( Spanish
Executive Summary )
The irresponsible economic policies pursued by the government of
Argentina in the wake of its sovereign debt default in 2001,
and its debt-restructuring offer in 2005, provide a vivid case
study of the root causes of Argentina's steadily declining scores
in the annual Index of Economic Freedom published by The
Heritage Foundation and The Wall Street Journal.
In late December of 2001, Argentina declared a default on its
massive sovereign debt-the largest such default inworld history.[1]
In 2005, the country presented bondholders with its final offer, a
"take-it-or-leave-it" debt-swap proposal for bonds with an original
face value of $81 billion.[2] The offer required bondholders to
agree to a 70 percent reduction, the largest sovereign debt
"haircut" on record. Holders of bonds amounting to about 76 percent
of the debt- many of them state-owned banks and other entities of
the Argentine government with little say in the
decision-agreed to the swap. The remaining 24
percent-"holdout" bondholders-who rejected the offer include
more than half of Argentina's foreign creditors.
The country's current left-wing government, led first by
Peronist Party leader Néstor Kirchner (president from
2003 to 2007) and now by his wife, President Cristina
Fernández de Kirchner, has used revenues from commodities
exports to finance the same sort of populist policies that have
kept General Juan Peron and his political progeny in power in
Argentina more or less continuously since the 1940s with a simple
but economically destructive formula: wasteful welfare state
handouts, a swollen bureaucracy to redistribute wealth, and
powerful closed-shop trade unions protected from foreign
competition; all generously lubricated with corruption.
Although Argentina had made an impressive economic recovery
after the disastrous 2001-2002 crisis, the Kirchners pulled off
several years of economic growth with smoke and mirrors. They
thumbed their noses at conventional economic wisdom, imposing
price controls and a 21st-century version of Juan Peron's "Import
Substitution" industrialization policy, as well as essentially
lying about the true levels of inflation that their polices have
created. Not only does an artificially low inflation
figure overstate real gross domestic product (GDP) growth, it
also permits the government to make lower interest payments to
bondholders based on a consumer price index (CPI)-linked
formula.
The Kirchners have also toed the party line of their only major
benefactor-hard-left socialist president of Venezuela Hugo
Chavez-and so they are rejecting advice on market-friendly economic
reforms from the International Monetary Fund (IMF). In a cynical
move in 2005, the government of Argentina repaid more than $9
billion in low-interest loans from the IMF ahead of schedule,
greatly helped by revenue from high-interest bonds the Argentine
government sold to Chavez,[3] inflicting the resulting higher
interest payments on Argentina's beleaguered taxpayers. With
Argentina's loans paid off, the IMF has less leverage over the
Kirchner government.
Chavez is using Venezuela's oil wealth as a weapon to undermine
the IMF, which he accuses of being a tool of the Western
imperialist powers (led by the United States). Chavez is pushing
the creation of a South American competitor for the IMF- the
"Bank of the South" (Banco de Sur)-which he hopes to dominate
through Venezuelan oil wealth and use to advance his regional
political ambitions.[4]
At long last, the Kirchners' luck appears to be running out. The
economy is slowing and the Kirchners are finding it increasingly
difficult to convince people in Argentina and around the world
that the inflation figures reported by their government
statistical office (INDEC) are correct. Although INDEC maintains
that inflation in Argentina is running at an annual rate of 9
percent, most knowledgeable observers place the real figure at
roughly 30 percent[5] -and growing.
Meanwhile, facing declining government revenues due to the
economic slowdown they created, and the need to continue government
handouts to their urban-poor political base, the Kirchners
attempted to raise the already heavy taxes on exports of
agricultural commodities, especially soybeans, in March 2008.
That set off an unprecedented rebellion by Argentina's farmers
that has hurt the country's image around the world and shredded
Cristina's domestic approval rating. "Concerns are growing
that as the nation's economy slows, if Kirchner doesn't deal with
mounting debt, rising inflation, sagging investment, and limited
resources to pay for subsidies, then Argentina may be on the way to
an economic crisis and [another] debt default."[6]
Hundreds of U.S. companies operate in or export to Argentina,
employing tens of thousands of people[7] whose futures have been
jeopardized by the Argentine government's long-standing refusal to
settle with the holdouts. The country's investment
climate has been damaged.[8] This past August,
Standard & Poor's cut Argentina's foreign-debt rating from B+
to B,[9] which is five grades below investment
grade[10] and places Argentina in the same
category as Belize and Burkina Faso, far behind neighbor and rival
Brazil (which achieved investment grade in 2008).[11] This lower
rating will raise the cost of borrowing for Argentine
businesses and make Argentina less competitive in the global
economy.
