Tossing a little fat on the fire before today's U.N. Security
Council deadline calling on Iran to suspend uranium enrichment,
Tehran upped the ante this week by offering to share its nuclear
know-how with others.
According to the Iranian news agency, IRNA, Iran's Supreme leader,
Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, said on Tuesday in a meeting with the
Sudanese president in Tehran that Iran "is prepared to transfer the
[nuclear] experience, knowledge and technology of its
scientists."
This bone-chilling comment, which echoed the words of Iranian
president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad last fall, highlights the
less-discussed dilemma of Iran's nuclear aspirations: Once the
ayatollahs become atomic, with whom might Tehran share its nuclear
knowledge?
A nuclear Iran is a nightmare for all the obvious reasons,
including destabilizing the Middle East, but the idea of a number
of Iranian friends/allies "armed" with nuclear programs (provided
by Tehran) is cause for permanent strategic insomnia.
Some might think that since this pronouncement of willful
proliferation was made in a meeting with Sudan's president Omar al
Bashir that, perhaps, Khartoum might be one of the recipients of
Iranian nuclear largesse. While this is possible, it's
unlikely.
No doubt, Sudan wouldn't mind having the turbocharged political
influence that comes along with the potential of a nuclear
(weapons) breakout. It would, certainly, allow Khartoum to fend off
pressure over the ongoing Sudanese civil war or, even, the genocide
in Darfur.
But, nuclear programs, are often--fortunately--cost prohibitive to
many countries, especially those with shallow pockets. It shouldn't
be ruled out, but even if Tehran shared its nuclear smarts, Sudan
wouldn't likely join the ranks of nuclear nations anytime
soon.
But don't breathe a great big sigh of relief yet, other potential
roguish recipients exist for Iranian nuclear gift-giving such as
Iran's pal, Syria, and, even, its new friend, Venezuela--right here
in our neighborhood.
Syria is an Iranian ally, having concluded a mutual defense treaty
in 2004. Reaffirming the security pact last February, Syrian Prime
Minister Muhammad Naji al Otari noted, "Syria and Iran face several
challenges, and it is necessary to build a common front."
But the most dreaded aspect of their growing partnership is the
potential for nuclear cooperation. While Syria only has a small
nuclear R&D program, based on a Chinese-supplied 30-kilowatt
reactor, that isn't the whole story.
The State Department says that Syria has also obtained some
dual-use nuclear technologies--some with IAEA assistance--that
could be used in a nuclear weapons program. What better saber than
nukes for Damascus to fend off the U.S. and Israel?
Another of Iran's staunch supporters on the nuclear issue has been
Venezuela's president, Hugo Chavez. Time and time again, Chavez has
defended Iran's right to nuclear power, especially because Iran is,
"faced with the threat of the U.S. government."
More troubling, Chavez has openly flirted with a nuclear program.
Last May, he expressed interest in opening negotiations with Iran
on nuclear power. In February, the speaker of the Iranian
parliament said Iran was open to cooperation with Venezuela.
Of course, Caracas --like Tehran--swears that despite the country
being awash in oil and gas, a nuclear program is only for peaceful
energy production.
Moreover, not only could Iran assist Venezuela with a nuclear
program to keep the U.S. off balance in its own neighborhood,
Tehran could also share its prodigious ballistic missile capability
with Caracas, putting the U.S. within range.
Now, there is no need to be alarmist--not every country that has
expressed aspirations for nuclear power is destined for the nuclear
weapons club, but considering Chavez's anti-American bile (not
unlike Iran's), it certainly should give us significant
pause.
Iran's real nuclear aspirations are rapidly becoming known. But
similarly troubling--and much less considered--is Tehran's
potential for "secondary proliferation"--which makes rolling back
Iran's nuclear program all the more important.
Peter
Brookes, Heritage Foundation senior fellow, is the
author of "A Devil's Triangle: Terrorism, WMD and Rogue
States."
First appeared in Real Clear Politics