President Lee Myung-bak confronts a deepening political crisis
that requires a bold proactive strategy to overcome the country's
factionalism and put South Korea back on the path to economic
recovery.
Although the situation currently appears bleak for the Lee
administration, three months into a five-year term is far too early
to count the new President out.
Indeed, Lee faced similar low approval and intense public
criticism early in his term as Seoul's mayor yet he went on to
become widely popular by achieving his objectives.
Although Lee's decision to renew imports of U.S. beef triggered
the current public protests, a series of policy missteps and a
perceived authoritarian governing style had already caused a
plummet in public approval.
The opposition parties capitalized on the souring of public mood
by depicting the Lee government as rich, corrupt, and out of touch
with the common people.
Opposition groups not affiliated with political parties but
critical of Lee's policies fueled public health concerns by issuing
inaccurate information or mischaracterizing the government's
decision to re-open South Korea's market to the imports.
The bilateral South Korean-U.S. beef agreement was not, as the
groups maintain, an impetuous decision by President Lee prior to
his Camp David summit with President Bush.
Rather, it was a long overdue action which South Korea was
required to take once the World Organization for Animal Health
(OIE) published its September 2007 ruling on the safety of U.S.
beef.
Though South Korea was beholden to obey international standards,
the Roh Moo-hyun administration and the 17th-term National Assembly
lacked the political will to do so.
After Lee Myung-bak's inauguration, standing National Assembly
members requested the required implementation be deferred until
after the April 9 legislative elections.
Opposition Can't Take Yes for Answer
The protests have largely accomplished their original goals. For
all intents and purposes, both countries have established a
voluntary restraint agreement preventing the sale of U.S. beef
older than 30 months.
Seoul has also announced place-of-origin and age labeling,
stronger monitoring standards, and increase the number of health
inspectors.
Protestors likely don't realize that U.S. beef is subject to
stricter BSE (bovine spongiform encephalopathy or mad cow disease)
monitoring than South Korean beef. South Korea has not yet met
World Organization for Animal Health (OIE) standards to qualify as
a "controlled risk" country. The U.S. has already done so. Instead,
South Korea remains an "undetermined risk" country. Conceivably,
BSE may have occurred in South Korea but not been detected due to
lax monitoring procedures.
The opposition dismisses any government acquiescence to its
demands as insufficient or "insincere" since there is advantage in
prolonging the turmoil to weaken Lee.
The demonstrations now encompass a wide range of disparate
objectives including undermining Lee's pledges for rapprochement
with the U.S. and implementing education reform, pro-growth
economic policies, and more conditional engagement with North
Korea.
House Divided Against Itself Cannot Stand
President Lee must heal the rift within the governing Grand
National Party. Though he will have a legislative majority in the
18th-term National Assembly, a significant number of those members,
as well as many independents, are loyal to former GNP Chairperson
Park Geun-hye.
To meet the objectives for which he was elected, the President
should be magnanimous and recommend that "GNP defectors" be allowed
to return to the party. President Lee should make concerted peace
overtures to Park Geun-hye in order to restore public faith in his
administration and the GNP.
A frustrated GNP initially tried to correct the Lee
administration's policy stumbles through sympathetic criticism. As
the street protests grew in intensity, the ruling party cut its
losses by adopting populist stances, including embracing the
opposition's demands for renegotiating the beef deal.
The GNP should realize, however, that adopting these divisive
tactics gives advantage to the opposition and undermines Korea's
ability to regain its economic strength.
Redressing the Problem
The Lee administration must move quickly because opposition groups
have vowed to use several upcoming anniversaries to further incite
public opinion against both Lee and the United States.
These anniversaries are June 10 (1987 pro-democracy movement),
June 13 (deaths of two Korean schoolgirls in 2002 by a U.S. armored
vehicle), and June 15 (first South-North Korean summit in
2000).
To regain the momentum for his policy agenda, President Lee must
alter the political paradigm. A primary issue for the public is
Lee's forceful, unilateral governing style.
Applauded during the campaign as a "CEO-style" president, Lee is
now criticized for being autocratic and treating the citizens as
corporate employees.
He should revise policy-making procedures to foster greater
transparency and inclusion of opposition and public concerns.
His administration should proactively counter false allegations
against U.S. beef safety and mischaracterizations of the KORUS FTA
with a coordinated public diplomacy campaign.
Although President Lee should improve Blue House communication
procedures to gain greater public support, he can't be overly
accommodating to the fickle South Korean mood lest he become a
political weather vane constantly shifting direction. Instead, the
South Korean ship of state should be guided by constant, underlying
principles.
For example, it is critical that South Korea ratifies the KORUS
free trade agreement. The economic benefits for both South Korea
and the U.S. are well-documented.
Completing the FTA is especially critical for South Korea. It will
improve the country's competitiveness against regional economic
rivals China and Japan; provide momentum for other critically
needed economic reforms, and send a powerful signal that South
Korea is receptive to critically needed foreign and domestic
investment.
A prolonged crisis will hinder economic reform and drive away
foreign investment. But if President Lee expeditiously implements
critically-needed changes, he may not only weather the current
storm but go on to fulfill his vision to improve South Korea's
economic competitiveness and expand the country's global role. Even
so, he is likely to face a volatile term in office with opposition
parties and groups eager to find an excuse to reoccupy the streets
in protest.
Bruce Klingner is
senior research fellow for Northeast Asia in the Asian Studies
Center at the Heritage Foundation.
First appeared in the Korea Times