Impartial rule of law, government transparency, and vigilance
against state corruption are among the most important measurements
used to calculate the annual Index of Economic Freedom. The
Kirchners' Peronist government has callously disregarded them
all-as demonstrated by Argentina's steadily declining scores-and
this has been well illustrated by their attitude toward the
bond-debt-swap holdouts. It is a classic case of an assault by
a leftist-populist regime on the property rights of both
domestic and foreign bondholders.
The Kirchners' aggressive and antagonistic attitude toward
the holdouts (refusing until only recently even to consider
re-entering negotiations) threatens to undermine established and
time-tested international lending norms, ultimately to the
detriment of all developing nations. As a leader of the
globalized economy and the international financial institutions
that have ensured prosperity for billions of people over the past
50 years, the United States has a special responsibility to prevent
abuse of that system by Argentina or other rogue nations.
The U.S. Administration should insist that the IMF, the
Inter-American Development Bank, and the World Bank withhold any
future lending to Argentina until Argentina adopts free-market and
good-governance reforms addressed in the Index of Economic
Freedom.
The U.S. Congress should hold hearings on the threat to both the
U.S. economy and the world financial system if more sovereign
debtors were to follow the bad example of Argentina and repudiate
their debts. Congress should also investigate possible
legislative remedies to prevent abuse of the legal system by
sovereign debtors.
Argentina's Ongoing Debt Crisis
One of the wealthiest countries in the world a hundred years
ago, "Argentina suffered during most of the 20th century from
recurring economic crises, persistent fiscal and current account
deficits, high inflation, mounting external debt, and capital
flight."[12] Though Argentina's most recent
military dictatorship was finally overthrown in 1983, three of the
democratically elected presidents since then have left office early
and another served only in a caretaker capacity. In fact, during
the 2001 debt default, Argentina went through five presidents in
two weeks.[13]
Early Reforms Sank into the Morass of Peronist Party
Corruption. After the Cold War, Argentina and other Latin
American governments wanted to repair their economies damaged by
the "lost decades" of the 1970s and 1980s, when Argentina and many
other countries in the region were ruled by dictatorships and
bedeviled by hyperinflation.[14] By the time Carlos
Menem was elected president of Argentina in 1989, inflation was
raging at a rate of at least 250 percent-per month.[15] Menem and other Latin leaders
implemented the "Washington Consensus," a series of policy steps
needed for an economy to enter the modern world-macroeconomic
discipline, microeconomic liberalization, and participation in the
global economy.[16]
Menem's sweeping market-based policies and his attempt to end 50
years of statism through an ambitious privatization program[17] led to increased investment
and growth with stable prices. Inflows of foreign direct investment
(FDI) to Argentina were among the highest in Latin America through
most of the 1990s.[18]
To break the back of hyperinflation in 1991, President Menem
adopted a Currency Board exchange rate mechanism and imposed
peso-dollar parity. The government pegged the Argentine peso to the
U.S. dollar at a 1:1 exchange rate through a strict
"convertibility" law.[19] "While convertibility defeated
inflation, over time the rigidity that it imposed on exchange rate
policy, combined with lack of fiscal discipline and poor
governance, undermined Argentina's export competitiveness and
created chronic deficits in the current account of the balance of
payments, which were financed by massive borrowing."[20]
In addition, unfortunately, neither Peronist Menem nor his
successor, Fernando de la Rúa of the Radical Party, followed
through on reforms needed to make Argentina's historically rigid
and anti-free-market labor laws more investor friendly, nor did
they reduce regulatory burdens on business, strengthen the
judiciary, or reduce impediments to trade. They withheld their
wholehearted support for the U.S.-led negotiations for a Free Trade
Area of the Americas (FTAA) agreement.[21] Even more
significantly, widespread corruption in the Menem and De la
Rúa administrations undermined confidence in the government
and hampered economic growth. The absence of deeper reforms caused
new investment flows to slow, unemployment to rise, and
"eventually, the [2001 debt] crisis [to] hit."[22]
2001: The Largest Sovereign Default in World History. In
1998, the domino effect of the Asian financial crisis "precipitated
an outflow of capital that gradually mushroomed into a four-year
depression, culminating in a financial panic in Argentina in
November 2001."[23] By early December, the financial
and political crisis came to a head. Private capital fled the
country and the government- drowning in debt-stopping interest
payments on government-issued bonds to tens of thousands of
individual investors, pension funds, and financial institutions (in
Argentina and abroad).

