With the United States and Iraq moving closer to war, America is
finding out who its friends really are.
Dozens of countries have lined up alongside the United States,
including Great Britain, Spain and the Czech Republic. More can be
expected to get on board if war breaks out.
The case of Russia is particularly fascinating. Recently, Russia's
been more a pain in the neck than a friend at the United Nations,
opposing U.S. efforts to use force against Saddam Hussein. But our
long-time Cold War enemy has the potential to be a great ally in a
post-Saddam Middle East and the continuing global war on
terror.
Mind you, Russia could be a great friend. Its recent
track record of cooperation with the United States is mixed. On one
hand, Russia sided with Germany and France to block military action
against Iraq, continues to build a nuclear reactor in Iran and
recently held talks with North Korean dictator Kim Jong Il.
On the other hand, it is allied with America in the war on
terrorism. After the Sept. 11th attacks, Russian President Vladimir
Putin supported the United States against al-Qaeda and the Taliban
in Afghanistan. He overruled his defense minister and let the U.S.
military deploy troops and fly over Russian territory. Russia also
supplied and trained forces for the Northern Alliance, which
overthrew the Taliban. Finally, it permitted the re-supply of U.S.
forces in Afghanistan through its ports and railways, greatly
cutting U.S. costs.
There are many reasons why Putin did this, but here's the main
one: Osama bin Laden's taped remark that the attack on civilians at
a Moscow theater last October was part of his jihad against the
West. This proved Putin's belief that Russia is also a terrorist
target and is vulnerable to Sept. 11-style attack. And Putin, a
former KGB chief, doesn't like being vulnerable.
It's true that Moscow and Washington differ fundamentally on
Russia's relations with Iraq, Iran and North Korea. In the debates
over the U.N. Security Council resolution on weapons inspections in
Iraq, for example, Russia opposed language that would have
explicitly authorized the use of force.
But Moscow's ties to rogue states are driven primarily by economic
motives. Russia seeks to profit from multi-billion-dollar oil, gas
and nuclear power deals -- and arms sales -- to pay off billions in
Soviet-era Iraqi debt. As the resolution was being crafted, Baghdad
disingenuously claimed that it might sign a $40 billion, 10-year
trade agreement with Russia.
The Bush administration should work closely with Russia to develop
alternative policies for dealing with rogue states -- policies that
would threaten neither country's security interests. As noted in
The Heritage Foundation policy guidebook, "Agenda
2003" the United States should:
- Seek Russia's collaboration on the political make-up of
post-Saddam Iraq. The administration should make clear
that, once Saddam Hussein is removed from power, it will expect the
new Iraqi government to make good on the $7 billion to $8 billion
Iraq owes Russia. Russian forces also could participate in policing
Iraq, and Russian companies could retain their oil rights and help
rebuild it.
- Establish closer ties with Russian intelligence
services for fighting terrorism. This could include joint
intelligence operations to penetrate al-Qaeda and other terrorist
groups to identify and intercept their sources of funding and
weapons. Such operations also could involve Russian intelligence
networks in the Muslim world.
- Declare the wing of Chechen separatists responsible for
the hostage crisis in Moscow a terrorist group. Washington
also should support Russia's request that the Chechen extremist
leaders be extradited from their Middle Eastern havens.
- Expand oil and energy ties with Russia, Kazakhstan and
Azerbaijan. The goal here would be to lessen U.S.
dependence on Middle Eastern oil. Oil companies from this region
that comply with U.S. corporate government and accounting standards
should be allowed to access U.S. private-sector investment to
expand their exports to global markets. The United States also
should support construction of a 1,864-mile pipeline from Western
Siberia to the Artic port of Mermansk. Oil from that pipeline can
be exported directly to the United States.
Russia and America were allies in World War II. Now, in this new
world war against terrorism, we have an opportunity to be allies
again, but with a twist -- friends not only because we have common
enemies, but because we have basic, common democratic and economic
values that include a world free of terrorism. To borrow a line
from Hollywood, this could be the start of a beautiful
friendship.
Ariel
Cohen is a research fellow in Russian and Eurasian Studies
in the Kathryn and Shelby Cullom Davis Institute for International
Studies at The Heritage Foundation.
Distributed nationally on the Knight-Ridder Tribune wire