The debate over Social Security reform so
far has centered on the concern that, as the number of retirees
balloons, the program won't be able to pay its promised benefits.
That certainly is a crisis that must be addressed. But let's say,
for argument's sake, that Social Security's finances were in great
shape. Would reform still be necessary?
Yes, because of a bigger crisis that has nothing to do with the
program's solvency. It's a personal crisis affecting millions of
American working families: The program designed for the 1930s is
shortchanging them and eroding their ability to save.
The much talked-about financing crisis is coming because of the
huge number of baby boomers who will start drawing benefits in a
few years. There won't be enough money coming in from payroll taxes
to pay full benefits. Those with their heads in the sand say there
will still be enough to pay about 80% of benefits, so why worry?
But that means a 20% cut in benefits.
Some say why not just raise payroll taxes, especially on those
earning more than $90,000 a year, who have "maxed-out" on their
Social Security payroll taxes? But although these more affluent
workers typically have savings and will not depend on Social
Security for retirement, many are small-business owners. Hitting
them now with a new tax of more than 12% on part of their earnings
means less money to invest in their businesses.
But the personal crisis in Social Security is even more worrisome -
and it's deeply unfair.
As the Social Security system itself has aged, payroll taxes have
grown relentlessly and the return on those taxes has fallen
dramatically. When Social Security began, the payroll tax was just
2% of income. Now it's 12.4%. Today, the average male worker about
to retire will typically get just a 1.27% return on his lifetime of
taxes - less than he'd get from a savings account. That's bad
enough, but the younger you are, the worse it will get. A
25-year-old worker can expect a return of minus-0.64% - he loses
money.
Some retirement "security" program. Imagine what Congress would
say if a private company was taking in billions of dollars from
millions of working Americans and then giving them back less money
in retirement.
But there's more bad news. As payroll taxes have taken a bigger and
bigger bite out of paychecks, lower-income working Americans have
less and less money left to save. It's not surprising that savings
have plummeted in lower-income neighborhoods while credit card debt
has soared. The Social Security system is sucking money out of
every paycheck, which reduces savings, and it eventually returns
too little back to the community.
That is a serious crisis holding back the economic improvement of
lower-income neighborhoods. The system needs changing so that more
money is saved and stays in these communities.
Worst of all, many people pay taxes all their lives and get
literally nothing. Because Social Security is only an annuity
system, paying monthly checks, those with the lowest life
expectancy receive the least back. That's particularly bad news for
African American men, who typically die younger than whites and so
get shortchanged. Indeed, many African American males now in the
their 30s or younger will never recoup the money they put into
Social Security. And if they die before retirement, which
unfortunately is all too common among African American men, often
what they've paid into the system is lost to their heirs.
Don't worry, some members of the Congressional Black Caucus say.
They point out that because African Americans are more likely to be
poor and more likely to become disabled they tend to get a better
return from Social Security. That's because the rate of return on
contributions is higher for low-income earners and because the
disabled can collect once they are injured, which is often well
before retirement age.
Of course, their argument is a bit like saying that because
African Americans are more likely than other average Americans to
be on welfare or unemployed, they shouldn't care about taxes on the
middle class. Talk about encouraging low expectations!
This personal crisis in Social Security is why we need structural
reform, not just financing fixes. Raising the retirement age or
increasing the payroll tax might reduce the financing gap, but
those steps will make Social Security an even worse deal and
compound the personal crisis.
That's why enabling Americans to put at least some of their
existing payroll taxes into a personal account is so important. It
would allow workers to get a better return (they could hardly get
worse) on their money, and it would put control of the money into
the hands of workers.
First appeared in The Los Angeles Times