On December 20, 2001, amidst bloody riots, President De la
Rúa resigned.[24] At the end of the month, the
government defaulted on roughly $82 billion in privately held debt
and over $6 billion in "Paris Club" debt to official government
creditors (including approximately $360 million owed to the U.S.
government). It was "the largest sovereign debt default in
history,"[25] and it rattled the world's already
jittery financial markets.
The legislative assembly elected Peronist Eduardo Duhalde
on January 1, 2002, to complete De la Rùa's term. Duhalde
quickly abandoned the peso's 10-year-old convertibility link with
the dollar, a move that was followed by a sharp currency
depreciation and rising inflation. "While the [currency] board
was operating, most contracts in the [utilities and transport]
sector[s] were written in U.S. dollars; when the peso was devalued,
the government decided to void most of these agreements,"[26] an act of bad faith and a harbinger
of things to come.[27] As a result of the voided
contracts, for instance, "multi-year price freezes on electricity
and natural gas rates for residential users stoked consumption and
kept private investment away, leading to restrictions on industrial
use and blackouts [by] 2007."[28]
The 2003-2005 Restructuring Plan: Repudiating a $20
Billion Debt. After a new president, Peronist Néstor
Kirchner, took power in 2003, the government presented a
"take-it-or-leave-it"[29] debt-swap proposal to its foreign
and domestic creditors. The swap (which was slightly sweetened in
June 2004) amounted to a 70 percent reduction of the face value of
the original bonds, which creditors would be forced to exchange for
"three new bonds-Par, Quasi-Par and Discount-for a maximum
estimated face value of $21.8 billion, plus a coupon linked to GDP
growth [which the government pledged to maintain at 2.7
percent]."[30]
By 2005, bondholders accounting for a total of 76 percent of
Argentina's defaulted debt accepted the government's offer of about
30 cents per one dollar of original debt. Many of these bondholders
were Argentinean state-owned banks and government-controlled
pension funds, which had little recourse after the Kirchners
pressured them and threatened legal consequences if they refused to
sign off on the debt-swap deal. Even so, the 76 percent
acceptance rate was very low compared with other recent sovereign
restructurings.
The acceptance rate for international creditors, however, has
been estimated at only about 50 percent. And those foreign
holders of more than $20 billion in bonds, the "holdouts" who
refused to accept a 70 percent haircut in the 2003-2005
restructuring-which many called a "buzz cut"- are suing for full
repayment.[31]
The Argentine Government's Contempt for Bondholders.
Until very recently[32] the government of Argentina has
refused even to engage with the holdouts, among which are several
hedge funds, along with a number of pension funds as well as
individual investors from Germany, Italy, and elsewhere. After
rejecting the Argentine government's initial 2003 offer, the
holdouts sued the Argentinean government in U.S. federal courts, an
act that an irritated President Néstor Kirchner branded
"genocide."[33] Kirchner also scoffed when Rodrigo
de Rato, managing director of the IMF, requested that the
Argentinean government be more respectful to the holdouts and treat
its creditors with respect. Hans Humes, an asset manager who
represents investors holding about $40 billion worth of defaulted
debt, observed that Néstor Kirchner's behavior was proof
that "Argentina is just trying to bully people into accepting an
unacceptable offer."[34]
The intransigence of the Argentinean government toward the
holdouts, while perhaps attractive politically for the
Kirchners vis-à-vis their supporters, has been costly to the
government in other ways. Argentina's reputation among global
investors has deteriorated, and "the latent threat of
[attachment of assets by creditors] prevents [the government of
Argentina] from accessing international capital markets"[35] and thereby raises its borrowing
costs. Until recently, the continuing refusal by the government to
negotiate with the holdouts was causing the default to look
more and more like a repudiation. Very few countries have
taken such a hard stance in the past and those that have done so
(for example, Zimbabwe[36] ), have done incalculable damage to
their reputations and their investment climates.
