As President Bush prepares to travel to the Middle East,
Lebanon's survival as a multi-ethnic, multi-denominational state is
at stake. Hezbollah, the Shi'ite terrorist army "made in Iran,"
demonstrated its force by occupying the capital, Beirut. Fierce
fighting is reported in Tripoli in the north of the country, and in
the mountain districts of Shouf and Alei east of Beirut. Forty-four
people were killed and 128 wounded in fierce fire fights, yet the
Lebanese Army refused to intervene. Iran and Syria are quickly
changing the balance of power in the Eastern Mediterranean, while
the West and moderate Arab states appear almost paralyzed.
The Struggle for Power
The crisis erupted last week when Prime Minister Fouad Siniora's
regime demanded that Hezbollah shut down its fiber optic network,
which the terrorist movement calls " the weapons of the
revolution"--a reference to Ayatollah Khomeini's Shi'a Islamic
revolution in Iran. The network is used by Hezbollah, outside of
the Lebanese government's control, to run terrorist operations and
a drug trade worldwide, and to maintain illicit communications with
Tehran and Damascus.
Another issue that Hezbollah used to attack the government was
its decisions to fire the pro-Hezbollah military officer in charge
of the Beirut International Airport's security and shut down
Hezbollah's video cameras at the airport. Hezbollah forced the
government of Lebanon to back down on both issues, returning to
status quo ante. The Lebanese Army, whose commander, General
Michel Suleiman, is Syria's candidate to become the next Lebanese
president, and has either supported Hezbollah or sat out the
confrontation.
The violence in Lebanon demonstrates the impotence of its
democratically elected government in the face of the powerful
Hezbollah "state-within-a-state" bought, paid, trained, and armed
by Iran's oil windfall profits.
Hezbollah's Real Targets
The U.S., European Union, Israel, and the Sunni Arab states are
the real targets of the muscle-flexing by Hezbollah and its Syrian
and Iranian sponsors. The leaders and the forces that really need
to be dealt with to stop the violence and back off from the
democratically elected government of Lebanon are not located in
Beirut. They are in Tehran and Damascus.
This is not about Lebanon, but about the U.S. presence in the
Middle East, its diplomacy, and its allies. The U.S.-backed order
in the Middle East is at stake against relentless Iranian probing.
Tehran wants to teach President Bush a lesson, or as President
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad said in April, "smash the U.S. in the nose."
Iran is also trying to show the Saudis, Jordanians, Egyptians, and
others in the region who is boss.
Presently, the U.S. attention is focused on Iran's training of
Shi'a terrorists who attack our troops in Iraq and move against the
Iraqi government. According to the London Times and
U.S. News & World Report, Hezbollah provides
trainers and security for their terrorist camps. Tehran is
signaling to Washington that if the U.S. attacks guerrilla training
camps in Iran, U.S. allies, such as Lebanon, will suffer. According
to Western and Israeli military sources quoted by the Los
Angeles Times, Hezbollah is also preparing a massive missile
attack against Israel.
Syria is involved, too. The pro-Syrian Amal militia, a Hezbollah
ally, also took part in the fighting. Furthermore, President Bashar
Assad is under pressure from the United Nations, as his senior
officials are the main suspects in the U.N. investigation of the
murder of Lebanon's Prime Minister Rafiq Hariri, father of the
current coalition leader, Saad Hariri. This investigation has been
dragging on for some time.
It is no accident that Hezbollah targeted and destroyed the
offices of the Future TV channel. It is owned by Hariri and
presents the views of the movement he heads, called The Future.
Hezbollah fighters also shot rockets at Hariri's home and took
positions nearby, as well as threatened the home of the anti-Syrian
Druze leader Walid Jumblat.
Syria and Iran are attempting to topple the Siniora-Hariri
government using Hezbollah as a battering ram. By doing so, they
are quickly undermining President Bush's legacy of promoting
democracy in the Middle East.
Lebanon, with its 2005 Cedar Revolution, was the democratization
flagship. Syria and Iran have been behind a campaign of targeted
assassinations of Lebanese democratic politicians ever since. And
in places such as Egypt and the Palestinian territories, where the
Muslim Brotherhood and Hamas, respectively, won elections, the
democratization policy is already in shambles.
