President Barack Obama calls his stimulus bill[1] and proposed budget
an "investment" plan, implicitly recognizing that
investment--rather than simply spending--creates economic growth.
But this plan is based on the faulty assumption that only
government is able and responsible enough to invest at this
time.
Private investors have a personal stake in the outcome of their
investments. But when politicians play entrepreneur with taxpayer
money, that link does not exist; instead, the risk/reward is
measured in terms of political outcomes.
In addition, central planning of the national investment
portfolio can:
- Reduce the diversification of U.S. investments;
- Cause the government to have potential conflicts of interest
and compromise its oversight ability;
- Weaken support for the political system[2]; and
- Dis-empower individuals and diminish entrepreneurial
capital.
Private v. Government Investments
Successful investments pay for themselves; that is, the return
on investment is greater than the cost of the investment. This
occurs when resources in the economy are able to produce more of
something or something of higher value than in the past. In this
way successful investments grow the economy. Unsuccessful
investments shrink the economy because the resulting pay-off does
not cover the cost of the resources used for the investment.
Having many individuals making many different investments is a
way to diversify the risk to the overall economy and achieve higher
returns measured in terms of a standard of living.[3]
Those who make investments by risking their own resources have
an incentive to do everything in their power to ensure the
investment achieves the highest value. They also have an incentive
to choose only those investments where they expect the value
created, given the risk, to be greater than its cost. This saves
resources from being used for investments that are unlikely to
succeed.
Private individuals base investment decisions on expected
revenues versus expected costs and then measure the success of the
investment based on the realization of these expectations. The
revenue companies earn is a measure of the value consumers get from
the goods or services produced. If the resources used to produce a
good or service cost more than the value consumers get, then the
revenue earned will be less than the cost, and the firm will have
negative profitability, signaling the resources would be more
valued elsewhere.
In contrast, the revenue the government receives is not a direct
measure of the value citizens get from the government's goods and
services but rather is a percentage fixed by the government itself.
Further, politicians invest other people's money (taxpayers) rather
than their own. These two features of government institutions
provide a weak economic incentive to forego projects whose costs
are greater than the expected benefit.
Since the revenue signal for the government is not tied to any
one politician's investment decision, it is difficult to evaluate
the performance of specific projects. This reduces the incentive to
work as hard as possible to maximize the payoff from the
investments and increases the likelihood of wasted resources. Thus,
the negative effects of public-sector investments almost always
outweigh any positive results.[4]
Capitalism's Checks and Balances
A capitalist system empowers private citizens to act as
entrepreneurs. By giving them ownership control over resources,
individuals have an incentive to implement ideas that are socially
valuable, because it is others in society who judge the value of
the product or service by deciding to become a stakeholder either
by purchasing it, making it, or investing in it.
Politicians can help private citizens use resources productively
by:
- Minimizing distortions to market prices created by taxation and
government spending; and
- Implementing oversight procedures that bring relevant
information into the marketplace so individuals can make informed
decisions.[5]
Complementary Roles
Capitalism helps the private sector and public sector to
compliment one another and provide accountability conducive for a
vibrant and growing economy. Mixing these roles contributes to a
breakdown in accountability, which can destabilize markets.
People naturally desire to keep more of what they earn and
retain control over their own resources rather than have the
government "invest" those resources for them. This desire is rooted
not in a disdain for government itself but rather an understanding
of the complementary roles of private citizens and the public
sector within the capitalist system.
Karen A.
Campbell, Ph.D., is Policy Analyst in Macroeconomics in the
Center for Data Analysis at The Heritage Foundation.
[1]This
is the 2009 HR-1 legislation also known as "The American Recovery
and Reinvestment Act."
[2]László Bruszt, "Market Making as
State Making: Constitutions and Economic Development in
Post-Communist Eastern Europe," Constitutional Political
Economy, Vol. 13, No. 1 (March 2002).
[3]The
current crisis seems to reveal a lack of diversity in
entrepreneurial investment. Many U.S. entrepreneurial investments
were concentrated in the financial industry, where opportunities
seemed to abound. Research has shown how the mis-pricing of risk
due to both fiscal and monetary policies contributed to an
overabundance of investment in this area (see, for example, Rakesh
Mohen, valedictory address to the IIF's Asia Regional Economic
Forum, September 27, 2007 at http://www.esocialsciences.com/
data/articles/Document112102007100.4691126.pdf [February
23, 2009]). The theory put forth here--that potential entrepreneurs
choose to invest when the expected return is greater than what the
resources are currently earning--would predict greater investment
in an area where the expected return from an investment is higher
due to lower discount factors. The recent crisis highlights the
need for a well-diversified economy and a government that focuses
on a stable environment of price stability and minimizing
distortions in tax and spending policies.