From negotiating global and bilateral trade talks to formulating
and implementing U.S. trade policy, the U.S. Trade Representative
(USTR) plays a critical role in helping America participate in
world markets. Given the vital role of trade in countering the U.S.
and global economic downturn, the USTR should serve as a strong
advocate of free trade while addressing numerous issues, including
ongoing trade negotiations within the World Trade Organization's
(WTO) Doha Round; three pending bilateral trade agreements with
Colombia, Panama, and South Korea; and a host of other trade issues
requiring attention this year.
In order to determine where the next USTR stands on crucial
issues, the following questions should be put to the nominee during
his confirmation hearing:
Question #1: Free Trade versus Fair
Trade
Protectionists and special interest groups have become
increasingly vocal in asserting that U.S. free trade policies have
been unfair to U.S. workers and businesses. Central to this
assertion is the fact that some foreign workers are willing to work
for lower wages than their U.S. counterparts. In addition, some
countries do not maintain the same levels of environmental
protection or labor standards as the U.S. In response, advocates of
protectionist policies seek to drive up the price of imports by
imposing tariffs to artificially raise prices or by requiring
foreign governments to raise their costs of production by adopting
more restrictive labor, environmental, and other standards. Do
you agree that free trade is unfair to American workers and
businesses, and do you support protectionist measures to raise the
price of imports?
Answer: It is true that U.S. trade commitments to lower
tariffs and other trade barriers have exposed some of America's
producers to foreign competition, and in some cases, even driven
them out of the marketplace. In many more cases, however, U.S.
firms have responded by improving their products and their
production processes. The resulting benefits for U.S. citizens have
been twofold: First, workers have commanded increased wages on the
basis of their increased efficiency and productivity. Second,
consumers have benefited from the availability of better products
at cheaper prices.
Introducing more stringent regulations into trade agreements
will not make trade "fairer" for America. Indeed, such regulations
will unfairly penalize American consumers and more efficient
producers in order to benefit uncompetitive firms that need to
boost their productivity. Trade liberalization has opened markets
around the world to U.S. goods and services, created higher-paying
jobs for Americans, and attracted the investment needed for
long-term economic growth. America cannot afford to abandon open
market policies. The major economic benefits of free trade derive
from the differences among trading partners, which allow any
country embracing world markets a chance to become competitive.
Free trade is fair when countries with different advantages are
allowed to trade and capitalize on those differences.[1]
It is true that, on occasion, unfair foreign competition can
harm domestic business, just as there can be unfair domestic
competition. However, U.S. free trade agreements (FTAs) and the WTO
boast mechanisms designed to address these problems when they arise
in connection with foreign trade.
Question #2: Multilateral Trade
Negotiations
Is it your intent to make the timely
completion of a substantial, comprehensive agreement within the
current Doha Development Round of global trade negotiations in the
WTO a top priority for the office of the USTR? What is your view on
the role of a multilateral trade agreement in boosting U.S. and
global economic conditions?
Answer: The absence of a comprehensive trade pact reduces
countries' discipline in keeping a rein on protectionist measures
designed to prop up domestic companies during the current economic
slump. Moreover, without the new market access a multilateral deal
would bring, it will be more difficult for firms struggling
domestically to export instead. When all sales opportunities dry
up, companies go out of business, jobs are lost, and the chance for
economic recovery is postponed.
As its name implies, the current Doha Development Round was
founded on the principle of promoting economic development and
freer trade. With most countries' economic well-being linked
through trade and investment, the need for all nations to embrace
trade and investment liberalization has become even more critical
to help the global economy recover from today's economic turmoil.
The U.S. should commit to revitalizing multilateral trade talks in
the WTO and should remain vigilant against implementing
protectionist policies that could undermine economic progress. This
is particularly important for America's long-term economic
recovery. The sooner an agreement in the WTO can be reached, the
faster the world can move on from today's economic downturn and the
sooner the benefits of more open markets can accrue to developed
and developing countries alike.[2]
Question #3: Pending Free Trade
Agreements
Pending trade agreements the U.S. has signed with Colombia,
Panama, and South Korea have become a focal point for political and
popular backlash against free trade policies. Concerns that such
agreements would result in unfair trade for America have left their
future--and broader U.S. relations with the three signatory
countries--uncertain. Would you seek to abandon or renegotiate
these agreements, or strive to gain congressional support for their
ratification?
