Over a week ago, French President Nicholas Sarkozy threatened to
convene an emergency EU summit to deliberate on the
Georgian-Russian War.
On Monday, Sarkozy made good on his promise, announcing that
precisely such an extraordinary meeting of EU leaders will occur in
Brussels on September 1.
Russia has recognized independence of South Ossetia and
Abkhazia, and the EU needs to address this violation of
international law. Subsequently, the summit is intended to discuss
two key issues:
- The EU's aid and reconstruction package for Georgia; and
- The EU's future relationship with Russia.
It would be appropriate for the EU to add a third agenda item to
the summit-non-recognition of Abkhazian and South Ossetian
independence-and to take steps opposing unilateral state boundary
changes in Europe through the use of force.
The Georgian-Russian War has demonstrated deep divisions among
European powers about how to handle Russia, with Central and
Eastern Europe and the Nordic states on one side and Continental
Europe led by France and Germany on the other. Next week's EU
summit will take place under the most trying of circumstances as
the Kremlin has formally recognized the independence of South
Ossetia and Abkhazia. Therefore, it is important that the EU,
working together with the United States, sends Moscow an
unequivocal message: Actions have consequences.
Neutrality is no longer an option for Europe. The EU must make
sure its summit's conclusions are as much about Georgia as Russia
and extend the hand of friendship to a nation with clear
Euro-Atlantic aspirations.
Aid, Trade, and Reconstruction
Both the United States and the EU were quick to offer
humanitarian assistance to war-torn Georgia. The USS McFaul
recently docked in the Georgian port of Batumi with aid supplies,
thus complementing USAID's immediate humanitarian effort. U.S. aid
to Georgia in the past week alone totals more than $10 million.[1] The EU
has also authorized an additional €5 million in aid money on
top of the €1 million released within days of the outbreak of
the conflict.[2]
More significantly, the head of the U.S. European Command and
NATO's Supreme Allied Commander for Europe, U.S. Gen. John
Craddock, recently pledged U.S. military aid for Georgia to rebuild
its depleted capacity during his visit there last week. Although
the U.S. has not stipulated the amount of military aid it will
send, Russia calculatingly destroyed a significant part of
Georgia's war-fighting capacity, and any serious attempt at
rebuilding it will exceed the current level of security assistance
the U.S. provides to Georgia.

[3]The
planned EU assessment mission should work with the U.S. to make a
full inventory of the level of reconstruction aid that will be
required.
Upon its request for emergency assistance for Georgia at the
outbreak of the conflict, the EU received immediate responses from
the Czech Republic, Estonia, Latvia, France, Greece, Hungary,
Austria, Lithuania, Poland, Sweden, and Slovakia. Emergency
supplies such as tents, sleeping bags, and medicines were
dispatched straight away, overseen by EU experts from the
Commission's Humanitarian Aid Office (ECHO).
The EU should harness this generosity by basing permanent ECHO
experts in-country to liaise between Brussels and Tbilisi on
Georgia's long-term rebuilding efforts. Although the EU has a
pitiful record on managing aid-a record that led a British minister
of state to describe the European Commission as "the worst [aid]
agency in the world"-the organization has an opportunity to
demonstrate at least some relevance in this conflict by working
with its member states in managing a well crafted aid strategy, in
cooperation with other international actors, for a country
recovering from the horrors of war.[4]
Such a strategy could well mean that the EU is simply a forum
for coordinating donors or a focal point for generating
international giving. For instance, the U.K.'s Department for
International Development has a far superior record in managing
large aid projects and would work well alongside the EU rather than
sending its money through them as a middle man. The EU should not
play power politics here to become the only European aid actor but
rather use its penchant for soft power to garner added value. For
instance, the International Crisis Group has called for an
international donors conference to be convened sooner rather than
later.[5] The EU could play a valuable coordination
role at such a conference.
The EU also has another important weapon that can be used to
express its solidarity with Tbilisi. When it adopted the EU-Georgia
Neighborhood Policy Action Plan in November 2006, it stated: "The
European Union takes note of Georgia's expressed European
aspirations." It explicitly affirmed its respect for Georgia's
sovereignty and territorial integrity and looked at extremely
detailed ways to increase its trading relationship.[6] The EU must use this
opportune time to fulfill its commitment to Georgia by expediting
its feasibility study exploring the possibility of establishing a
free trade agreement between the EU and Georgia. Working in
conjunction with Europe's aid policies, it can help facilitate
trade by directing reconstruction projects such as rebuilding the
port facilities at Poti.