Hezbollah's freedom to arm and operate in Lebanon also
demonstrates the failure and impotence of two multilateral
organizations: the Arab League, which has attempted for months to
mediate between the Siniora government and Hezbollah, and the U.N.,
which completely failed to prevent Iran and Syria from resupplying
Hezbollah with 27,000 rockets and building a new network of bunkers
and fiber optic communications. Nor has the U.N. tribunal been
capable of bringing the Rafiq Hariri murder investigation to a
much-needed end by indicting the true powers behind that bloody
assassination.
U.S. Middle East Policy at Stake
The United States must recognize that America does still have
allies in the Middle East, especially when it comes to containing
Iran. Saudi Arabia, the Sunni Arab Gulf states, as well as our
European allies all understand what is at stake. Yet, to pursue a
policy of Iran containment, the United States must make it clear
that it will stand by its allies.
Washington therefore should:
- Design and implement a comprehensive policy that
includes military, covert, economic, diplomatic, and public
diplomacy components to decisively and quickly weaken and roll back
Iran and Syria. They have assets and interests that can be frozen
or confiscated. They also have officials and businessmen who travel
throughout the world and should not be welcome anywhere as long as
their policies remain disruptive in Lebanon, Iraq, Gaza, and
elsewhere. Any Syrian and Iranian officials involved in financing,
training, supplying, and facilitating terrorism, and specifically
Hezbollah, should be placed on the visa boycott list.
- Work with the European allies so that they
declareHezbollah a terrorist organization, put it on the EU
terrorism list, and freeze their economic activities, fundraising,
and financial assets throughout Europe, the Middle East, and around
the world. Placing Hezbollah on the EU terrorism list will also
help stabilize Lebanon. U.N. Security Council Resolution 1559,
jointly sponsored by France and the United States, calls for the
disarming of all militias in Lebanon. Yet EU toleration of
Hezbollah fundraising operations inside its own borders enables
efforts to finance the purchase of arms and ammunition for the
biggest and most dangerous militia in Lebanon. Adding Hezbollah to
the EU terrorism list would be an important step toward disarming
its militia and restoring the rule of law in Lebanon. Hezbollah
enjoys Iranian subsidies and Syrian arms supply. However, Hezbollah
is allowed to operate openly, including fundraising and profitable
businesses in Europe. This must stop immediately. The State
Department and anti-terror arms of the United States and Arab
states need to work with the Europeans to ban Hezbollah's
activities on the continent.
- Halt arms shipments andspare part supplies to
Hezbollah's TV and radio channels, telecommunications, businesses,
and vehicles. These supplies originate in Europe, the U.S., Japan,
and other Far Eastern locations, and are shipped through Beirut and
the Gulf. The U.S. should initiate a concerted effort to stop
military re-supply of Hezbollah. The United Nations should be urged
to do a better job implementing Resolution 1701, which envisages
disarmament of all Lebanese militias, including Hezbollah, and
halts the arms supply to it, especially by Iran and Syria. The U.S.
should also work with allies in the Middle East and Europe to halt
non-military supplies to Hezbollah's businesses and
telecommunications operations.
Conclusion
Tehran cannot be handed a victory that can destroy Lebanon's
remaining cohesion, nor should Hezbollah take the civilian
population of Lebanon hostage, transforming it into the human
shields that Hezbollah will hide behind to rain rockets once again
upon Israel.
Iran and Syria cannot be allowed to overthrow the government of
Lebanon and establish a Hezbollah-controlled stronghold in the
Eastern Mediterranean. This would intimidate moderate Sunni Arab
states and will present a major setback for U.S. policy in the
region. Lebanon has suffered enough. Too much is at stake for the
West and the Arab states to allow the Iranian mullahs and their
Hezbollah henchmen to unleash yet another Lebanese civil war and
destabilize the region.
Ariel Cohen,
Ph.D., is Senior Research Fellow in Russian and
Eurasian Studies and International Energy Security in the Douglas
and Sarah Allison Center for Foreign Policy Studies, a division of
the Kathryn and Shelby Cullom Davis Institute for International
Studies, at The Heritage Foundation.