Section 1062 of the National Defense Authorization Act for
Fiscal Year 2008 created a congressionally appointed
commission to review the strategic posture of the United States.
The Congressional Commission on the Strategic Posture of the United
States is charged with assessing the entire strategic posture of
the U.S., including offensive and defensive forces and
conventional and nuclear forces. It is chaired by former Secretary
of Defense William Perry and co-chaired by former Secretary of
Defense and Secretary of Energy James Schlesinger. The commission's
initial report is due later this year.
The commission's review comes at a perilous time for U.S.
strategic forces. The U.S. nuclear arsenal and stockpile have
been atrophying since the end of the Cold War. Strategic defenses,
which were all but abandoned during the Cold War, continue to
lag behind the threat resulting from the proliferation of weapons
of mass destruction (WMDs) and their delivery systems. Congress has
been reluctant to pursue conventional strategic strike programs,
which are also referred to as prompt global strike systems.
However, the commission's most pressing problem is adapting
the U.S. strategic posture to maintaining national security
and stability in the multipolar world that has replaced what
commentator Charles Krauthammer has called the "unipolar
moment" that immediately followed the end of the Cold War. This
multipolar world has resulted from the post-Cold War proliferation
of weapons of mass destruction, particularly nuclear weapons and
related delivery systems.
In this multipolar environment, the commission should recommend
to Congress that the U.S. adopt a damage limitation strategy to
replace the retaliatory deterrence strategy that dominated
U.S. policy during the Cold War. A damage limitation strategy would
seek to protect the peoples, territories, institutions, and
infrastructure of the United States and its allies against attacks
by defeating such attacks and, barring the outright defeat of such
attacks, limiting their attendant damage to the greatest extent
possible.
Three Schools of Thought. An engaged public debate on the
proper U.S. strategic posture for the emerging multipolar world has
yet to take place. The Strategic Posture Commission is designed to
fill this intellectual vacuum. The three schools of thought that
dominated the debate over the proper U.S. strategic posture after
World War II and at the onset of the Cold War are reemerging in the
context of today's multipolar world. While these schools represent
distinct alternative approaches--nuclear disarmament,
multilateralized retaliation-based deterrence, and damage
limitation strategy--particular policymakers may attempt to
draw on certain aspects of each, despite the contradictions
inherent in this approach.
Given today's multipolar world, the Strategic Posture Commission
should recommend that Congress adopt a damage limitation
approach. However, the commission will need to explain such a
strategy to Congress.
A Damage Limitation Strategy for a Multipolar World. The
best approach for explaining the damage limitation strategy,
and by extension the strategic posture it advocates, is to
describe the strategy's basic tenets in the context of today's
multipolar world. Beyond describing these basic tenets, the
Strategic Posture Commission could also suggest model legislative
text to Congress, which would help Congress to codify the damage
limitation strategy in law. The basic tenets of the damage
limitation strategy are as follows:
- The purpose of the U.S. strategic posture is to limit the
damage from attacks on the U.S. and its friends and allies,
particularly damage from attacks with nuclear, biological, and
chemical weapons.
- A retaliation-based deterrence strategy is inappropriate
for today's multipolar world.
- An effective damage limitation strategy relies on a mix of
offensive and defensive forces.
- An effective damage limitation strategy requires a global
strategic target list that is constantly updated.
- The U.S. must modernize its strategic posture.
- The U.S. should promote international movement toward a
damage limitation strategy.
- The U.S. should pursue arms control in a way that focuses on
the most difficult targets.
- The U.S. should continue to pursue nonproliferation.
Conclusion. Since the end of the Cold War, Congress has
operated in an intellectual vacuum regarding the policy governing
the U.S. strategic posture. This was due partly to the less
pressing demands during the "unipolar moment" that followed
the Cold War and the Clinton Administration's policy of
neglect toward U.S. strategic forces.
Now, at the dawn of a multipolar era, Congress needs to act. The
Strategic Posture Commission's purpose should be to help Congress
fill this intellectual vacuum.
The commission will need to choose from three options in making
its recommendation to Congress. The first option is to establish a
strategy based on U.S. nuclear disarmament in the hope that others
will follow the U.S. lead. The second is to adapt the Cold War
strategy of the balance of terror to a multipolar environment.
The final and best option is for Congress to adopt a damage
limitation strategy, which entails protecting and defending the
United States and its allies against attack in service to a broader
concept of deterrence than applied during the Cold War.
By recommending a damage limitation strategy, the Strategic
Posture Commission will be urging that Congress honor its
constitutional responsibility to provide for the common defense.
The people of the United States expect the federal government to
protect them. By adopting a damage limitation strategy,
Congress can respond positively to that expectation.
Baker Spring
is F. M. Kirby Research Fellow in National Security Policy in
the Douglas and Sarah Allison Center for Foreign Policy Studies, a
division of the Kathryn and Shelby Cullom Davis Institute for
International Studies, at The Heritage Foundation.