Answer: As long as a global trade deal remains elusive,
countries will look to bilateral and regional free trade
arrangements to more quickly reap the benefits of lower trade
barriers. Free trade agreements can bring both economic and
strategic benefits to member countries, as well as help reduce
trade restrictions globally by demonstrating solutions to difficult
trade problems.
A trade agenda that includes timely ratification of the pending
trade agreements with Colombia, Panama, and South Korea would
demonstrate an economic and strategic commitment to important
American allies and, more importantly, bring significant economic
benefits to America's families.
The agreements with Colombia and Panama will result in
significant new market access and lower tariffs for America's
businesses and farmers: Most Colombian and Panamanian products
already enter the U.S. duty-free under various preference programs,
so any impact on U.S. jobs has already occurred. Instead, these
agreements will result in new economic opportunity for America's
exporters and the U.S. businesses that support them--opportunity
that will grow over time as these countries continue to develop
through trade and mature into larger, more sophisticated markets
more closely integrated with the U.S. economy.[3]
Similarly, through an FTA with South Korea, America can expand
what is already a rich trade relationship. The agreement resolves
many of the problems currently thwarting the full potential of
U.S.-South Korea bilateral trade and establishes channels through
which ongoing trade concerns can be addressed. Tinkering with the
agreement for the sake of political advantage or what are
effectively minor improvements is more likely to lead to no
agreement rather than a better one and may place new barriers in
the way of global talks for more open trade.[4]
Despite their many benefits, FTAs are not a perfect substitute
for multilateral trade liberalization--they can discriminate
against countries not party to the agreements and impose multiple
sets of rules that can add to the cost of trade. The U.S. and other
WTO members need to ensure that concluding the Doha Round takes
priority over FTA negotiations.
Question #4: Renegotiating Existing
Agreements
Campaign promises to renegotiate existing FTAs--NAFTA in
particular--have met with some popular support. Do you agree
with the opinion that the rules of trade defined in NAFTA and other
existing trade treaties should be rewritten?
Answer: NAFTA and other FTAs the U.S. has in place have
spurred competition, job creation, and economic growth. These agreements have an important role in
maintaining American competitiveness and prosperity, spreading
freedom around the world, and fostering economic development in
poor countries. Similar to the objectives sought after by U.S.
negotiators in the WTO, U.S. FTAs go beyond winning lower tariffs
on American agriculture, manufacturing, and services exports: FTAs
include provisions that safeguard investors from discrimination,
increase regulatory transparency, combat corruptive practices, and
protect and enforce intellectual property rights. U.S. trade
agreements also include transparent dispute resolution and
arbitration mechanisms to guarantee that the agreements--along with
the rights of U.S. firms and consumers--are upheld.
While these agreements can always be improved, such an
acknowledgement does not mean they are in need of repair. Indeed,
reopening them is most likely to break them: If the U.S. demands to
reopen NAFTA or other FTAs as a means to pull back from previous
market access commitments, it is fair to expect that America's
trade partners will retaliate with similar protectionist demands.
U.S. trade agreements do not need to be renegotiated to make them
better. Because economies evolve over time, NAFTA and the other
FTAs have working groups and formal committees designed to ensure
that the rules of trade defined in the agreements work effectively
for all parties. More can be done to help U.S. families, workers,
and business by vigorously supporting these efforts to keep trade
free in the face of changing economic conditions than by opening
them to an onslaught of special-interest demands for protection.[5]
Question #5: U.S. Trade Deficit with
China
In 2008, the U.S. trade deficit with China will rise to more
than $260 billion. Do you regard the Sino-American bilateral
trade deficit as a major problem? Is it caused primarily by U.S.
and Chinese trade policies or other factors? How do you intend to
approach the bilateral deficit?
Answer: It is understandable that the size of the U.S.
trade deficit attracts attention and concern. However, trade
imbalances are not necessarily bad for an economy. In fact, since
the 1970s, America's economic performance has been better in years
where the trade deficit has grown than in years where the deficit
shrank. Fundamentally, America runs a high trade deficit because
domestic savings consistently falls short of domestic investment.