Unfortunately, Argentina has a long history as a deadbeat in
world financial markets. In fact, the Paris Club, representing
developed countries' official government creditors, was invented to
deal with a sovereign debt default by Argentina-in 1956. [37]
The Kirchners' Cookbook: Subsidized Beef Served with Heavy
Inflation. The Kirchners' strategy has been to exploit
record-high commodity prices to finance their leftist-populist
policies and keep the peso artificially low. In the process they
have overheated the economy and stoked exports and inflation.[38]
To deal with the high inflation their policies have generated,
the Kirchners have simply denied that it is high and maintain the
fiction that inflation in Argentina is relatively moderate.
They imposed a new set of methodologies and ordered INDEC's
statisticians to abandon best practices. Criticism of INDEC's
figures has increased "as public and private estimates of price
increases diverge ever further."[39] Recent estimates by
private-sector analysts "put observed inflation closer to 30
percent."[40] Not only does an artificially low
inflation figure allow the Kirchners to overstate real GDP growth,
but it also permits the government to make lower interest
payments to domestic bondholders because the interest
calculation is based upon a formula using Argentina's CPI.
The Kirchners have used other tricks to hide inflation or
attempt to depress it. They have imposed wage and price controls
and have gone so far as to ban exports of world-famous Argentine
beef in order to flood the domestic market and drive down the
prices of beef (a staple food in Argentina).[41] In 2006,
"President Néstor Kirchner banned beef exports in an effort
to keep rising beef prices from pushing the country's [CPI] out of
control."[42]
These efforts to tamp down inflation artificially and provide
protection to local industry from competition from imports
have succeeded in the short run. According to Morgan Stanley
analyst David Volberg, "the peso has actually weakened nearly 2%
annually against a basket of its main trading partners, although it
should be strengthening because of strong terms of trade and steady
economic growth."[43]
Luck is Running Out for the Kirchners. As The
Economist noted recently, since the economy recovered in
"mid-2002….it has seemed to defy economic gravity.
[Argentina under the Kirchners has] violated many standard economic
prescriptions: it has shunned the IMF and shafted private
bondholders; kicked out foreign companies and set up new
state-owned ones…. Yet over the past six years, Argentina's
economy has grown at an annual average rate of 8.3%-faster
than any other big economy except China."[44]
Although the farmers benefited initially from increased
agricultural exports as a result of the government's weak peso
policy, the Kirchner government began to look at those export
revenues as a golden goose. When (now-former) Finance Minister
Martín Lousteau attempted to raise taxes on
agricultural exports to 44 percent earlier this year (the
third increase in six months), the farmers revolted, staging
strikes and blocking shipments of food, both for export and to
Argentine cities. Although the farmers demonstrated peacefully, the
government at times responded with police brutality and its
usual populist weapon-Communist rent-a-mobs (Picateros).[45]
After months of fruitless negotiations between the government
and the farmers over the level of export taxes, the legislature
finally resolved the impasse in a close vote that reflected great
political courage by Cristina Kirchner's vice president, Julio
Cobos.[46] The Kirchners were defeated by the
senate's decision to overturn the tax increase, but that means
that now government revenues will drop and Argentina's debt-to-GDP
ratio will deteriorate. Debt levels are rising-currently 56 percent
of GDP (67 percent if the debt owed to the haircut holdouts is
included), compared with 54 percent in 2001 at the time of the
default. Some economists in Argentina have raised the spectre of
another default on the horizon.[47]
The Economist reports that Argentina may be reaching that
turning point:
A slowdown, long predicted by the Kirchners' opponents, is
at hand. When compared with the same period last year, retail sales
(measured by volume) are down 10% to 15%. On Calle Florida, Buenos
Aires's main shopping street, almost every block has at least one
vacant shop front. Employment in the private sector is still
growing, but at half last year's rate, according to Nicolás
Bridger of Prefinex, a consultancy. Meanwhile, inflation has
taken off.[48]
British journalist AmbroseEvans-Pritchard reports that
Argentina still looks safe on paper, but he notes that "the yield
spread on inflation-linked peso debt has ballooned to 1230 basis
points. They are priced for the dustbin. The world's biggest
exporter of soybeans-and number two in corn-is riding the food
boom, even if at war with its own farmers. The trade surplus is $12
billion. Foreign reserves are more than $50 billion. Yet the
default premium is soaring anyway."[49] Evans-Pritchard
reports speculation by University of Maryland economics
professor Carmen Reinhart that the Kirchners are manipulating
the inflation figures to "engineer a partial default on
[Argentina's] domestic debt."[50]
Bondholders Win in U.S. Courts, and Then Lose. The
holdouts have been aggressive in trying to force the Kirchners to
pay their debts. Dozens of class action and individual lawsuits
have been filed against the Republic of Argentina in the Federal
District Court for the Southern District of New York. All of
the federal cases were heard by U.S. Circuit Judge Thomas Griesa,
who has consistently ruled in favor of the holdouts in the first
instance.[51] Many more claims have been brought
by Argentina's creditors in Europe before the International
Centre for Settlement of Investment Disputes (ICSID)-and in
Argentina's own courts.
