Adapted from Heritage Center for Data Analysis Report No.
08-04 at http://www.heritage.org/Research/Labor/cda08-04.cfm
Many Americans remember the economy of a generation ago as an
era where most workers earned good wages that enabled them to
provide for their families, had generous benefits, and enjoyed job
security. Especially with the current economic weakness, they fear
that such jobs are now disappearing. To many, the idea of a
lifetime job with an employer-provided pension and health benefits
seems a relic of the past.
These fears are unfounded. Opportunities rise and fall with the
business cycle, and many good jobs have disappeared since the 1970s
- but so too have many undesirable low-wage positions. The economy
is constantly in flux, creating new jobs and destroying old ones.
Last year employers created 58 million new jobs, but eliminated 55
million existing positions. On balance, however, the quality of
jobs available to Americans has increased over the past
generation.
Employers today need fewer workers doing mindlessly repetitive
or physically demanding tasks. Computer programs and robots now do
much of this work. Jobs such as machine operators, assemblers, and
material handlers have decreased their share of total employment
considerably since 1980.
But computers cannot think for or interact with people, and
highly paid jobs that require greater mental skills are an
increasingly large part of the economy. Executive and managerial,
professional specialty, and technical and sales jobs are the three
most highly paid occupations in America. They have expanded their
share of employment by 10 percent since 1980.
Employers need more educated workers in these jobs, and both the
average education level and the return to education in the economy
have grown dramatically. Americans work in an economy where skills
and education provide a pathway to success. This shift benefits
American workers. The increased need for highly skilled and
educated workers means expanded opportunities for upward mobility.
The average annual incomes of American-born workers rose 27 percent
between 1980 and 2000.
Wages are only part of what workers earn. Benefits make up 30
percent of the typical worker's total compensation. Contrary to
popular perceptions, jobs with benefits are not disappearing:
- Workers are just as likely to work in jobs with health benefits
now as in the mid-1990s.
- More workers have paid sick leave today than in the past.
- Pension coverage rates have remained stable.
- Pension benefits have changed toward greater employee control.
Most workers today have defined-contribution pensions that provide
higher returns and give them the flexibility to move between
employers.
Concerns about decreased job security are also misplaced.
Conventional wisdom holds that workers have less job security than
in the past. This is not the case. Workers are somewhat more likely
to change jobs than in the 1980s, but this is because workers are
more likely to voluntarily decide to move between employers.
Companies, however, are much less likely to fire or lay off workers
than a generation ago. Workers jobs are more secure today than in
the 1970s.
Jobs have also improved in non-monetary ways. Jobs are safer and
more comfortable than a generation ago. Working on an assembly line
is substantially less pleasant and more dangerous than working on
documents in an office. On-the-job injuries have declined
significantly in recent decades.
Projecting the future is difficult, but the best estimates
indicate that despite the current weakness in the economy,
long-term job growth will continue to occur in higher-paying
occupations. Today, the typical American works in a better job than
his or her parents did, and his or her children will probably work
in a better job still.
James Sherk is
Bradley Fellow in Labor Policy in the Center for Data Analysis
at The Heritage Foundation.