Delivered on July 9, 2008 as a
Testimony before The House Committee on Foreign Affairs:
Subcommittee on Europe; Subcommittee on the Middle East and
South Asia.
The views I express in this testimony are my own, and should not
be construed as representing any official position of The Heritage
Foundation.
It is fitting that today's hearing is taking place just weeks
after Israel celebrated the 60th anniversary of its founding. This
tiny nation of just 7 million has fought seven wars in its brief
history and survived in the face of insurmountable odds,
international hostility, and massive intimidation, a tribute to the
strength of the human spirit and the willingness of Israelis to
fight to defend their freedom. Few countries in modern times could
claim the title "warrior nation." The United States and Great
Britain definitely can, and Israel certainly qualifies for this
distinction too.
Six decades on from its establishment, however, Israel continues
to fight for its very existence and remains the most persecuted
nation in modern history. The next few years will be a critical
time for Israel, as it faces the prospect of the rise of a nuclear
Iran that has pledged its destruction. If Israel is to survive
another 60 years, it is imperative that Israel, the United States,
Great Britain, and Europe confront the gathering storm and stand up
to the biggest state-based threat to international security since
the end of the Cold War. The West must be prepared to use force
against Iran in addition to wielding economic and political
pressure.
By questioning the reality of the Holocaust, threatening to wipe
Israel off the face of the map, and calling for the Jewish state to
be relocated thousands of miles away, Iranian President Mahmoud
Ahmadinejad has made clear his intentions. Too often in the 20th
century, world leaders ignored statements such as these, only to
watch in horror as barbaric actions followed earlier threatening
rhetoric dismissed at the time as the words of a madman. If we are
to learn the lessons of history, we must take the Iranian
leadership at its word. As Israeli President Shimon Peres warned
earlier this year, "a nuclear armed Iran will be a nightmare for
the world."
The Iranian Threat
There are distinct echoes of the heated discussions in Europe
and the United States over the intentions of Adolf Hitler in the
mid- to late 1930s in today's debate over Iran. Then, as now, there
was a constant barrage of calls from political elites on both sides
of the Atlantic for direct talks with a totalitarian regime and
illusory hopes of reaching out to "moderates" within the
government, a general downplaying of the threat level, widespread
inaction and hand-wringing, and staggering complacency over levels
of defense spending.
The brutal lessons of the last hundred years taught that there
can be no negotiation with this sort of brutal dictatorship, and it
would be a huge strategic error for the West to do so. There will
be endless debate in international policy circles over Tehran's
nuclear intentions, but the essential fact remains that the free
world is faced with a fundamentally evil and barbaric regime with a
track record of backing international terrorism, repressing its own
people, issuing genocidal threats against its neighbors, and aiding
and abetting the killing of allied forces in Iraq.
As the world's largest sponsor of international terror and a
dangerous rogue regime hell-bent on acquiring nuclear weapons
capability, Iran must be stopped. The latest Israeli intelligence
assessments indicate that Iran could have a nuclear weapon as early
as mid-2009.[1] This is several years ahead of the flawed
consensus assessment of the National Intelligence Estimate (NIE)[2] and
gives added urgency to the debate over the Iranian nuclear
issue.
The European Union and Iran
Every effort must be made to increase the pressure on Tehran
through the Security Council and European economic, military, and
political sanctions. Important progress has been made in recent
weeks in strengthening European Union sanctions against Iran. In
June, all 27 EU member states agreed to freeze the assets of Iran's
biggest state-owned bank, Melli Bank,[3] as well as impose visa
restrictions on a number of prominent Iranian nuclear and military
officials, including Defense Minister Mostafa Mohammed Najjar and
Gholamreza Aghazadeh, head of Iran's Atomic Energy Organization.[4]
Far more though needs to be done, both at the EU and at the
member state level. Washington must push for Europe to support a
policy of interdiction to halt the export or import of sensitive
technology or materials, a complete investment freeze including a
ban on investment in Iranian liquefied natural gas operations,[5]
support for democratic movements inside Iran, and the possible use
of military force as a last resort. The tortuous EU-3 negotiations
with Tehran (led by France, Germany, and Britain), which have
already dragged on for several years, have thus far been nearly all
carrot and no stick and have proved spectacularly unsuccessful.
Major European players such as Germany hold critically important
keys to increasing the economic pressure on the Iranian regime.
Iran has in recent years derived roughly 35 percent of its total
imports from the European Union, and European exports to Iran are
worth over 12 billion euros a year.[6] Germany is Iran's biggest
European trading partner-with exports worth 3.6 billion euros in
2007 backed by 500 million euros of export guarantees[7]-and
possesses extraordinary leverage over Iran if it chose to wield
it.
According to a 2007 report by the Realité EU think
tank,[8] which compiled information from several
sources including the German-Iranian Chamber of Commerce in Tehran,
a staggering 5,000 German companies do business with Iran,
including heavyweights such as Siemens and BASF. Two-thirds of
Iranian industry relies on German engineering products, and the
German Engineering Federation (VDMA) boasted of German machine
construction exports to Iran worth 1.5 billion euros in 2005, with
an increase in 2006. The federal government insures around 65
percent of exports to Iran (second only to China).
