"I say to-may-to, you say to-mah-to - let's call the whole thing
off," the old song goes. And that's exactly what members of
Congress may do with plans to reform obsolete immigration and labor
laws if the Bush administration and Mexican leaders don't start
singing off the same page concerning illegal immigrants.
To say immigration is a touchy matter is an understatement. In
Mexico, freedom to work in the United States seems almost a
birthright.
Yet, north of the Rio Grande River, immigration is a third rail of
politics: Touch it and you get zapped, either by those who want to
build a wall to keep immigrants out or by employers who want to let
in as many "informal workers" as possible.
Mexican oligarchs see free movement of labor northward as a safety
valve to relieve pressure from a million workers a year entering
Mexico's labor force with no job prospects. Rather than liberalize
their economy to end corrupt monopolies, strengthen property rights
and establish the rule of law, they would rather keep things as
they are and merely ship their jobless, poorly educated throngs
north.
In Washington, security experts and diplomats view the apprehension
of 1.5 million illegal migrants penetrating the U.S. border as a
security issue. Drug traffickers and gang members are already part
of the influx, so why not terrorists?
Moreover, the lack of a viable guest-worker program, along with
tightening border controls, forces many migrant workers to stay and
then smuggle in their families. Authorities in Southwestern states
see them living on the margins, not paying taxes, overburdening
public support programs and challenging law enforcement.
While many U.S. politicians wish the issue would go away, Mexico's
political elites dream of a migration pact. But U.S. and Mexican
economies and public institutions are too far out of sync for that
to be realistic. Undeveloped capital markets in Mexico still make
borrowing money difficult for small businesses. An inadequate
education system prepares too few citizens for modern jobs. And
despite 10 years of increasing commerce under the North American
Free Trade Agreement, Mexico has been creating only 200,000 new
jobs yearly.
In contrast, U.S. and Canadian economies and institutions are
almost seamless. Central American countries have cooperated on
defense and law enforcement for years. Although open borders with
Mexico would require better military and police collaboration, old
guard Mexican politicians say that would violate their
sovereignty.
While it's good to look after one's own interests, U.S. and Mexican
leaders have done little to facilitate understanding. Both the Gore
and Bush campaigns of 2000 snubbed candidate Vicente Fox, thinking
an opposition party candidate could never win. President Fox hasn't
forgotten and has made little effort to see bilateral issues from
Washington's side. His myopic first foreign secretary, Jorge
Casteneda, talked him into pursuing an open-border treaty after
September 11, 2001, just as George Bush's priority became keeping
foreign terrorists out.
Mexico's latest volley is a comic book warning prospective
immigrants of the dangers of crossing illegally - but giving them
survival tips if they go. However well intended, its surprise
revelation in the U.S. press suggests an uncooperative partner in
controlling migrant flows. This is unfortunate, because Mexico
needs to persuade Central American authorities to help control
emigration from their jurisdictions.
Hundreds of miles distant from Washington and Mexico City, the
actual U.S.-Mexican frontier stretches 2,000 miles, home to 14
paired cities and 12 million people. There, U.S. and Mexican
citizens cross the line daily to commute to jobs in both countries,
see relatives and facilitate trade that has grown to about $650
million daily.
Imposing draconian controls there would devastate the economies of
both countries and still fail to staunch the flow of people willing
to swim rivers and brave deserts to put bread on the table.
Ironically, the only hope of opening borders to improve trade and
labor mobility is to slow the immigrant tide.
To do that, U.S. and Mexican officials must tackle some difficult
topics: better education for Mexicans, an end to state monopolies,
a better climate for small businesses and investment, and modern
law enforcement and defense institutions.
Mr. Fox campaigned for these things, but has been thwarted by
opposition officials who think he should keep sending Mexico's
problems north. Those deputies fail to understand labor mobility
can't exist without economies and public institutions that work
harmoniously on both sides of the border.
Stephen Johnson is senior policy analyst for Latin America in
the Davis Institute for International Studies at The Heritage
Foundation.
First Appeared in the Washington Times