Recent polls suggest that, for the first time, more than half of Americans don't approve of President Bush's handling of the Iraq war, and much of the disaffection has to do with the relentless criticism he's endured in the press.
But before America's armada of armchair strategists offer their
next assessment on how and why the president's policies have failed
us, they should remember to keep a few key points in mind.
Why is the United States in Iraq? We have legal and moral
responsibilities as an occupying power. Historians can debate the
wisdom of dethroning Saddam's regime. But, having invaded the
country, U.S. forces have a legal obligation, under international
law, to do several things before they leave, most of which fall
under what World War II military planners aptly called the "disease
and unrest formula."
They must prevent the outbreak of mass starvation and disease,
establish a legitimate government and adequate domestic security
forces and provide public safety and order. Having done that, an
occupying power can then withdraw, unless invited to stay and
assist in reconstruction by the country's recognized sovereign
government. Once we've done that in Iraq, we should leave.
What constitutes sufficient public safety and order in Iraq?
Adequate public safety does not mean an end to all terrorism.
Indeed, no country on the planet is immune from individual
terrorist attacks, with the possible exception of North Korea --
which a recent survey rated the country least likely to be struck
by terrorists. Apparently its regime is terrorizing enough.
We'll know there's sufficient public order when we can conduct the
other critical post-conflict tasks: feeding the people, setting up
a government and fielding an army and police force. These tasks
can, in fact, be done in the presence of a terrorist threat.
Governments function and civil society operates adequately in the
face of chronic terrorism in a number of countries, such as Israel
and Northern Ireland.
Frankly, it does not appear that the present terrorist activities
in Iraq can keep these things from happening …unless
Americans and Iraqis succumb to what the terrorists want: for us to
cave into our fears.
Why not let the United Nations take over? The United Nations did
not invade Iraq; the United States did. Therefore, America bears
the ultimate responsibility for the occupation. The United Nations
and others can help, but the goal should not be to internationalize
the occupation, but to end it. We must avoid anything that slows
down that process. The only help we need is that which speeds
fulfillment of the disease-and-unrest formula.
Who will rebuild Iraq? The Iraqis. Just as Europeans and Asians
rebuilt their countries after World War II, the Iraqis will bear
most of the burden, hardship and sacrifice of reconstructing their
country after decades of neglect under a brutal regime and the
consequences of three wars. In the end the Iraqis will have to
fight for their own freedom. The United States needs to get out of
their way and let them secure their own destiny.
Meeting the obligations of an occupying power and then withdrawing
U.S. forces is the best way to do that.
What do we do about mounting casualties? Fight smarter. Protect
our troops. But in the end, casualties are part of the fight for
victory.
The aftermath of war is more like war than peace. It is a time
filled with uncertainty, violence and privation. It needs to be
thought of like war -- and war, let's remember, is a competition
between determined, thinking enemies. It's a contest of action and
counteraction. Human losses are always the measure of these
terrible struggles. It is naive to assume occupations will be a
frictionless, effortless endeavor. It also would be foolish to let
adversity equal surrender.
American forces likely will suffer casualties until the last day
of the occupation, but this does not mean that America will fail.
We took casualties throughout the Cold War - yet, in the end,
we prevailed. Let's make sure the same can be said of Iraq.
James
Jay Carafano is the Senior Fellow for Defense and
Homeland Security at the Heritage Foundation and the author of
Waltzing into The Cold War: The Struggle for Occupied
Austria.
First appeared on FoexNews.com.