The following statement was delivered on May 19, 2008, by
Ambassador Terry Miller, the Director of the Center for
International Trade and Economics at The Heritage Foundation, to
the United Nations Review Session on Chapter III of the Monterrey
Consensus, held in New York.
International trade is fulfilling its promise as the most
significant source of external financing for development,
surpassing all other external sources combined. In the first five
years following the adoption of the Monterrey Consensus, exports
from emerging markets and developing countries have grown,
according to the International Monetary Fund, at an average annual
rate of almost 11 percent. Current account balances for those
countries have grown from $78.4 billion in 2002 to $596 billion in
2006.
That these increases have come despite the lack of success so
far in achieving further trade liberalization in the Doha Round
reflects an important fact, which is that the world already has an
international trading environment that is open enough to provide
significant opportunities for enterprises in developing countries
to grow and prosper through trade. The opportunities are not
confined to one regional group. African developing countries had a
current account surplus in 2006 of almost $29 billion; Western
Hemisphere developing countries gained $44.9 billion from exports;
developing Asia had a surplus of an astounding $278 billion. The
opportunities to export are there. The promise of Monterrey was an
honest promise.
Unfortunately, the Doha Round has deteriorated, as trade
negotiations are apt to do, into a battle of special interests,
with groups privileged by law in various countries fighting to
maintain their preferential treatment. Those who enjoy protection
from competition because of tariffs, quotas, subsidies, or
non-tariff barriers to trade are loath to give them up. Average
citizens, consumers, and the poor are losers as a result. There are
very few countries in the world today with political leadership
brave and strong enough to withstand the protectionist pressures of
special interests.
Still, it would be in their citizens' interest to do so. The
World Bank estimates that the continued reduction of tariffs on
manufactured goods, elimination of subsidies and non-tariff
barriers, and a modest 10-15 percent reduction in global
agricultural tariffs would allow developing countries to gain
nearly $350 billion in additional income by 2015.
These are just the benefits to developing countries from
exporting. As promised in Monterrey, developing country exports are
a significant source of financing for development. There is another
important concept, however, that the Monterrey Consensus raised in
connection with aid flows but not in connection with trade, and
that is the efficient use of resources for development. As with
aid, the efficient use of resources from trade depends on a good
policy environment in the developing country itself. You need the
rule of law, an honest regulatory environment, and protection of
private property. But the efficient use of resources also depends
upon the openness of developing countries to imports. Imports drive
down prices for consumers, promoting the maximum standard of living
for citizens at all income levels. This is a vital factor in
achievement of the Millennium Development Goals. An environment
open to imports also drives down the price of intermediate goods
used by developing country manufacturers, improving their
competitive position. An environment open to imports promotes
productivity gains, the single most important factor in sustainable
growth. So powerful are these welfare gains from openness to
imports, that trade liberalization is good for the country doing
the liberalizing, irrespective of the actions of other
countries.
Let me repeat that: Trade liberalization is good for the country
doing the liberalizing, irrespective of the actions of other
countries.
At a time when progress in negotiating international trade
agreements is hard to come by, developing countries can promote
significant welfare gains for their citizens by resisting the
protectionist impulses of their special interests and economic
elites and opening their economies to the world. Openness is the
revolutionary path to development, the path through which to
maximize the Monterrey Consensus's promise of international trade
as an engine for development.
Ambassador Terry
Miller is the Director of the Center for International Trade
and Economics at The Heritage Foundation.