The impending visit of Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad to
address the opening of the U.N. General Assembly dramatically
underscores the weakness of the U.N. in confronting one of the most
dangerous security threats in the world today. Ahmadinejad's
radical regime continues to defy U.N. Security Council resolutions
regarding its nuclear program and seeks to destabilize fragile
democracies that the U.N. supports in Iraq, Afghanistan, and
Lebanon. Moreover, Ahmadinejad has--in statements that can be
construed as incitement for genocide--repeatedly called for the
destruction of the state of Israel, a member in good standing of
the U.N. Despite Ahmadinejad's aggressive foreign policy and
repression of Iranian human rights at home, the president of U.N.
General Assembly has regrettably seen fit to honor the Iranian
leader by attending a dinner for him later this week.
Ahmadinejad's Parting Shots
Before leaving Tehran and traveling to the opening of the
General Assembly in New York, President Ahmadinejad ratcheted up
his bellicose rhetoric. He provocatively asserted that the
holocaust was a "fake" and proclaimed that Israel was perpetrating
a holocaust against Palestinians. This cynical Israel-bashing was
accompanied by continued defiance on the nuclear front. Not only
did Ahmadinejad boast that Iran had no fear of another round of
U.N. sanctions, but in a speech at a military parade--which
included missiles capable of hitting the Jewish state and a truck
that bore a banner with the message "Israel should be eliminated
from the universe"--he warned that Iran would "break the hand" of
any power that tried to strike at its nuclear facilities.
Meanwhile, Ahmadinejad's regime is accelerating efforts to
attain a nuclear weapon that potentially threatens Israel with
another holocaust. The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA)
released a report on September 15 noting that Iran has expanded its
uranium enrichment program and now operates about 3,800
centrifuges--up from 3,300 in May--and is busy installing
approximately 2,000 more. Although Tehran claims that its uranium
enrichment program is designed solely to manufacture fuel for
nuclear reactors, this program can also produce the fissile
material necessary to arm a nuclear weapon. The September 15 IAEA
report also noted that Tehran has failed to answer longstanding
questions about documents indicating Iran has tried to develop a
nuclear warhead and modify the nose cones of some of its missiles
to carry a nuclear payload.
The U.N.'s Failure to Curb Iran's
Nuclear Program
Iranian stonewalling on the nuclear issue has led the IAEA
investigation to a dead end. The United States has sought to coax
another sanctions resolution out of the U.N. Security Council,
which has previously passed three rounds of limited sanctions on
Iran due to that nation's failure to halt its uranium enrichment
program and fulfill its obligations under the Nuclear
Non-Proliferation Treaty. But past American and European efforts to
ratchet up sanctions against Iran have been frustrated by Russia
and China, both of which have lucrative trade relationships and
strategic ties to Tehran. Both countries have delayed and diluted
efforts to impose sanctions at the Security Council.
The United States hosted a meeting on the Iranian nuclear issue
with senior diplomats from Russia, China, Britain, France, and
Germany at the State Department last Friday, but reportedly no
agreement was reached. Nor is one likely to emerge in the immediate
future. Russia's relations with the West have been severely
strained by its invasion of Georgia, and Moscow has threatened to
retaliate for Western criticism by taking action on other fronts.
On September 18, Russia announced plans to sell more military
equipment to Iran, including new anti-aircraft missiles that Iran
could deploy to protect its illicit nuclear weapons program. Russia
has already delivered Tor-M1 anti-aircraft missiles under a deal
made with Iran in 2005 and continues work on Iran's Bushehr
reactor, which will soon become operational. Given Moscow's
increasingly confrontational behavior, the U.N. Security Council is
likely to remain ineffective in addressing the Iranian nuclear
issue because of the threat of the Russian veto.
Given Iran's brazen defiance of three U.N. Security Council
resolutions, it is disturbing that Ahmadinejad will be allowed to
parade before the U.N. General Assembly and smugly hector a global
audience. Ahmadinejad seeks to shore up his flagging political
support at home by lambasting the United States and engaging in a
chest-thumping lecture on the superiority of Iran's radical
Islamist regime. Ahmadinejad's motivation for strutting on the U.N.
stage is understandable, but much less comprehensible is the
unseemly action taken by the newly installed president of the U.N.
General Assembly, Miguel d'Escoto Brockmann. Mr. d'Escoto, the
leftist Nicaraguan official who is close to President Daniel
Ortega, has agreed to speak alongside Ahmadinejad at a September 25
dinner.
It is a dangerous hypocrisy that such a high-level U.N. official
consorts with the Iranian leader during a tense standoff in which
Iran continues to defy the U.N. Security Council. This joint
appearance only makes a bad situation worse and confirms that the
U.N. is doomed to do too little too late to address the growing
security threat posed by Iran. The U.N. Security Council has missed
many opportunities to apply strong and effective sanctions against
Iran. If concerted action had been taken five years ago--shortly
after Iran's concealment of its uranium enrichment activities had
been revealed--the rising economic and international costs of its
nuclear defiance might have led Tehran to reconsider its drive for
nuclear weapons. Such action is more unlikely at the Security
Council now than ever before.
Working Outside the U.N.
The United States should try to ramp up further sanctions
against Iran outside the U.N. framework by working directly with
its Japanese and European allies to impose the strongest possible
bans on investment, loans, and trade with Iran. But the tight world
oil market reduces the prospects that effective sanctions will
ultimately be applied. The bottom line is that the failure of the
U.N. to enforce the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty and advance
the collective security of its members has increased the chances of
war in the near future.
James Phillips is Senior
Research Fellow for Middle Eastern Affairs in the Douglas and Sarah
Allison Center for Foreign Policy Studies, a division of the
Kathryn and Shelby Cullom Davis Institute for International
Studies, at The Heritage Foundation.