The themes set yesterday by President Barack Obama in his
inaugural speech were sobering. Obama called on the nation to enter
a new era of responsibility to deal with a long list of hardships
and challenges facing Americans at home and abroad. In spite of his
oration's optimistic conclusion, the speech reflected a dark and
troubled view of the world. The state of U.S. foreign policy was
recently described by CNN reporter Christiane Amanpour as "the
inbox from hell," and though his language was rather more elevated,
Obama seemed to agree with that characterization:
Every so often, the oath is taken amidst gathering clouds and
raging storms.... That we are in the midst of crisis is now well
understood. Our nation is at war against a far-reaching network of
violence and hatred. Our economy is badly weakened, a consequence
of greed and irresponsibility on the part of some but also our
collective failure to make hard choices and prepare the nation for
a new age.... Less measurable, but no less profound, is a sapping
of confidence across our land, a nagging fear that America's
decline is inevitable, that the next generation must lower its
sights.
If outgoing President George W. Bush cringed inwardly at the
dire characterization of the world and the country he left to his
successor, he had class enough not to show it. The fact is that
though no one doubts that times are tough around the world--as
economies slow down and Islamist fundamentalism remains a major
threat--Presidents before Obama have faced difficult times, indeed
far more difficult than those currently facing our nation: Bush
himself saw his presidency turned upside down by the attacks of
September 11; Ronald Reagan came into office following the
humiliation of the Iranian hostage crisis and with the threat of
the expanding Soviet empire staring him in the face; Richard Nixon
inherited the Vietnam War; and Harry Truman had to see World War II
to its conclusion with atomic weapons. Those were indeed raging
storms, far more worthy of the name than the clouds under which
Obama's presidency begins.
The world Obama inherits today is clearly complex, but thanks to
the tireless efforts of his predecessor, far less dangerous than
the impression created yesterday. Indeed, Obama owes a debt of
gratitude to Bush for the tough decisions he has taken to keep this
country safe and the sacrifices he made in political capital and
personal popularity to do so. Bush may be vilified, even booed by
the crowd of Obama supporters on the Mall yesterday, but he kept
each and every one of them safe from terrorist attacks for seven
years. Indeed, it will be interesting to see whether Obama will
keep in place the national security policies of President Bush that
kept the nation safe. Obama of course questioned those very
policies during the campaign and indeed in his speech yesterday,
postulating a false dichotomy between our safety and our
ideals.
What is more, Bush himself inherited a considerably more
dangerous situation from President Clinton (who was smiling
beatifically during the ceremony sitting next to his wife, the
incoming U.S. secretary of state). It was the Clinton
Administration's failure to deal with the challenges of Islamist
terrorism in the 1990s that left this nation vulnerable to the
attacks of September 11, 2001.
As much as Obama sought to distance himself from the Bush
foreign policy, certain facts on the ground may create more
similarity between the two than might be expected. Obama emphasized
alliance building in the war against this "far-reaching network of
violence and hatred" (yes he used the word war),
international cooperation, and foreign aid. All of these
initiatives have counterparts in the Bush foreign policy. Obama
also pledged to leave Iraq to the responsibility of the Iraqis and
fight for a hard-earned peace in Afghanistan. These themes are
essentially identical to Bush foreign policy.
Most memorably, though, Obama promised to reach out to America's
foes around the globe: "To those who cling to power through
corruption and deceit and the silencing of dissent, know that you
are on the wrong side of history, but that we will extend a hand if
you are willing to unclench your fist." This appeal appears to be
an echo of Obama's campaign promise to sit down without
preconditions to talk to leaders of countries such as Venezuela,
Iran, and North Korea. In Iran, the leadership is reportedly
keeping an open mind on the expected approach of the new American
President, even while the country's nuclear program is moving full
speed ahead, with some estimates positing that a successful test
may be only one year away. Attempts to persuade Iran to halt its
drive for nuclear weapons have failed miserably so far, no matter
what the international means of persuasion.
In the days ahead, Obama's foreign policy will take shape. There
is no doubt that philosophically, Obama differs from his
predecessor. Yet how far world events will allow the Obama foreign
policy to diverge from that of the Bush years remains to be
seen.
Helle C. Dale is Deputy
Director of Kathryn and Shelby Cullom Davis Institute for
International Studies and Director of the Douglas and Sarah Allison
Center for Foreign Policy Studies, a division of the Davis
Institute, at The Heritage Foundation.