This week, President Obama revealed his trade policy agenda in
the opening chapter of the 2009 Trade Policy Agenda and 2008 Annual
Report.[1] A short four-and-a-quarter pages long, the
chapter reveals little about the President's intent for the future
of U.S. trade policy.
Short on substance, the agenda outlines many of the same broad
ideas presented during the presidential campaign: enforcing trade
rules and making trade "fairer" rather than freer. On a positive
note, the chapter did provide additional guidance regarding
America's ongoing commitment to the World Trade Organization (WTO),
moving forward with at least one of the three pending U.S. free
trade agreements awaiting congressional approval, and keeping any
new climate legislation consistent with America's international
trade obligations. However, these general objectives lacked the
details needed to restore confidence that America would continue to
set the standard for liberal international trade policy or remain a
responsible leader of the global economy.
Critical to the recovery of both the U.S. and international
economies is the need to bolster consumer and business confidence
in the future. Also essential to economic recovery is the need to
maintain free and open markets--in spite of domestic pressures to
erect barriers to trade. Tariffs, quotas, many government subsidies
and cheap loans to businesses, outright nationalization of
industry, and other policy mechanisms not only distort
international markets for goods and services but also have a
chilling effect on private investment--the very thing needed to
help economies get back on track and grow in the longer term.
A trade agenda listing concrete actions the Administration
intends to take over the year would have done a better job to
reduce destabilizing uncertainty at home and abroad. The world
cannot afford U.S. retrenchment or abandonment of the market
principles that have brought prosperity to so many.
Falling Short
The 2009 Trade Policy Agenda's general lack of specificity
leaves much of its content open to interpretation, reducing its
transparency and informational value to consumers and businesses
trying to make economic decisions today. Policymakers around the
world must continue to wait for some definitive indication of the
Administration's intentions. The longer the world must wait, the
longer it will take for recovery to occur. For the U.S., such delay
has a real cost: The World Bank forecasts world trade flows will
contract by 2.1 percent in 2009.[2] With trade accounting for
more than 30 percent of U.S. GDP in 2008, shrinking world markets
will undermine America's ability to rebound and grow in 2009.[3]
The Administration's commitment to the WTO and the ongoing round
of multilateral trade negotiations under the Doha Round is
positive--continuing to strive for meaningful trade liberalization
from all WTO members, not just a select few, is particularly
encouraging. However, the indication that America's international
trade commitments will not ultimately discipline the
Administration's policy approaches to the environment, energy, or
unfair trade practices (real or imagined) sends the message that
the last six decades of hard-won gains in liberalizing global
markets may not be as secure as America's trading partners might
hope.
Indeed, the expansion of Buy American provisions in the recently
passed economic stimulus bill tangibly demonstrates this very
concern. While the U.S. promised to adhere to its international
commitments on maintaining some openness to foreign sources in
government procurement, that promise means less than many assume:
Only national signatories to the Agreement on Government
Procurement in the WTO or U.S. free trade agreements have some
protection under the new provisions. Many more countries--including
key U.S. trade partners such as India, Brazil, and China--could be
shut out from U.S. government contracts and retaliate in kind,
closing the door on U.S. firms anxious to find customers anywhere
they can. Where America walks, others may choose to follow.
More critically, even if the provisions do not result in greater
protectionism in the U.S. in practice, they signal America's new
willingness to abandon the international markets it helped design
and build. Because America leads on trade policy by example, those
policies need to be clear, certain, and consistent with the open
market principles the U.S. has long promoted and, indeed, demands
from other nations.
Defining Important Trade Policy
Objectives
By opening markets around the world to its goods and services,
the U.S. has created a level of competition that leads to
innovation, better and less expensive products, higher-paying jobs
for Americans, and the investment needed for long-term economic
growth and continued prosperity.
However, America can still do much more to embrace globalization
and the economic potential inherent in the international economy.
Successive rounds of multilateral trade liberalization and
bilateral free trade agreements have lowered many of the tariffs
that limit international trade in goods and services--but not all.
Excessive regulation, investment controls, government subsidies,
punitive and retaliatory duties, and other non-tariff barriers to
trade continue to distort markets and add to the cost of living for
all of America's families.
The best approach to ensuring that America continues to reap the
benefits of international commerce is one that is based on a solid
commitment to advancing trade liberalization. By devising and
implementing a trade agenda that clearly defines important trade
policy objectives, America's ability to not only compete in but
shape the global economy today and in the future would be given a
much-needed boost.
Daniella
Markheim is Jay Van Andel Senior Trade Policy Analyst in the
Center for International Trade and Economics at The Heritage
Foundation.