It's all too easy, as
the water pumps churn and troops move throughout New Orleans, to
ask: "What took so long? Anyone watching cable news could see what
needed to be done."
If only it were that simple.
It's one thing to witness disaster on the nightly news, another to
deal with the realities on the ground. New Orleans has experienced
a nuclear bomb, absent mushroom cloud and radiation. It looks like
the Third World. The wind, storm surge and flood washed away
everything that makes a modern city and left a mass of desperate
people, desperately difficult to reach.
Estimates of the numbers stranded ranged up to 200,000. Meanwhile,
much of the city is under water. The storm all but wiped out power,
communications and transportation. And there are few unobstructed
ways in or out.
And unlike New York after 9/11, there was no place to turn for
immediate help. Major cities surrounding the Big Apple could
quickly pitch in, over intact bridges, roads and waterways. The
small communities around New Orleans had little extra capacity
before the storm. Now they have their own problems.
Where was the military? If the armored brigade from the Louisiana
National Guard had been at home instead of Iraq, they might have
mattered little. Many soldiers might have been victims or their
equipment damaged. They would still have had trouble getting to the
scene. And armored forces lack the right stuff - like lots of
trucks, boats, and helicopters. In large-scale disasters, state
guards always require outside help.
New Orleans needed a national response. And the nation was ready to
respond. The problem was not a lack of resources, will or
organization. The problem was how to get it to people.
And every aircraft, vehicle, and team sent in requires support,
just like the victims - no trivial challenge. In fact, one common
problem is that there are good-natured efforts to send so much
help, whether it is asked for or not, that it chokes the capacity
of the emergency managers to coordinate or care for all the
responders. Ironically, this puts more lives at risk and actually
slows aid delivery.
The notion that the dire needs of the city could be addressed
quickly under impossible conditions is simply ludicrous. It would
be irresponsible to gauge the national response solely by the speed
with which resources are brought to bear in the first days. How
soon assistance arrives is dictated by reality.
Of course, we could have poured troops in before Katrina hit,
propositioning aid and evacuating the poor. But that it is just
unrealistic. Evacuating a city is a monumental decision. Tracking
the unpredictable path of a hurricane means you get, at best, a few
days notice to make the call. Then, with scant time as
hundreds-of-thousands are clogging the roads out, how do you send
masses of vehicles in with troops or supplies?
And sending in troops involves two big risks: The storm could veer
into the staging area, making them casualties, or change course,
leaving troops poorly positioned to respond. Staging for a
hurricane is a Hobson's choice.
It is hard to get very far ahead of a storm. It's in the chaotic
aftermath that you struggle to learn the extent of the damage and
the capacity to move aid.
It is also hard to believe that massive amounts of aid could have
gotten there that much faster. We'll see. That determination will
require dispassionate, factual analysis, not emotional or
opportunistic Monday-morning quarterbacking based on news reports
and press conferences.
For now, here's what we can say about the challenge of New Orleans:
This is the kind of crisis the nation must be prepared to tackle -
a disaster that exceeds the means of state and local governments.
It is a fair test for the new Department of Homeland Security and
the military, and for our efforts since 9/11.
We should learn from this tragedy the quality of the leadership,
resources and programs we need to meet catastrophic disasters -
either natural or manmade. We should, however, temper expectations
with realism.
There is also little question that we need a greater national
capacity to respond to catastrophic disasters. Fair issues: Did we
do the best with what was available, have we gotten better since
9/11, and what are the next steps?
Beyond playing the blame game, we need to rethink whether we're
truly doing all the right things. Grants that dole out wads of
money with scant regard to national priorities won't do. Today, all
the fire stations in New Orleans lie under water, as does much of
the equipment bought with federal dollars.
Only a national system - capable of mustering the whole nation,
built by meeting the highest national priorities first - can
respond to disasters on the scale of Katrina.
Originally appeared in the New York Post