On May 3 Latin America's leftward lurch suffered a setback when
Ricardo Martinelli, candidate of the center-right Alliance for
Change, swept into the Panamanian presidency with a resounding
victory. The 57-year-old Martinelli is a U.S.-educated supermarket
entrepreneur who used the acumen and skill that made him one of
Panama's wealthier citizens to win the presidential election.
Winning over 60 percent of the vote, Martinelli defeated Balbina
Herrea, candidate of the governing center-left Revolutionary
Democratic Party (PRD). Unable to shake concerns about her past
association with General Manuel Noriega and the voters' suspicion
of her links to Venezuela's populist president Hugo Chávez,
Ms. Herrera received approximately 37 percent of the vote.
The Election Campaign
Although the outgoing government of PDR President Martin
Torrijos was marked by a reduction in poverty and economic growth,
electoral discontent rose as Panama's economy began to contract
following the 2008 slowdown in global trade and a slump in the
construction boom. The modest success of poverty reduction under
the PRD, from 35 percent to about 28 percent of Panama's
population, appeared to falter in 2008 as food prices rose swiftly
and income inequality remained a sensitive political issue.
Panamanian voters were also troubled by increases in violent crime
and a perception that high-level corruption remained endemic within
the PRD government. A Martinelli campaign theme charged that, "They
[the PRD] enter government empty-handed and leave rich."
As a campaigner Martinelli successfully capitalized on his image
as a "doer," a pragmatist, and a potential leader ready to serve
the interests of have-nots as well as the haves. Martinelli
promises to promote market growth, exercise vigilance against
corruption, and to develop Panama's infrastructure with modern
ports, highways, and a mass transportation system.
Martinelli faces several challenges including the need to
strengthen government institutions; increase government
transparency and integrity; and fulfill promises for greater
economic prosperity.
Close Links to the U.S.
Martinelli will certainly look to the U.S. for support. Panama
is a vital bridge for east-west commercial movement with increased
potential for pipelines and other forms of land-based movement of
goods and raw materials. It also sits on the north-south axis of
the inter-American drug trade. Consequently, Panama must work with
Colombia to deny territory to guerrillas and paramilitaries and
help to stop the flow of cocaine north toward Mexico and the U.S.
As a member of the Central American Integration System (SICA),
Panama is well-positioned to work with its northern neighbors on
issues related to security, counter-drug cooperation, trade, and
the environment.
In June 2007, the U.S. and Panama signed a Trade Promotion
Agreement. Panama ratified the treaty in July of the same year. If
enacted by the U.S. Congress, the agreement will result in
significant new market access and lower tariffs for America's
businesses and farmers; most Panamanian products already enter the
U.S. duty-free under trade preference programs. Currently, U.S.
exports to Panama are ten times greater than imports. Because
Panama already has preferential access to U.S. markets, any
competitive impact on U.S. industry and jobs has already occurred.
Instead, the agreement will result only in new economic
opportunities for America's exporters and the U.S. businesses that
support them.
Recent questions regarding Panama's labor regulations and status
as an offshore financial center are not sufficient to keep the deal
on hold: The need to maintain sound labor standards is already
addressed and protected appropriately within the agreement and the
broader issue of U.S. access to international tax havens is one
that is and should be debated by Congress on its own merits.
Finally, Panama has aggressively sought to become a destination
for American investors and remains extremely friendly to a growing
number of U.S. retirees.
End of the Latin Left's Winning
Streak: Now What?
The Martinelli victory breaks the Latin Left's 2009 electoral
winning streak of Venezuela, El Salvador, and Ecuador. The average
voter in Panama is betting on a dynamic and productive relationship
with the U.S. and has demonstrated confidence in continued strong
ties between the two nations. It is incumbent on the Obama
Administration to reach out quickly to President-elect Martinelli
in order to develop an agenda of close cooperation and mutual
benefit. Specifically, the Obama Administration should do the
following:
- Establish a timetable for submitting the 2009 Trade Agenda
agreement for Congressional approval;
- Act quickly to strengthen regional law enforcement and
counter-drug cooperation with Panama and make sure that Panama
receives its full share of Merida Initiative funding; and
- Embrace President-elect Martinelli's interest in combating
corruption and strengthening the effectiveness of government
institutions by working with Panama on rule of law and
anti-corruption measures.
Panama is an important U.S. ally in the Americas.
President-elect Martinelli's victory now offers the opportunity to
strengthen this relationship-to the benefit of both countries.
Ray Walser, Ph.D., is a
Senior Policy Analyst for Latin America in the Douglas and Sarah
Allison Center for Foreign Policy Studies, a division of the
Kathryn and Shelby Cullom Davis Institute for International
Studies, at The Heritage Foundation.