Even the strongest military powers are often paralyzed by an
age-old weakness: They tend to focus on past threats rather than on
future ones.
For example, on Sept. 11, 2001, NORAD was conducting military
exercises aimed at protecting North America's skies from Russian
bombers. Meanwhile, a handful of terrorists were turning commercial
jets into a different type of bomb.
No, our military can't always see where the next threat is coming
from. But by aggressively tracking any potential threats, we can
minimize surprises. And being wary has other advantages. If a
competitor knows we're watching closely, it will conclude that any
attack is likely to fail, and seek to advance its interests through
peaceful means.
Which brings us to China.
There's no logical reason for China to become a military threat to
America. The Asian giant is growing its economy by leaps and bounds
through trade with the U.S., and that ought to continue for decades
to come.
However, Beijing's communist leaders may have other ideas. Last
year China flexed some military muscle by destroying one of its own
weather satellites. The message: Our eyes in the sky could be
neutralized. Since our military relies on satellites for 90 percent
of its critical intelligence, telecommunications and surveillance,
that's unnerving, to say the least.
Then there's our pledge to defend democratic Taiwan. It already
faces at least 1,300 ballistic and long-range cruise missiles
pointed at it from the Chinese mainland.
Perhaps more ominously, China is launching submarines at a
breakneck pace. Over the past six years, it has acquired some 37
modern diesel-electric boats and two nuclear-attack subs quiet
enough to elude our countermeasures. Last year alone, U.S.
satellites spotted two new nuclear ballistic missile subs with 12
launch tubes each -- representing at least 72 new nuclear warheads
atop 24 state-of-the-art ICBMs.
Chinese subs are difficult to track and can now operate throughout
the Western Pacific Ocean. All new Chinese subs have become
impossible to locate without active sonar.
Obviously, our navy needs to test the latest sonar technology in
the Pacific. But legal maneuvers are thwarting military ones.
Last year U.S. District Judge Florence-Marie Cooper banned sonar
tests within a 12-nautical-mile zone off the west coast. Such
tests, she said, could harm marine life, including whales.
Yet the chief of naval operations says that area is critical to
national defense. "The southern California operating area provides
unique training opportunities that are vital to preparing our
forces, and the planned exercises cannot be postponed without
impacting national security," Adm. Gary Roughead announced last
month.
To allow the tests to proceed, President Bush granted the Navy an
exemption. Obeying the judge's orders would "undermine the Navy's
ability to conduct realistic training exercises that are necessary
to ensure the combat effectiveness of carrier and expeditionary
strike groups," Bush said.
Now Judge Cooper has struck back. She's overruled the
administration and reinstated her ban, a decision immediately
cheered by environmentalists. And another U.S. magistrate has
extended the ban. Elizabeth Laporte has ruled the Navy must
establish sonar-free zones in several places, including seas near
Monterey Bay, the Galapagos Islands, Ecuador, Australia, the
Mediterranean and Hawaii. Think our military competitors will obey
such restrictions?
On matters of defense, our country should defer to the military,
not to judges. Our Navy says it needs to test its sonar in the
Pacific, since it would be those systems -- not some legal
declarations -- that would protect us if we were attacked.
"Attack [your enemy] where he is unprepared," Sun Tzu writes in
The Art of War. "Appear where you are not expected." The Sept. 11
terrorists certainly did that. Will we, in the interest of coddling
a few whales, leave ourselves vulnerable again?
Ed Feulner is president of The Heritage Foundation (heritage.org).
First Appeared in CNSNews.com