An examination of the rankings of oil-rich counties in the
2008 Index of Economic Freedom, published by The Heritage
Foundation and The Wall Street Journal, reveals that, for
the most part, citizens of oil-producing countries are stuck in
poverty. Many live under brutal and dictatorial regimes. These
factors combine to create what economists have long termed the
"curse of oil."[1]
But that does not mean oil-rich countries are doomed to economic
mediocrity. As the following statistics will demonstrate, it is a
nation's policies, not its products, that determine its economic
well-being.
Subsequently, oil-rich nations with opportunities to increase
economic freedom, such as Iraq, should adopt policies capable of
defeating the "curse of oil."
"Oil-Cursed" Countries Get Failing Grades
As illustrated by the table,[2] the majority of countries
from where most of the world's oil supply is lifted fall into
either the "Mostly Unfree" or "Repressed" rankings in the 2008
Index. The high per capita income levels that would be
expected in countries with great resource wealth are simply not
present.
Many of these countries have low scores on most of the 10 freedoms
that are reviewed in the Index, especially property
rights, labor freedom, financial freedom and, above all, freedom
from corruption, as described in the following excerpts from the
2008 Index:[3]
- Business Freedom: "Iran's economy is unfree in
many ways. Business [is] regulated heavily by an intrusive and
highly inefficient bureaucracy. Obtaining a business license takes
670 days, compared to the world average of 234 days. Bureaucratic
hurdles … increase the cost of doing business. Closing a
business is difficult."
- Trade Freedom: "Kazakhstan's …
non-transparent regulations and standards, service market access
barriers, import licensing requirements, opaque government
procurement, weak enforcement of intellectual property rights, and
customs inefficiency and complexity add to the cost of trade."
- Fiscal Freedom: "Russia has weak or average
scores in every area. The top individual income and corporate tax
rates are relatively low at 13 percent and 24 percent,
respectively, but overall tax revenue is relatively high as a
percentage of GDP."
- Government Size: "Libya scores poorly in
… government size. … Oil dominates the economy, and
the government dominates the oil sector. Total government
expenditures, including consumption and transfer payments, are very
high."
- Monetary Freedom: "Inflation [in Venezuela] is
high … averaging 14.9 percent between 2004 and 2006. [Recent
2008 estimates are as high as 30 percent.[4]] Relatively unstable prices
[are caused by] government controls [on] most prices through
regulation, subsidies, and numerous state-owned enterprises and
utilities and uses … guaranteed minimum prices to protect
agricultural producers … [distorting] domestic prices."
- Investment Freedom: "Investment is basically
unwelcome [in Angola], corruption is crippling, and political
influence mars the judiciary. Commercial regulations are a severe
hindrance to opening and closing a business, and inconsistent,
confusing regulations make it hard to operate a successful
company."
- Financial Freedom: "Brazil suffers from weak
financial freedom and a large central government. Significant
restrictions on foreign capital exist in many areas, and the
government remains heavily involved in the banking and financial
sectors."
- Property Rights: "The right to hold and
accumulate private property [in Venezuela] was further eroded in
2007 by changes in the constitution, nationalization, and
expropriations."
- Freedom from Corruption: "Corruption is
perceived as pervasive [in Nigeria, which] ranks 142nd out of 163
countries in Transparency International's Corruption Perceptions
Index for 2006. Corruption is endemic at all levels of government
and society, and the president, vice president, governors, and
deputy governors are constitutionally immune from civil and
criminal prosecution."
- Labor Freedom: "Algeria's labor market is
shackled by restrictive employment regulations
that hinder employment opportunity and productivity growth. Further
flexibility in the labor market is needed to increase the private
sector's competitiveness."
Exceptions That Prove the Rule
- Chile: How did Chile
(Index rank #8) escape the "curse of copper"? The
Index specifically praises the Chilean government's
openness to foreign investment as well as its effort to fight
corruption and protect property rights. Overall, rule of law in
Chile is "remarkably open and transparent."[5] Furthermore, in
1985, the Chilean government created the Copper Stabilization Fund
(later renamed the Economic and Social Stabilization Fund) "to hold
excess copper revenues so that social spending can be maintained
during periods of copper shortfalls." [6], [7]
- Norway: The Index
ranks Norway 34th in the world. "Norwegians enjoy high levels of
business freedom, trade freedom, property rights, and freedom from
corruption. The average tariff rate is low, although some
non-tariff barriers complicate trade. Starting a business takes
only a few days, and the overall protection of business operations
is high. Norway has an efficient, independent judiciary that
protects property rights effectively, and corruption is
negligible."[8]
The Best Solution: Get It Right from the
Start
Iraq is one oil-cursed nation that has been given a chance to
start over. Having recently traded a dictatorship for a fledgling
federal constitutional form of government, officials in the
oil-rich autonomous Iraqi region of Kurdistan want to capitalize on
the stability fostered by the U.S. and Iraqi military forces. Under
the newly established Iraqi federal system, the Kurds have gained
the right to exploit their extraordinary oil reserves and are
planning to mange these resources more like the Chileans or
Norwegians and less like the Venezuelans or Nigerians.
The Kurds, too, believe that sharing the prosperity from the oil
fairly (thereby raising per capita income) and planning for a
brighter future requires economic diversification. Kurdish leaders
have stated that they do not want an "oil economy" and will place
equal emphasis on sectors such as agriculture and tourism.[9] They
are actively encouraging private investment and business
formation.
The Sunni and Shiite Iraqis should take notice. There is no
reason they or other oil-rich nations cannot follow suit.
James M. Roberts
is Research Fellow for Economic Freedom and Growth in the Center
for International Trade and Economics (CITE) at The Heritage
Foundation. Daniel J. Leahy of Bend, Oregon, is a
consultant on petroleum and natural resource issues and a graduate
student in management at Concordia University in Portland,
Oregon.CITE intern James Bezjian made valuable
contributions to this memo.
[1]
"The Curse of Oil: The Paradox of Plenty," The Economist,
December 20, 2005, at http://www.economist.com/business/displaystory.cfm?
story_id=5323394 (July 7, 2008). See Also: Stephen P. A.
Brown and Richard Alm, "Running on Empty? How Economic Freedom
Affects Oil Supplies," Economic Letter-Insights from the
Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, Vol. 1, No. 4, April 2006, at
http://www.dallasfed.org/research/eclett/2006/el0604.html
(July 9, 2008).
[2] As
illustrated by the table,*.
[3] All
Index quotations in the 10 freedoms are from Kim R.
Holmes, Edwin R. Feulner, and Mary Anastasia O'Grady, 2008
Index of Economic Freedom (Washington, D.C.: The Heritage
Foundation and Dow Jones & Company, Inc., 2008), at http://www.heritage.org/index/countries.cfm.
[4]
Fabiola Sanchez, "Venezuela's monthly inflation hits 3.2 percent,
highest this year," Associated Press, June 9, 2008.
[5]
Holmes, Feulner, and O'Grady, 2008 Index, pp. 137-138.
[8]
Holmes, Feulner, and O'Grady, 2008 Index, pp. 301-302.
[9] Ben
Lando, "Tourism, not terrorism: Resort rising in semi-autonomous
northern Iraq," The Washington Times, June 18, 2008, p.
A21.