The Bush administration's decision last week to normalize
diplomatic relations with Libya is - without doubt - an exercise in
big-picture foreign-policy thinking.
The change will remove Libya from the "state sponsor of terrorism"
list, lift economic sanctions, reopen a U.S. embassy in Tripoli
after 27 years, end a travel ban and pave the way for American
trade and investment. Congress has 45 days to object.
The decision isn't necessarily popular - or without controversy.
Some victims' families of Pan Am 103, downed by Libyan agents in
1988, killing 270 near Lockerbie, Scotland, object strongly -- with
good reason -- to bringing Libya in from the cold.
Libya's bad behavior doesn't end there. Tripoli also blew up a
German disco (killing 3 Americans); invaded Chad; downed a French
airliner; trained/financed terrorists (e.g., Black September), sent
the IRA arms, pursued WMDs and befriended Liberian thug Charles
Taylor.
And, yes, Col. Moammar Khaddafy, Libya's eccentric (to put it
mildly) leader, is no democrat. In fact, watchdog groups often cite
Libya, a military dictatorship of 6 million mostly ethnic
Arab-Berbers, as one of the world's most repressive regimes.
So why reopen diplomatic relations with such a despicable regime?
It comes down to significant, measurable progress on matters of
great importance to U.S. interests.
Terrorism: In 1999, Tripoli began distancing itself from terrorism
by surrendering for trial the Libyan agents responsible for Pan Am
103. Moreover, Libya agreed to a nearly $3 billion settlement with
the victims' families. The first tranche of more than $1 billion
was disbursed after U.N. sanctions were lifted in 2003.
Libya has since signed all 12 of the U.N.'s counterterrorism
conventions, too. More important: It actively cooperates with us
against al Qaeda and its affiliates in North Africa, including the
Libya-based LIFG and Algeria's GSPC.
WMD: Libya has come clean on WMDs. In 2003, Libya began turning
over its nuclear program to us, including uranium hexafluoride
(enough for a small nuke), uranium enrichment centrifuges and
engineering designs for a nuclear warhead.
Tripoli also dished on its dealings with A.Q. Khan, the CEO of
Pakistan's nuclear Walwart. Khan shared Islamabad's nuclear
know-how with Iran and North Korea, as well as Libya. Tripoli's
cooperation proved critical in unraveling the network.
Libya has also begun taking steps to destroy its chemical weapons
materials and munitions under international supervision. Plus, it's
eliminating its SCUD ballistic-missile program and refraining from
developing other longer-range weapons.
If swearing-off terrorism, WMDs and long-range missiles isn't
enough, normalizing relations with Tripoli brings other benefits to
American interests.
For starters, it encourages other rogue states to come in from the
"WMDs/terrorism" cold. The clear message to Iran and North Korea:
Abandon such policies, and you "will find an open path to better
relations with the United States and other free nations," in the
words of Paula DeSutter, a State Department official.
Perhaps equally notable: Libya's stark transformation demonstrates
that the United States is (grudgingly) willing to live with a
change in regime behavior as an alternative to regime change -
every despot's and dictator's worst nightmare.
Then, too, Libya is a significant source of high-quality, light
("sweet") crude oil and natural gas. In fact, experts say that due
to Libya's isolation, the full-extent of its oil reserves isn't
fully known - further exploration could double today's forecasts.
With today's oil/natural gas prices -- and the nasty energy power
politics of Iran, Russia and Venezuela, plus instability in Nigeria
-- putting another major source of oil and natural gas on-line is a
real plus for America's energy security.
Resuming commerce with Libya would also open a long-closed market
for other U.S. businesses, from aviation to telecom.
So, while the United States can't take any pleasure in recognizing
the Libyan regime, it's a practical step for many reasons. And it
doesn't mean we're likely to see the garishly-dressed Khaddafy
welcomed on a Washington visit anytime soon. Libya must still clean
up its act on human rights, liberalize its political system and
economy - and steer clear of trouble.
The Bush administration - and its successors - must continue
pressuring for change, keep a vigilant eye -- and remind Tripoli
that the upswing in relations is fully reversible.
Peter
Brookes is a Heritage Foundation senior fellow and
author of the book "A Devil's Triangle: Terrorism, WMD and
Rogue States."
First appeared in the New York Post Online Edition