Nonetheless, Argentina has managed to evade these adverse
rulings by shuffling its domestic assets. Creditors have been
unable to execute their judgments against the country because it
moved anything that might be attached from the United States and
has hidden the rest in protected accounts, such as those held by
its central bank. Seeking relief and with no other recourse, the
creditors appealed their enforcement action to the Second
Circuit in 2007 but lost on a fairly basic issue: They had sued the
wrong entity (the central bank instead of the Republic). The court
hinted, however, that they might have better luck simply alleging
fraud, that Argentina was abusing the law "to play a shell game to
deprive creditors of their legitimate remedies."[52] The
creditors have not yet indicated whether they will pursue this line
of attack.
Effects of Default Still Felt-In
Argentina and on Main Street, USA
Argentina's economy is slowing, but real GDP growth for 2008 is
still forecast to be 6 percent,[53] although it is
unclear how much that figure has been manipulated by erroneous
INDEC inflation figures. Nevertheless, there are growing problems
related to the default that will negatively affect growth and hurt
the average Argentinean: "mounting debt, rising inflation,
sagging investment, and limited resources to pay for subsidies"[54]
An analyst for Morgan Stanley predicts that the risk of a
wage-price spiral will increase in Argentina due to default-related
inflation. "We suspect that wage negotiations are a key
risk…and that…labor demands [for] wage growth [will]
further spur inflation and risk an economic downturn as both
supply and demand pull back."[55]
Lost: $6 Billion in New Foreign Direct Investment in
Argentina. There are at least 450 U.S. companies operating
in Argentina with more than 150,000 employees.[56] As noted
above, those workers' futures were jeopardized by the
Argentinean government's refusal, to date, to settle with the
holdouts, which has damaged the country's investment
climate.[57] At a recent meeting a panel of
distinguished economists lamented Argentina's long trail of
broken promises. They estimated that the country has failed to
attract approximately $6 billion in foreign direct investment
every year since the 2001 default. Much of that FDI has flowed
instead into Argentina's more stable and prosperous neighbors,
especially Brazil and Chile. "One problem lies in a history of
broken contracts, debt defaults, and weak institutions. Another is
the expectation of economic crises and investors' focus on
short-term gains. Economic damage has also resulted from price
controls, export bans, and the waning credibility of the INDEC
National Statistics Institute, in addition to Argentina's
still-defaulted Paris Club debt and litigation by holdouts from a
2005 sovereign restructuring."[58]
Why the Default and Restructuring is Significant to U.S.
Taxpayers and Workers. Argentina has borrowed more than $25
billion over the years from the Inter-American Development Bank
(IDB). Nearly 300 IDB loans were funded in part by American
taxpayers, since the U.S. government funds almost one-third of the
IDB's capital.[59] A default by Argentina on IDB loans
would, ultimately, have to be paid by the American taxpayer.
Argentina's default has also hurt the pension funds of American
teachers and other workers in the non-profit sector. The Teachers
Insurance and Annuity Association of America (TIAA-CREF) lost $100
million, not including lost interest and penalties, when
Argentina's government defaulted-a big hit to the pension funds of
teachers and college professors across the U.S.[60] The artificially low peso has hurt
U.S. soybean farmers. When the farmers were on strike in Argentina,
U.S. soybean exports rose. But when Argentina, the world's largest
producer of soybeans, returned to full production and began
exporting soybeans again at artificially low peso prices, "soybean
demand from U.S. processors fell 6.7 percent."[61]
Economic Freedom: Argentina's Sinking
Scores
Impartial rule of law, secure property rights, transparency in
government, and vigilance against government corruption are among
the most important measurements used to calculate the annual
ranking of 179 countries in the Index of Economic Freedom
published by The Heritage Foundation and The Wall Street
Journal. Argentina's Index score plummeted from
70.9 in 1998 (ranking 19th freest economy in the world out of
156 countries scored) to 55.1 by 2008 (ranking 108 out of 162
countries).[62]
The structural problems in Argentina's economy are outlined in
the 2008 Index of Economic Freedom, which reports low scores
on property rights, labor freedom, freedom from corruption, and
especially financial freedom. The Kirchners' manipulation of the
official government inflation index allows them to reduce interest
payments on government bonds. The interest payments are calculated
using a formula that includes the CPI. Thus, the Argentinean
government's use of an artificially low inflation figure in
the formula in practice results in the theft of a portion of the
interest payments it owes to bondholders (the difference
between the interest owed if the higher-true-inflation figure were
used versus the lower interest payment resulting from using the
artificially lower CPI figure), thereby violating their property
and legal rights.
