actively relying
on sovereign wealth funds as a means to invest foreign exchange
earnings. Uncertainty over the investment strategies underlying
these funds, and the worry that these funds could be manipulated to
disrupt the U.S. economy, increase with each new story about an
American asset coming under foreign ownership.
Current Institutions Address the Risk
of Disruption
Fortunately, opportunities for such manipulation are
significantly constrained by market forces and existing U.S.
policies designed to protect U.S. national security interests from
foreign investment activities. When the U.S. economy stutters, much
of the rest of the world feels some cost. The growing trade and
investment ties that bind the economies of the world together are
more likely to promote responsible economic behavior than provide
enticement to cause mayhem; investment is more about creating
wealth than destroying it.
However, not all countries are rational economic agents all of
the time. Were a country to successfully exploit its piece of the
American pie as a means to cause harm, the market would operate to
help protect the U.S. economy. For example, a quick drawdown of
foreign dollar-denominated reserves would be equivalent to a sudden
increase in the U.S. money supply, causing a decrease in the value
of the dollar, provided that enough dollars were dumped to
influence currency markets. Of course, the Federal Reserve and
other foreign governments could react quickly by removing dollars
from circulation. There would be disruption, but hardly
catastrophe. The increased demand for U.S. products and services as
a result of the cheaper dollar could, in fact, lead to a short-term
boom and eventual appreciation of the dollar to rates based on
market dynamics, rather than speculative or intentional market
manipulation.
It also seems worrisome to some that foreign governments are
holding ever larger amounts of U.S. debt and assets, but the
likelihood that governments are doing this as a means to disrupt
the U.S. economy is slim. Few governments would intentionally
allocate scarce resources to gain control of a U.S. asset for the
sole purpose of destroying the value of that asset. Even if a
country felt wealthy enough to destroy its wealth--and suffer the
international retaliation that would likely follow--no single
foreign country owns enough of America to cause long-term
disruption.
Beyond open market dynamics and direct intervention to restore
market stability, the U.S. Committee on Foreign Investments in the
United States (CFIUS) provides an objective, non-partisan mechanism
to review, and if necessary block, risky foreign investments that
may have national security implications. In addition, the U.S. has
a full range of commercial laws, banking regulations, and domestic
investment regulations designed to ensure necessary transparency in
the corporate world.
Conclusion
The rise of sovereign wealth funds carries implications for
global financial market stability, corporate governance, and
national interests. Several factors--including the relatively small
share these funds represent in the total global financial market,
financial and other market dynamics, the CFIUS process, and other
U.S. regulations--work together to reduce the likelihood that
foreign investment will bring more harm than good to the U.S.
economy. Of course, it never hurts to think about policies to boost
domestic savings and investment.
The fundamental reason foreign holdings are so high is that U.S.
citizens save so little. The most direct and least costly way to
boost domestic savings and reduce America's reliance on foreign
capital is to reduce the federal deficit and taxes on savings.
There is no question that America must ensure that the laws and
procedures governing foreign investment are robust, up-to-date, and
functioning effectively to achieve the purposes for which they are
designed. But the knee-jerk equation of "foreign" with
"threatening"--particularly if the "foreign" happens to be Arab or
Middle Eastern--is a different sort of reaction, one unworthy of a
country like the U.S., whose immigrant heritage and commitment to
freedom, equality, and openness know no equal.
Daniella Markheim is
Jay Van Andel Senior Analyst in Trade Policy in, Ambassador Terry Miller is
Director of, and Anthony B.
Kim is Policy Analyst in the Center for International Trade and
Economics at The Heritage Foundation.
[4]James K. Jackson, "The United States as a Net
Debtor Nation: Overview of the International Investment Position,"
Congressional Research Service, Report for Congress No. RL32964,
October 18, 2007.