Up until the recent financial crisis, America had a healthy,
productive, and growing economy that demanded more investment than
was supplied by domestic sources--the government and U.S.
households. As long as that shortfall exists, America must import
surplus savings from other countries--such as China--by running
trade deficits. U.S. policymakers can best provide a long-term
solution to the trade deficit not by introducing barriers to trade
with China but by addressing the tax and spending policies that
keep savings too low.[6]
While the U.S. saves too little, China saves too much. In the
past, Chinese enterprises have been slow to reduce supply when
confronted with weak demand. This delay helps create a vicious
cycle where too little money is chasing too many goods, prices
decline, households spend less as they wait for even lower prices,
and so on. China announced its own stimulus package in November
2008 to help boost demand. However, "demand" does not usually
involve domestic consumers. Instead, new lending and investment in
infrastructure are focused on bolstering exports with no short-term
benefits for consumers in China.
China needs to become more reliant on domestic sources of
economic growth. Thus, the U.S. should encourage China to adopt
strong and sometimes difficult measures to boost its consumption,
such as slashing tariff and non-tariff barriers against foreign
goods and reorienting credit policy away from producers and toward
consumers.[7]
Question #6: China's Currency
In past sessions of Congress, Members of both the U.S. House of
Representatives and the U.S. Senate have introduced legislation
aimed at punishing China for unfair manipulation of its
currency--and 2009 looks to be no different. These Members blame
China's alleged currency manipulation for the bilateral trade
deficit and loss of American manufacturing jobs. Accordingly, their
proposals have included a wide variety of retaliatory measures such
as anti-dumping duties, punitive tariffs, countervailing duties,
trade and investment restrictions, disciplinary action in
international bodies, and even open U.S. intervention in
international currency markets. Do you concur with the opinion
that China's currency policy harms the American economy?
Answer: In 2007, the U.S. and China combined accounted
for more than 30 percent of gross domestic product (GDP) worldwide.
The two nations share strong trade and investment ties, making the
U.S.-China bilateral economic relationship perhaps the most
important in the world. U.S. measures designed to penalize China
for its currency regime would only strain that relationship,
possibly sparking a trade war at both countries' expense. Moreover,
most of the proposed punitive measures would add to the cost of
living for American households and the cost of business for
American companies while violating U.S. commitments in the WTO.
None of the measures would boost U.S. manufacturing, exports, or
jobs by making America more competitive. Congress should recognize
that America's own policies affecting savings, government spending,
and education have far more impact on the U.S. trade imbalance and
international competitiveness.[8]
A far better approach is for the U.S. to remain committed to
free and open markets while addressing trade tensions through the
existing institutional framework for Sino-American economic
relations. Retaining the Strategic Economic Dialogue (SED) or an
equivalent offers a superior path to progress in bilateral talks.
Enhancing negotiating authority within the SED would make it easier
to conclude and implement policy changes to improve the bilateral
relationship.[9]
The direction of the talks needs to focus on a narrow, feasible
range of reforms. The U.S. can encourage China to move in the right
direction by working to achieve long-term price liberalization,
curbing state dominance at the corporate level, shielding American
companies from mercantilist "reforms" adopted by the Chinese
government, and restarting the process of opening the capital
account to allow money to move freely in and out of the country.
Successful gains on such targeted issues will help build momentum
for sound economic policies in both countries.
The Need to Keep Markets Open
The best approach to ensuring that America continues to reap the
benefits of international commerce is one that is based on a solid
commitment to advancing trade liberalization. Without this
commitment from the U.S., the pressure for erecting barriers to
trade and investment both in America and around the world will
build--especially now that most countries are feeling the bite of
the global economic downturn. Perhaps even more important,
advancing trade liberalization signals to the rest of the world
that the U.S. will not abandon its mantle by turning inward but
remains committed to global leadership. The USTR needs to be at the
forefront of maintaining that leadership role.
Daniella
Markheim is Jay Van Andel Senior Trade Policy Analyst in
the Center for International Trade and Economics, and Derek Scissors, Ph.D., is
Research Fellow in Asia Economic Policy in the Asian Studies
Center, at the Heritage Foundation.