"Were we directed from Washington when to sow and when to reap, we should soon want bread." -- Thomas Jefferson: Autobiography, 1821.
This year may be a decisive one for the future of the Conservative
Revolution. Will conservatives be able to govern while remaining
true to our principles? Can we create a federal government that is
smaller and less intrusive, that protects us from foreign foes
while safeguarding our civil liberties, that promotes the rule of
law while allowing the free market to prosper?
The answer is "yes." But it won't happen unless we make it
happen.
The Washington Scene
In 2003, as the party in control of both branches of Congress and
the White House, Republicans proved they have adapted well to
working institutional Washington to their political benefit. But
conservatives should learn a lesson from that: While the current
Republican party is led by those who identify themselves as
"conservative," we have discovered that we can't automatically
expect them to defend conservative positions as a matter of
principle. However, we must never falter in our efforts to insist
that those who claim the "conservative" mantle know that we expect
them to stand for freedom, prosperity and opportunity, and call
them on the carpet when they let us down.
The Republican leadership in Congress and President Bush claimed a
political victory last year when they greatly increased federal
spending and provided a new Medicare prescription-drug entitlement
that our children -- and grandchildren -- will be paying for in
years to come. In so doing, these sometime courageous and
principled leaders seem to have forgotten that a government that
can do anything for you can do anything to you.
Since 2000, the federal budget has swollen to a size unseen since
the Second World War. Unlike during that crisis, however, only
about a third of recent growth has gone to fund our military and
national security interests. Spending has jumped across the board
-- no category has significantly lagged -- and promises to continue
expanding for the foreseeable future. Of course, as the government
spends more and more, it leaves less and less in the pockets of
taxpayers -- the people we're counting on to build a prosperous
future.
At the writing of this piece, the 2004 omnibus appropriations bill
includes enough pork to feed millions of potential voters at a
national political campaign barbecue, including funding for
thousands of projects in which the federal government should have
no role. There is $325,000 for construction of a swimming pool in
Salinas, Calif., $225,000 for a theme park in Kentucky, $2 million
to teach children to play golf, and millions for bike paths,
traffic lights, and all manner of water and sewage systems.
Looking Ahead
This year the White House says it will become serious about reining
in federal spending and slowing government growth. The President
must be bold in cutting government spending. Exercising the veto
power -- at last -- would be a great way to start. And it's past
time for the Republican Congress to restrain its urge to overspend.
In 2004, conservatives around the country must sound the clarion
call that the tide must turn -- and turn now.
Conservatives won't know the administration is serious about its
desire to rein in the government until we see concrete proposals to
trim spending. And conservatives in Congress must prove their
resolve by reforming the budgeting process in a way that enhances
clarity, promotes accountability, and puts brakes on the growth of
government. Imposing a real cap on total federal spending, not just
the "discretionary" accounts, would provide much needed fiscal
discipline.
Taxpayers deserve -- and have demanded -- no less. In 2000 -- and
more strongly in 2002 -- Americans voted for a new game in
Washington. Some may remember that then-Gov. Bush promised to
"change the tone in Washington." That should mean more than
reducing partisan rancor. It should also mean making government
less expensive and less extensive.
Defense and Homeland Security
Of course, nothing good can happen unless the federal government is
doing its most important job: protecting America. To our great
benefit, conservative ideas are clearly winning the day here.
President Bush has a clearheaded and disciplined foreign policy
vision. We're all safer without Saddam Hussein in power, with Osama
bin Laden on the run, and with an effective Department of Homeland
Security. Overseas, a new, democratic government will take power in
Afghanistan this year, and Iraq will take critical steps toward
self-government.
Meanwhile, the Justice Department is judiciously enforcing the
Patriot Act, which took a number of laws that were already on the
books and simply applied them to terrorism -- without stepping on
our civil rights. As former Attorney General Ed Meese (my Heritage
Foundation colleague) observed last fall: "There are now more
protections, including the requirement of a judicial authority to
get third-party records such as library records. This is not the
ability to go into someone's home and take their private
papers."
Federal prosecutors have already used the Patriot Act to detain
wrongdoers. The law is working as it was supposed to by making life
more difficult for terrorists without affecting the rest of us. In
fact, even the ACLU had to admit last year that there hasn't been a
single proven abuse of the Patriot Act.
In the face of opposition from some Democrats, the Bush
administration is also moving ahead with missile defense. We'll
soon have a system in place to shoot down incoming weapons, and
we'll keep refining it as we develop an effective defense shield.
For years, we've been completely vulnerable -- a single rogue state
with a single ballistic missile could have held us hostage or
destroyed an entire American city. We'll all be more secure with a
system to defend against such threats.
The Conservative Mainstream
Missile defense is just one example of conservatism's move into the mainstream. Ten years ago even Bill Clinton saw the need to embrace conservative rhetoric and ideas, such as ending "welfare as we know it."