At present, Germany remains the weakest link in the West's
confrontation with Tehran. Despite the huge economic clout that
Berlin wields with Iran, the Merkel administration has not been at
the forefront of international efforts to force the Iranian regime
to give in to international pressure. In contrast to French
President Nicolas Sarkozy's emphatic denunciations of Mahmoud
Ahmadinejad's highly provocative statements, Angela Merkel's grand
coalition has appeared weak-kneed and indecisive, largely due to
opposition to tougher measures from the government's socialist
wing.
Berlin has played a central role in European Union negotiations
with Tehran, including a meeting in late 2007 between Foreign
Minister Frank-Walter Steinmeier and Iranian nuclear negotiator
Saeed Jalili in Hamburg, as well as a three-day visit to Berlin in
April 2008 by Iranian Vice Foreign Minister S.E. Mehdi Safari.[9] Such
negotiations, however, have proven to be fruitless and have simply
encouraged Tehran to increase its own demands while continuing its
nuclear build-up. The European Union's policy of "constructive
engagement" toward Iran, championed by the Merkel administration
and that of her predecessor Gerhard Schröder, has been a huge
failure that has simply emboldened the regime. Throughout its
history, the EU has rarely encountered a dictatorship it has
refused to enter into dialogue with, and Iran has been no
exception.
Tehran's strategy will be to seek to divide the West's approach
to its nuclear ambitions, weakening the likelihood of sustained
international sanctions outside of the United Nations. Iran's
rulers know that they can rely on both Russia and China to weaken
sanctions at the Security Council and are hoping that internal
divisions within Europe will hamper the prospect of Europe-wide
measures being imposed. It is a classic "divide and rule" approach
that they are banking upon, and it is important that Berlin and
other European governments do not fall into this trap.
The EU and Middle East Terrorism
The European Union, as well as individual European nations, must
also be prepared to toughen their position with regard to terrorist
organizations operating in the Middle East, which pose a direct
threat to Israel as well as the West. Although the EU has placed
Hamas on its proscribed list of terrorist groups, it has so far
refused to include Hezbollah, the Iranian- and Syrian-backed
Lebanese-based movement responsible for more American deaths than
any terrorist group with the exception of al-Qaeda.
The regime in Tehran gives $100-$200 million a year in support
of Hezbollah, providing rockets, arms, mines, explosives, and
anti-ship and anti-aircraft missiles. Hezbollah has cooperated
closely with Hamas, the al-Aqsa Martyrs Brigade, Palestinian
Islamic Jihad and al-Qaeda in striking against Israeli targets.
Washington must apply significant pressure on Paris, Madrid, and
Brussels, three outposts of European opposition to anti-Hezbollah
measures in the EU. As James Phillips, Heritage Foundation Research
Fellow for Middle Eastern Affairs, has written:[10]
Classifying Hezbollah as a terrorist organization would
significantly constrain its ability to operate in Europe and
severely erode its ability to raise funds there and use European
banks to transfer funds around the globe. All EU member states
would be required to freeze Hezbollah assets and prohibit
Hezbollah-related financial transactions. Hezbollah leader Hassan
Nasrallah recognized the damage that this would do to his
organization in a March 2005 interview aired on Hezbollah's
al-Manar television network: "The sources of [our] funding will dry
up and the sources of moral, political, and material support will
be destroyed."
Pressure should also be applied to ensure that European
taxpayers' money does not support extremists in the Palestinian
territories. The European Commission provides roughly 440 million
euros a year ($650 million) in aid to the Palestinian Authority
(PA)[11] and is the world's largest single donor.
Combined with contributions from EU member states, Europe currently
gives the PA around 1 billion euros a year. Between the creation of
the Palestinian Authority in 1993 under the Oslo Peace Accords and
2005, the European Union provided 2.3 billion euros in funding.[12]
A new study by the London-based think tank Taxpayers Alliance
has exposed how EU funds are subsidizing Islamist-inspired violence
and anti-Israeli and anti-Western propaganda in the Palestinian
territories.[13] This is done through direct financial
support for the Palestinian Authority and funding for the
Palestinian education system, which produces textbooks "that
promote martyrdom, support the execution of apostates and support
insurgents fighting British troops in Iraq." There are also major
concerns over EU funding of Non-Governmental Organizations (NGOs)
operating in the Palestinian territories without proper
accountability and transparency.[14]
Israeli Membership of NATO
As tensions with Iran escalate, and as the stakes are
dramatically raised, the United States should support the admission
of Israel into NATO,[15] which would offer a collective security
guarantee in the face of Tehran's saber-rattling. Since the end of
the Cold War, NATO has been searching for a continued role in the
world, following its highly successful period deterring the Soviet
Union. If NATO is to remain relevant, it must continue to adapt to
new threats on the international stage while retaining its timeless
commitment to Western security and values.
