The Congress is readying legislation to fund the wars in Iraq
and Afghanistan, and threatening to load up the bill with unrelated
related programs and initiatives. The "war supplemental" the House
passed on May 15 failed to include funding for the war, but it did
include an artificial timeline for troop withdrawal, codification
of deployment schedules, billions of dollars in unrelated domestic
spending, and the blocking of important cost-saving new Medicaid
regulations.
The no-funds war funding bill also included money for a
misplaced, flawed, but potentially meritorious set of enhancements
to the Montgomery GI Bill which provides veterans' education
benefits. In a nod to faux fiscal discipline, the House bill would
fund the $52 billion cost of these enhancements by declaring war on
small businesses and investors in the form of a harmful but
nevertheless revealing new income tax surtax. The surtax would be
harmful to job creation and wage growth; it is revealing of how
ready some Members of Congress are to pursue redistributive tax
policies while returning to their tax and spend ways of
yesterday.
Reforms to Veterans' Education Benefits
Currently, veterans receive education benefits such as tuition
assistance under the 1984-vintage Montgomery GI Bill, which traces
its roots back to legislation enacted during World War II. After so
many years, some updating and reforms are surely in order. For
example, the legislation would, sensibly, allow education benefits
to be transferred to spouses or dependent children. It also makes
sense to expand the education package offered to veterans as part
of a reform to their overall compensation package. The
Congressional Budget Office warns these reforms will likely make it
more difficult for the armed services to retain good personnel
without incurring significant extra costs, but these issues can be
addressed through further refinements to the reforms.
Budgeting is about setting priorities. The United States needs a
well-motivated, well-trained, well-equipped, experienced military
to face the threats of the 21st century. By encouraging
high-quality recruits and the retention of skilled professionals,
an improved education program for veterans is surely consistent
with maintaining such a force. Devoting resources to this purpose
should be a priority. It certainly ranks as a higher priority than
much of what passes for needed spending.
A Threadbare Mantle of Fiscal
Responsibility
Another priority in budgeting is maintaining firm fiscal
discipline. Fiscal discipline should mean maintaining a tight rein
on spending so that any budget deficit remaining is manageable and
sustainable. A tight rein on spending also means that tax burdens
need not increase further, which would work to weaken the
U.S. economy.
This Congress came into office claiming the mantle of fiscal
responsibility. Yet time and again it has tried to boost spending
beyond the monumental $2.8 trillion on track for 2008. So far in
2008 the Congress has already cobbled together a bloated, nearly
$300 billion farm bill, even though farm income is at an all-time
high and looks to rise significantly from here. It is also working
on an ill-advised bailout for the housing sector. The budget
resolutions passed by the House and Senate call for significant
increases in regular spending. And now Congress wants to hike
spending further on domestic programs via the war funding bill,
including this expansion of education benefits for veterans.
Steadily expanding federal spending does not demonstrate fiscal
discipline.
PAYGO Redefined to Avoid Spending Cuts
The Congress has adopted PAYGO (pay-as-you-go) rules among its
potentially effective devices for enforcing fiscal discipline.
PAYGO rules are supposed to mean that increasing spending on
veterans' benefits, for example, should be combined with some
combination of reduced spending in other areas and higher taxes.
Today, however, PAYGO rules are woefully misnamed. Much of the
time, when Congress looks to raise spending it simply ignores
PAYGO, turning PAYGO into go-and-spend. A good example is the
recent bipartisan farm bill that blew past the PAYGO rules and is
likely to pass over the President's veto as well.
When not waiving the rules to increase spending, Congress opts
to transform PAYGO into tax-and-go, as in tax more and go spend. To
fund the expansion of veterans' education benefits, the House
decided to levy a new 0.5 percent income tax surtax on individuals
with incomes over $500,000 and married couples over $1 million. As
Congressman Mike Ross (D-AR), one of the leaders of the
self-proclaimed fiscal conservative Blue Dog Democrats, argued, "I
think those earning in excess of $1 million per year will gladly
pay this new patriot tax." (By the way, Mr. Ross voted for the
PAYGO-waived $300 billion farm bill, too.)
This proposed tax hike, and the helpful justification by
Congressman Ross, demonstrates that many Members of Congress fail
to appreciate the extraordinarily high levels of tax already paid
by upper-income taxpayers. According to data from the Tax Policy
Center, the top 20 percent of income taxpayers pay almost
three-fourths of the income tax burden.
This proposed tax also demonstrates a remarkable disregard for
America's small businesses, most of which pay tax at individual
rates and many of which would be subject to this higher rate. Small
businesses create most of the net new jobs in America. They also
create much of the dynamism in our economy. And perhaps most
important of all, they represent the efforts of millions of
Americans to pursue their dreams of getting ahead through their own
initiative, hard work, and creativity. The owners of small
businesses are many of Congressman Ross's glad taxpayers.
PAYGO Spending Cuts
In setting budget priorities, when Congress finds good cause to
increase spending in one area, its first, second, and third
priority in respect of fiscal discipline should be to find lesser
spending priorities to cut. To offset the costs of the new
veterans' benefits, surely Congress could find $50 billion to cut
out of the $34 trillion CBO projects will be spent over
the next 10 years.
Here's an idea: While increasing entitlement spending for
veterans, how about cutting entitlement subsidies for rich farmers?
The farm bill spends about $50 billion through the direct payment
program. If farm incomes were hurting, this could be a tough sell,
but as the Economic Research Service notes, "In 2007, farm income
was at a record level and ended the year very strong." Why are rich
and prosperous farmers more deserving of subsidies than small
businessmen and other taxpayers are deserving of keeping what they
earn?
Medicare spending at $391 billion in 2008 is crowding out other
federal priorities, and the program is by universal accord
unsustainable in its current form. The Administration proposed some
minor changes to Medicare, yet because Medicare is so huge and
growing even these small changes would save $557 billion over the
next 10 years. It is remarkable then that Congress could not find
even one-tenth of these cuts acceptable to offset the cost of the
new veterans' benefits.
At little risk of contradiction, it is fair to assert that every
individual running for Congress runs against "waste, fraud, and
abuse." The Administration's budget included a list of terminations
and reductions for programs that are found to be ineffective or
duplicative, and certainly qualifying as wasteful spending. In
total, the proposed reductions and terminations would save some $56
billion in 2009 alone. It is disgraceful that Congress couldn't
find even one-tenth of these reforms acceptable rather than
resorting to tax hikes on small businesses.
Conclusion
The Senate is expected to pass its own version of a larded up
war funding bill eventually. The good news is that the proposed
income tax surtax is properly seen by enough Senators as a silly
tax, and so the House proposed tax hike does little more than
demonstrate the shallowness of their concern for true fiscal
discipline and their readiness to hike taxes at the drop of a
hat.
Comparing the nearly simultaneous experience of the bloated farm
bill and the expansion of veterans' benefits, a simple conclusion
regarding PAYGO becomes obvious. As long as the bill is of
manageably small size, such as the $50 billion education
enhancements for veterans, then PAYGO becomes tax-and-go. But for
really big increases in spending, Congress just chooses to replace
PAYGO with spend-and-go. Congress should do neither tax-and-go nor
spend-and-go. It should instead go back to basic budgeting, set
priorities in spending, and find cuts when new spending priorities
arise. And, in the meantime, Congress should stop playing politics
with national security and send the President a clean war funding
bill.
J.
D. Foster, Ph.D., is Norman B. Ture Senior Fellow in
the Economics of Fiscal Policy in the Thomas A. Roe Institute for
Economic Policy Studies at The Heritage Foundation.