Mr. Chen Shui-bian will be sworn in as Taiwan's new president
tomorrow because he played by the rules. Perhaps more than any
other politician in Taiwan - or in China, for that matter -
attorney Chen Shui-bian understands that democracy is played
according to constitutional rules which legitimate both the
political system and the leaders it elects. Although the
President-elect is a firm believer in "Taiwan Independence," he was
elected under the constitution of the "Republic of China," and -
well - that makes him Chinese.
This simple truth is all the context you'll need to interpret President-elect Chen's anxiously anticipated inauguration speech on Saturday, May 20. In it, Chen Shui-bian will seek to "legitimate" Taiwan. As a lawyer, he believes this is done through a constitutional process. Chen's speech will outline his governing vision - profoundly influenced by his slender 40% electoral plurality - as one which eschews narrow partisan dogma and platforms in favor of building a broad governing coalition to represent all Taiwan's people.
Of course, the most dreaded part of Chen's speech will address
Taiwan's relationship with China. Chen doesn't have to read the
polls to know that well over 65% of the population doesn't want him
to address the "one China" issue at all, and this alone would keep
him from adventuresome forays into "creative" new ideas on how to
please Beijing. But Chen's resistance to any further compromise
with China is far deeper than this.
Because Beijing's "one China Principle" demands that Taipei give up
its legitimacy as a sovereign state in the international community,
Chen is in no position to accept it, nor are the Taiwan people. So
Chen says he'll devote "perhaps one-seventh, maybe even one-sixth"
of his 4500-character speech to Taiwan's relationship with China.
According to Chen's top advisor on China
affairs, the portion of Chen's speech dealing with China is
grounded in two principles: 1) respect for Taiwan's national
identity and 2) goodwill toward China.
China wants to hear Chen say "I am Chinese, and I accept the
principle of 'one China, and that Taiwan is part of China."' But he
can't do it. Nonetheless, Chen will certainly reiterate Taiwan's
desire to be China's "partner" and "friend," and will offer a broad
range of new economic initiatives to China, including immediate
opening of the offshore islands to Chinese tourism, trade and
shipping.
It won't make China happy, but it isn't meant to. Chen's repeated
hope is that his speech "doesn't give China an excuse to cause
trouble." So, with warm words and an outstretched hand, Chen seeks
to defuse China's suspicions and in the process make China appear
churlish and unreasonable to the rest of the international
community. Which, by the way, is another of Chen's hopes for his
speech: that it "sets Taiwan's position straight for the
international community."
Yet another hope Chen has for his speech is "that it satisfies the
Americans." Last Monday, State Department spokesman Richard Boucher
shrugged off - but pointedly
failed to deny - press reports that president-elect Chen Shui-bian
had given a draft of his speech to the U.S. representative in
Taipei. So it's pretty clear that Washington has had a chance to
review the China portions of Chen's inaugural address and give its
imprimatur.
But Chen's greatest hope for the speech, he says, is that his
"fellow citizens can accept it." This reflects Chen's philosophy of
representative democracy.
Of course, Chen didn't grow up in a representative democracy. An
ethnic-Taiwanese graduate of the Island's top law school in the
waning days of Chiang Kai-shek's Kuomintang (KMT) dictatorship,
Chen got his start in politics by defending (unsuccessfully) the
famous "Kaohsiung Eight" (one of whom was vice president-elect
Annette Hsiu-lien Lu) in their 1980 sedition trial.
In 1985, after years of electoral politics and political activism,
Chen managed to get himself thrown in jail for a year on a dubious
libel charge. The next year his wife, Ms. Wu Shu-chen, was
permanently crippled in what was widely believed to have been an
assassination attempt by KMT-hired
thugs.
Yet in the face of this awesome power of the state, lawyer Chen Shui-bian maintained his belief that the government's power could be challenged in law.
From 1981 when he was first elected to the Taipei city council to
his election to Taiwan's presidency two decades later, Chen "worked
the system" from the inside. He struggled to legitimate Taiwan's
first real opposition political party in 1986, and after the 1988
death of president Chiang Ching-kuo, Chen cooperated with new
president Lee Teng-hui to amend the KMT's 1948 Constitution and rid
the legislature of hundreds of exiled mainland-Chinese
congressmen-for-life.
With a new and truly Taiwanese legislature, the Island quickly
evolved to full direct elections and is now certainly the most
dynamic and free-wheeling democracy in Asia. And Taiwan's vibrant
democracy gives it an ironclad "legitimacy."
Chen's reverence for "legitimacy" underpins his philosophy of
government - and his view of Taiwan's relationship with China. Long a
staunch advocate of "Taiwan Independence" in a party whose charter
demands it, Chen Shui-bian now admits he won't become the
"President of Taiwan" tomorrow, instead he'll be "President of
the Republic
of China" a "sovereign and independent nation." This is a major
concession for Chen, and it's about as close as he'll get to saying
"Taiwan is part of China" in his inaugural address. But he
understands that he was elected is under the constitutional "rules"
of the "Republic of China," and that's that.
John J.
Tkacik, Jr., is president of China Business Intelligence,
an Alexandria, Virginia, consulting firm, with over 20 years
experience in the China field. He is also a Research Fellow in the
Asian Studies Center at The Heritage Foundation
(www.heritage.org).
Originally appeared in China Online.