Israel, which spends nearly 8 percent of its GDP on defense (in
contrast to the NATO average of 1.74 percent excluding the United
States), would be a major net asset to the Alliance, possessing a
first rate army, air force and navy, as well as outstanding
intelligence and special forces capability. There is likely to be
strong initial opposition to the move by some European countries,
including France and Belgium, but it is a debate that NATO should
have sooner rather than later.
Israel meets NATO qualifications in terms of being a democracy,
having a free market economy, and being able to contribute to the
common defense. In fact, unlike many new NATO members, it is a net
addition to the alliance, with a military capable of all aspects of
war fighting, lift and logistics ability, and a second-to-none
officer corps. Israel has active armed forces numbering 133,000 men
and women, with 380,000 in reserve. It possesses up to 200 warheads
capable of nuclear delivery, as well as a well-equipped air force
and navy.[16] There is little doubt that Israel's
intelligence capabilities have also been a vital asset in
prosecuting the global war against Islamist terrorism.
Israel and Membership of the European Union
The past month has seen some positive developments in the arena
of EU-Israel relations. In a move heavily criticized by Palestinian
and Egyptian leaders, Brussels significantly upgraded its
relationship with Tel Aviv during the annual EU-Israel Association
Council meeting, a reflection of improving ties since the departure
from the world stage of Jacques Chirac and Gerhard Schröder.
Formal ties will be strengthened in three areas: diplomatic and
political cooperation; a joint working group to explore Israeli
entry into the European single market; and Israeli participation in
some European agencies and programs.
Although full EU membership is unlikely to be on the table in
the immediate future, it is conceivable that Israel may seek
membership of the European Union within the next decade. Like
Turkey, a leading candidate for membership of the EU, Israel is
already closely tied to Europe in economic, sporting and cultural
terms. Israel is, for example, part of UEFA, the governing body of
European football, and its teams play in the European Champions
League and UEFA Cup.
There are, though, significant hurdles on both sides. An Israeli
application to join the EU would undoubtedly attract intense
opposition from some Western European members with a track record
of strong antipathy toward Israeli foreign policy (such as Belgium)
and would spark a major debate across Europe. It would be a far
more contentious issue than the recent accession of Eastern and
Central European countries, and Israel would have to face down
considerable hostility from officials in the European Commission
and the European Parliament as well as widespread anti-Semitism
that still rears its ugly head in parts of Europe.
For Israel, a chief concern regarding EU membership would be a
potential loss of national sovereignty. There would naturally be
strong opposition in Tel Aviv toward the centralization of
political and military power in Brussels, in the shape of the
European Security and Defence Policy (ESDP) and Common Foreign and
Security Policy (CFSP), both major constraints on Israel's freedom
to operate independently.
Israeli membership of the EU itself could work only if Europe
moves away from "ever closer union" toward a more flexible,
decentralized grouping of nation states, centered on the principle
of free markets and the free movement of goods and services. The
Irish rejection of the Treaty of Lisbon in last month's referendum
struck a huge blow against the creation of a European superstate,
and there are hopes that this seminal event will pave the way for a
European Union that actually respects the principle of national
sovereignty.
There are, however, no guarantees that Europe's political elites
will listen to public opinion and change course-after all,
democracy is usually the last thing on the minds of EU bureaucrats.
A safer alternative for Israel would be membership of the European
Free Trade Area (EFTA), with all the benefits of the European
single market but less of the political baggage of the EU.
Conclusion
The admission of Israel to NATO should be an important foreign
policy goal for the United States. Israel is a vital American ally
and friend, and membership of the alliance would be in America's
and Israel's interest.
The United States, NATO and key European allies must work
together to defend Israel in the face of growing intimidation from
Iran and an array of international terrorist movements. The
consequences of a failure to deal with the Iranian threat are
immense: a nuclear-armed rogue state ruled by fanatical Islamist
extremists that will have no qualms about using its power to
dominate the Middle East or to arm a wide array of proxy
international terrorist groups. It is a vision of the future that
cannot be allowed to pass, and the European Union, as well as major
European powers, should reject negotiation in favor of an assertive
policy of zero tolerance for Iran's nuclear ambitions. This is a
time for tough resolve from European leaders, not a moment to
project weakness and indifference in the face of a brutal terrorist
regime.
The West must reject the illusory promise of "peace in our time"
conjured by advocates of an appeasement approach on both sides of
the Atlantic toward the mullahs of Iran and ensure the world does
not face a totalitarian Islamist regime armed with nuclear weapons.
The freedom that Israel currently enjoys was secured through the
sacrifice of her soldiers through several wars in the Middle East,
as well as the earlier sacrifice of American and British troops in
World War II. It is the same liberty that we cherish today in the
West, freedom that must be fought for and defended.
Nile Gardiner, Ph.D., is
director of the Margaret Thatcher Center for Freedom, a division of
the Kathryn and Shelby Cullom Davis Institute for International
Studies, at The Heritage Foundation.