Today, it isn't enough to simply say that government should be
"limited," that it "should do a few things and do them well" and
"welcome market-based competition wherever possible." Members of
both parties claim to believe those things. What conservatives --
and more and more voters -- are looking for are results along those
lines.
For too many conservatives in power, governing seems to have become
a political, rather than principled, exercise. There is a tendency
for them to play ball with the special interests and kowtow to
broad demographic groups with tailored programs and well-targeted
handouts. We must remind them that putting process ahead of
principle means putting personal gain ahead of what is best for the
taxpayers and for personal freedom.
The Growing Welfare State
The numbers show that as the federal budget has grown, more and
more Americans have become dependent on government to take care of
them. For the first time since 1945, government spending per
household topped $20,000 in 2003. More than 70 million Americans
--roughly one fourth of the entire American population -- now
depend on the government for all or most of their income, and this
number is growing at a rate three times that of the population at
large. On average, each of these 70 million dependents receives
$24,000 from the government, compared to about $10,000 apiece in
1966. (All of these numbers are in constant dollars.)
Worse still, Congress, under pressure from the President, created
the first new federal entitlement program in a generation this past
November. The Medicare "reform" will cost several trillion dollars
over the next two decades, increase government dependency among
seniors, and sap the spirit of the younger generation, which will
have to pay for it.
Make no mistake: The beast must be fed. If this pattern of
government spending and dependency continues, our children and
their children will face taxes so high that they will become the
indentured servants of a system that, in attempting to provide for
everyone, provides nothing of value for anyone.
Conservatives should realize that real reform on issues like
Medicare, for example, is still possible and that we must continue
to work to make it happen. For instance, if lawmakers make a system
similar to their own health plan, the Federal Employees Health
Benefit Program, available to Medicare recipients, the elderly
would enjoy real choices while effective market competition would
hold costs down.
The Administration's Policies
Elsewhere, the Bush administration succeeded by going backward.
First, the President stumbled by imposing tariffs on imported
steel. That drove up costs in dozens of important domestic
industries, while propping up a few large steel producers renowned
for their inefficiency and mismanagement. The tariffs also harmed
the smaller, more efficient steel manufacturers, cutting into their
opportunity to reform a critical industry. But by the end of 2003,
President Bush had lifted the tariffs.
Hopefully, the Administration will keep up the fight for free trade
by putting pressure on the Senate to ratify the Free Trade Area of
the Americas (FTAA) agreement in 2004. As we've seen with NAFTA,
free-trade agreements help increase jobs and boost the economy --
two outcomes that benefit all of us.
The Strength of Conservatism
Despite the many disappointments, conservatives still have plenty
of reasons to be optimistic this year. Many conservatives in the
House of Representatives put their careers on the line last fall
and voted against the Medicare drug benefit -- despite
unprecedented arm-twisting. Those with strong conservative
convictions have identified themselves, and the movement will be
stronger in the long run as a result.
And with Social Security, the window for real reform may finally be
opening. Few younger workers expect to receive significant benefits
from the Social Security system to which they contribute with every
paycheck. Their apprehension isn't misplaced: The system is broken
and will eventually be unable to meet its obligations. While past
reform efforts have focused on cutting benefits or raising taxes,
the ideas this time are different.
Over the past few months, several plans to create large personal
Social Security accounts have been analyzed by the Social Security
Administration's actuary. According to the actuary, it is possible
to make the system solvent, lower payroll taxes for workers and
employers, and increase benefits (while guaranteeing a minimum
benefit), all while promoting choice and creating a new asset that
retirees will be able to hand down to their children.
Applying simple market economics to a system that's gone without
them for far too long is the answer. Reforming the Social Security
system is an opportunity that we cannot pass up, and this year will
determine the terms of the debate. Given that Social Security's
unfunded liabilities overshadow even the national debt, it's
critical that conservatives make this a priority issue.
Fulfilling the Vision
It's time for conservatives to win large and long-lasting
victories. We must aim to refashion federal politics in
constitutional terms -- and thus fulfill Ronald Reagan's vision of
a smaller, less intrusive government.
Liberals oppose virtually everything the President has done in the
War on Terrorism, from liberating Iraq to the Patriot Act, but they
don't offer realistic alternatives. In the Senate, liberals
filibuster our well-qualified judges. We've offered sensible
reforms for Social Security and welfare, and all our liberal
friends can say is: "No." This election year the policy debates
must expose the differences between the left and the right and
clarify for the voters those who truly reflect their views.
America can take a huge step forward this year toward greater
freedom, more opportunity and individual prosperity, but only if we
remain true to our principles and keep fighting for what we already
know most Americans want: a less intrusive, less expensive, more
effective federal government. If our voices are strong enough to
cause Washington to step aside and allow individuals to reap and
sow as they choose, then and only then -- as Jefferson believed --
will there be plenty of bread for everyone.
An edited version of "The State of Conservatism" appeared in Human Events Online March 22, 2004.