Argentina in the 2008 Index of Economic
Freedom. The 2008 edition of the Index noted
that the 2001-2002 foreign debt crisis remains unresolved, and
local capital markets are not healthy for entrepreneurs.
Argentina scored only 55.1 out of a possible 100, with zero
being "least free" and 100 indicating "most free." Its low rank
even in the Western Hemisphere, 23rd of 29 countries, reflects how
far behind Argentineans are from those they consider peers: Canada,
the U.S., and Chile.
Compared to the typical country, Argentina has only one
economically favorable institution: relatively small
government in terms of expenditures. Most advanced economies are
cutting their corporate tax rates, but Argentina's top
corporate and income tax rates are 35 percent. Yet tax revenue as a
percentage of GDP is low, as is expenditure, as a result of tax
avoidance and evasion. Property rights, labor freedom, and freedom
from corruption are low, but financial freedom is especially
problematic. Political interference with an inefficient judiciary
hinders foreign investment, and popular and official obstructions
of due process make international courts preferable to Argentine
courts. A brief look at some of the defects in the Argentine system
detailed in the 10 Index freedoms for Argentina confirms
these findings:[63]
Business Freedom. "Inconsistency and lack of
transparency persist…. Regulations are often applied
inconsistently."
Trade Freedom."Extensive non-tariff barriers…to
constrain trade, protect domestic industries, and maintain price
controls for some goods include import and export controls, tariff
escalation, import and export taxes, reference pricing,
burdensome regulations, restrictive sanitary rules,
subsidies…. While the customs process has been improved,
many delays continue."

Fiscal Freedom. "Argentina has high tax rates."
Government Size. "The state's role in the economy has
grown in recent years, and structural budgetary weakness persists.
The energy and transport sectors are particularly dominated by the
public sector."
Monetary Freedom. "Official government figures for
inflation show it to be relatively high, averaging 9.4 percent
between 2005 and 2007. Credible unofficial figures report the true
rate of inflation was raging at an annualized rate of at least 25
percent in 2008. The government regulates prices on numerous
goods and services, including electricity, water, retail-level gas
distribution, urban transport, and local telephone services. It
also establishes price agreements with producers and sellers."
Investment Freedom. "Investors are obliged to keep
foreign currency earnings in the country for a period of at least
180 days. In June 2005, the government further tightened capital
controls by increasing the minimum holding period for capital
inflows and establishing that some capital inflows are subject to a
30 percent unremunerated reserve requirement to be deposited in a
local bank for 365 days. …The most significant deterrent is
legal uncertainty concerning creditor, contract, and property
rights. The flow of capital is restricted, and repatriation is
subject to some controls."
Financial Freedom. "Argentina's banking system remains
significantly dominated by the state's presence. The largest
bank is state-owned and serves as the sole financial institution in
parts of the country. Argentina remains unable to gain full
access to international capital markets, however, because of the
government's outstanding debt."
Property Rights. "The executive branch influences
Argentina's judiciary, and independent surveys indicate that
public confidence remains weak. Courts are notoriously slow,
inefficient, secretive, and corrupt. Many foreign investors resort
to international arbitration. An important violation of
property rights is the 'piquete,' by which protestors take over
private business, causing extensive losses with no effective
punishment by the police or the government." The government's
manipulation of official statistics for inflation has caused
domestic bondholders to lose billions in interest payment because
of the effect of the lower inflation figures on the formulas for
domestic debt re-payments.
Price controls and poor intellectual property protection
have made Argentina less attractive for FSI from multinational
pharmaceutical companies. "A senior manager at U.S. firm Eli Lilly
[says] that it was looking elsewhere for growth in the absence of
robust patent laws and tolerance of copy drugs by the Argentine
authorities."[64] Unsurprisingly, Argentina
features prominently as one of the nine countries on the U.S.
