For three years, The Heritage Foundation has been advocating the
"4 percent for Freedom" solution as national defense policy. This
10-year commitment would affirm the principle that the regular
defense budget, through which the government prepares and sustains
the American military (not including the cost of ongoing conflicts
like Afghanistan), should be at least 4 percent of gross domestic
product (GDP). Heritage believes that our leaders should commit to
spending at least one out of every 25 dollars of America's wealth
each year on the national defense.
Ensuring a robust defense and a strong military should not be
controversial. Many Americans believe the federal government
already spends much more than 4 percent of GDP on the military.
After all, the United States government's first priority is
supposed to be the national defense; therefore, that obligation
should have the first claim on taxpayer dollars. Moreover, the
government historically has spent far more on defense, as a
percentage of GDP, than Heritage is now advocating as a floor. The
average defense budget since World War II has been over 5 percent
of GDP.
Maintaining a commitment to fund the defense budget at
sufficient levels for the next five to 10 years is even more
compelling now than it was when first proposed. China, for example,
has opened a huge nuclear submarine base and is acquiring
carrier-killer missiles. Russia invaded Georgia last December, and
Iran gets closer to nuclear status every day. North Korea is
developing a longer-range missile. Meanwhile, the bipartisan
Commission on the Prevention of Weapons of Mass Destruction
unanimously found last December that terrorists would have a
nuclear or bioweapon within five years. Our neighbors in northern
Mexico are growing closer to anarchy because of drug cartels, and
the piracy threat has become a major concern.
Now is the time for Congress to restate the need for adequate
funding for national defense. The current condition of the American
military demands no less than a defense budget of 4 percent of GDP
if the United States is to maintain the qualitative superiority of
its military.
The Current Condition of America's Military
After the Cold War ended, the Clinton Administration believed an
era of peace was at hand. Consequently, it cut both the size of the
military and the funding for procurement and modernization far
below what was necessary to sustain American capabilities. Under
President Clinton, the active duty Army was reduced to 10-division
strength--a decision that virtually everyone now agrees was a
mistake. Acquisition of vital equipment was reduced as well. In
some cases, the Pentagon cut by 80 percent to 90 percent the number
of platforms (ships, planes, and tracked vehicles) purchased,
compared to what was procured on average from 1975 to 1990. In
effect, the Clinton Administration forced the military to take a
procurement "holiday."
President George W. Bush increased spending on the military, but
not nearly enough to make up for the failures of the 1990s. As a
result, the military's capital inventory has become dangerously
outdated. For example, in 1973, at the end of the Vietnam era, the
average age of Air Force aircraft was approximately nine years.
Twenty years later, the average age of the inventory was just under
15 years. Today, the average age has risen to nearly 25 years. The
other services are in similar condition.
America is in danger of losing vital capabilities. Without
adequate numbers of new F-22 fighter aircraft, America will not be
able to maintain air superiority over the Taiwan Strait. Without a
larger Navy and enhanced airlift and refueling capability, America
cannot project power quickly. If the submarine fleet drops below
minimum requirements, the Navy cannot gather intelligence or
protect its carriers. Without vehicles and tanks that are less
vulnerable and computer-linked, the Army cannot win regional
conflicts decisively or conduct counterterrorism missions with
minimal loss of life.
There is no question that planned modernization budgets are
inadequate for the military to sustain the capabilities on which
America depends. At Heritage, we have documented that the shortfall
is roughly $50 billion per year. Other experts, including those at
the Congressional Budget Office (CBO), believe the shortfall is
much higher. Supporting adequate and stable defense budgets is the
only solution that will allow the military to upgrade and
recapitalize its inventory of ships, planes, and aircraft.
An Adequate Defense Budget Is Fully
Affordable
Is the 4 percent benchmark affordable? This year, in quick
order, Congress has passed the TARP legislation, which cost $700
billion; the stimulus package, which cost $800 billion; and the
fiscal 2009 budget, which added $1.2 trillion to the debt. Congress
also approved a fiscal 2010 budget resolution that will increase
the debt by another $800 billion. The stimulus bill increased
expenditures on programs like Pell Grants and Medicaid. If
extended, they will add another $3.3 trillion to the debt over the
next 10 years. All told, the CBO has said that these spending
measures will add $10 trillion to the national debt over the next
10 years.
For just 5 percent of that money, the government could
have recapitalized the military with the next generation of
platforms that will sustain America's technological superiority
against any foreseeable threat. After the frenzy of government
spending over the past few months, those who do not want to sustain
the diverse capabilities of the armed services should at least be
intellectually honest enough not to hide behind budgetary reasons
as an excuse.
Conclusion
Support for increased defense spending is a practical position
rather than an ideological one. The global leadership role that
America adopted after World War II, though not without its
downsides, has successfully prevented the two worst disasters that
could befall the world: totalitarian domination and another general
war. In the process, a great deal of good has resulted. The United
States has prospered for three generations, Europe has resolved the
age-old conflicts that divided it, democracies have sprung up all
over the world, and billions of people who were living in despair
now have the hope of freedom.
It would be the height of folly--a strategic mistake of the
first order--to imperil those achievements by failing to make the
modest sacrifices necessary to sustain the military power that made
them possible.
The Honorable James
Talent is Distinguished Fellow in Military Affairs at The
Heritage Foundation and served as a U.S. Senator from 2002 to
2007.