Additionally, in a show of solidarity with Georgia, the EU
should transfer its entire aid budget for Russia to Georgia. Since
1991, €2.7 billion of assistance has been provided to Russia
through the European Commission. As Russia accumulated
approximately $600 billion in hard currency reserves and boasts a
GDP of over $1 trillion a year, it hardly needs EU aid. Even though
the level of assistance has "considerably diminished" in recent
years, between €60 million and €100 million per annum has
been made available to Russia over the next few years to develop
EU-Russia relations in areas of security, justice, and, ironically,
crisis management.[7] In reality, this money is designed to
elicit cooperation and international compliance with a range of
pointless European regulations by a country that has shown itself
to be more of an antagonist than a partner. In fact, Russia has
promised $420 million in aid for South Ossetia, making a mockery of
EU generosity.[8] In light of the recent Russian aggression
and geopolitical bullying, the EU should send a message to Moscow
by terminating the aid.
Europe's Leverage over Russia
Under the leadership of Nicholas Sarkozy, Europe has thus far
steered an unsuccessful path in meaningfully resolving the Georgian
crisis. By recognizing South Ossetia and Abkhazia, Moscow signaled
that it is not interested in de-escalation, is not (so far)
impressed by the West's response, and may be taking Europe for
granted. If Russia is not stopped now, it may decide to pursue
similar policies in Ukraine and possibly even the Baltic
states¾all to the great detriment of European security.
Having negotiated a six-point ceasefire, Russia missed two
deadlines for withdrawal and destroyed much of Georgia's
infrastructure in the interim. Sarkozy then took the case to the
United Nations Security Council (UNSC), where he intensified
diplomatic efforts to find a peace agreement. If France is to
remain in the driving seat, it must accept that meaningful
resolution in the UNSC is unlikely. As a permanent member of the
UNSC, Russia has the ability to veto council resolutions, and it
has demonstrated that it is quite prepared to do so.
The EU must therefore be prepared to use alternate leverage to
pressure Russia. As EU spokesman Martin Selmayr noted, "We can't
send stormtroopers, but we have a trade and economic policy we can
discuss. We are an economic force."[9] In addition to its commitment
on trade and aid, France should begin now to convince its EU
partners to take to following concrete measures:
- Withdraw its support for Russia's membership of the World Trade
Organization;
- Disinvite Russia from future G-8 meetings;
- Announce that France will sponsor a move in the International
Olympic Committee to transfer the Winter 2014 Olympics from the
Russian resort of Sochi, which is 20 kilometers from the
Russian-Georgian border, to a different location; and
- Suspend negotiation of an EU-Russian trade and investment
treaty.
These steps would send a powerful signal to Moscow that the West
stands together in confronting Russia's illegal recognition of
South Ossetia and Abkhazia and immoral actions in Georgia. Such
steps would also undermine Russia's longer-term strategy of
dividing the West.
Countering the Bear
It should come as no surprise that "New" Europe wants to see a
stronger reaction to the reawakening of Russian aggression. As
military strategist Fred Kagan stated, Russia has "established a
precedent in Georgia where they think they can use force to defend
Russian minorities in other countries."[10] This is the stuff that two
world wars, which started in Europe, were made of. Violent conflict
is not a thing of the past for Europe, and the sooner Europe equips
itself to confront the challenges of a resurgent Russia, the
better.
President Sarkozy and Chancellor Merkel have taken a far too
ambiguous line against Russia since the start of this conflict,
acting in a mixture of roles from mediator to honest broker.
Sitting between two chairs may not work any longer. If Europe is to
take Moscow's belligerence seriously, it needs to be ready to
act-and act with enough toughness to stop the Russian bear in its
tracks.
Sally McNamara is Senior
Policy Analyst in European Affairs in the Margaret Thatcher Center
for Freedom, a division of the Kathryn and Shelby Cullom Davis
Institute for International Studies, and Ariel Cohen, Ph.D., is
Senior Research Fellow in Russian and Eurasian Studies and
International Energy Security in the Douglas and Sarah Allison
Center for Foreign Policy Studies, a division of the Davis
Institute, at The Heritage Foundation.
[4]
"Short Attacks EU Aid Agency," Birmingham Post, May
18, 2000.
[8]
"Russia vs Georgia: The Fallout," International Crisis Group, p.
24.