Trade Representative's Priority Watch List published in April
2008.[65]
Freedom From Corruption. "Corruption is perceived as
widespread. Argentina ranks 105th out of 179 countries in
Transparency International's Corruption Perceptions
Index for 2007.[66] Foreign investors complain
frequently about both government and private-sector corruption.
Money laundering, trafficking in narcotics and contraband, as well
as tax evasion plague the financial system."
Labor Freedom. "Argentina's labor market operates under
restrictive employment regulations that hinder employment creation
and productivity growth."
Other Indices Echo the Index Findings:
- Forbes "Best Countries for Business" report in 2008:
Argentina ranked 92nd of 121 countries[67] versus 75th out of
144 in 2007.[68]
- World Bank Doing Business 2009 report: Argentina
ranked 113th of 181 countries,[69] down from 109th of
178 countries in 2008.[70]
- World Economic Forum (WEF) Global Competitiveness
Index: Argentina dropped from 70th of 131 in 2006 to 85th of
131 in 2007.[71]
- Transparency International Corruption Perceptions
Index: Argentina ranks 105th of 179 countries for 2007[72] versus 93rd of 163 countries in
2006.[73]
What Argentina and the U.S. Should
Do
As a leader of the globalized economy and the international
financial institutions that have ensured prosperity for billions of
people over the past 50 years, the United States has a special
responsibility to prevent further abuse of that system by
Argentina and possibly other rogue nations. The U.S. government
must also act to prevent further losses to the American taxpayer
emanating from the Argentine default.
The Argentinean government should:
- Follow through on its recently announced intention to
re-enter negotiations to repay debts to the Paris Club and private
bondholders.
- Honor the commitments made by the government of Argentina
at the time of the borrowing and repay the loans with full faith
and credit.
- Take note of and implement the steps needed to correct the
deficiencies described in the 2008 Index of Economic
Freedom.
The U.S. Administration should:
- Make debt repayment a policy priority in recognition of
the importance of the strengthened U.S. relations with Latin
America that would flow from the resulting improvement in financial
freedom and investor confidence throughout the region.
- Hold Argentina accountable in all high-level contacts between
U.S. and Argentinean government officials by emphasizing the
need for the Kirchner government to settle with its
international creditors.
- Insist that the IMF, IDB, and the World Bank withhold any
future lending to Argentina until policy reforms outlined in the
2008 Index of Economic Freedom are implemented.
The U.S. Congress should:
- Hold hearings on the threat to both the U.S. economy, for
example, U.S. businesses and U.S. jobs affected by Argentina's
economy, as well as the world financial system if more sovereign
debtors were to follow the bad example of Argentina and
repudiate their debts.
- Investigate possible legislative remedies to prevent abuse of
the U.S. legal system by sovereign debtors.
Conclusion
The Kirchners should take note of and implement the steps
needed to correct all of the deficiencies described in the
2008 Index of Economic Freedom, for the good not only of
their own citizens but of all South America. The government must
also be honest about the true rate of inflation and cease efforts
to manipulate the value of the peso. The government of
Argentina has an obligation to its citizens to reach some sort
of agreement with all external creditors so that it can regain full
access to world financial markets.
Instead of perpetuating wasteful welfare-state handouts and
income redistribution based on an unsustainable economic model, the
Argentine government should look west and emulate the success
that Chile has enjoyed from a combination of market-based
economic reforms, privatizations, and limited government.
The Kirchners also should look north to Brazil, where fellow
leftist and President Luiz Inacio Lula has been more successful
governing than the Kirchners. Lula has called inflation a
"degrading disease," preferring fiscal restraint and support for
Brazil's central bank anti-inflation measures. As a result, Brazil
has enjoyed much greater inflows of FDI and was recently awarded
investment-grade foreign-debt rating.[74]
The Kirchners' collusion with Hugo Chavez in his campaign
against the world financial system poses a grave threat to global
prosperity. Their aggressive and antagonistic "take-it-or-leave-it"
attitude threatens to undermine established and time-tested
international lending norms, ultimately to the detriment of all
developing nations in the form of higher borrowing costs.
James M. Roberts is
Research Fellow for Economic Freedom and Growth in the Center for
International Trade and Economics (CITE) at The Heritage
Foundation.