President George W. Bush's visit to Latvia, Russia and the
Republic of Georgia underscores how much the geopolitical landscape
changed 13 years after the collapse of the Soviet
Empire.
In Riga, Mr. Bush will address leaders of Estonia, Latvia and
Lithuania. These are America's new allies -- members of North
Atlantic Treaty Organization. They are also members of the European
Union. Russia is an ex-rival and a strategic partner, a vague term
indeed. Georgia (and neighboring Azerbaijan) are emerging
allies.
In Riga, Mr. Bush should avoid new dividing lines in Europe, but
call for recognition of Latvian and Estonian borders by Russia and
the signing of a peace treaty. The president should also tell
people of the Baltic States that their well-earned and
much-deserved freedom should not be dishonored by occasional
expressions of sympathy to Nazis or by discriminatory measures
against the Russian population.
Mr. Bush should also acknowledge our new allies' great achievements
in making the transition to democracy and market economy and
integration into NATO. He should remember a new generation has come
of age, which did not suffer from Soviet occupation and is not as
pro-American as its parents. The president should remind these
young people the U.S. supported Baltic independence and never
recognized Soviet annexation. The task now is to keep these young
people friends of America.
Presidential challenges in Russia are different. He should address
Russia's people through press conferences and in the meeting with
democracy activists.
He should acknowledge the great sacrifices of the peoples of Russia
and the former Soviet Union in World War Two -- a topic most dear
to every Russian's heart. Josef Stalin no doubt enabled Adolf
Hitler to start the war, and the Soviet regime then was as
bloodthirsty as the Nazis. Stalin also destroyed the top Soviet
generals and was criminally negligent and oblivious to the coming
Nazi attack -- Operation Barbarossa, which started in June 1941. In
it, millions of Soviet soldiers were surrounded and whole field
armies destroyed.
It was, however, the blood and heroism of Russians, Ukrainians,
Tatars, Jews, Georgians and others who stopped the Nazi war
machine. Battles of Stalingrad and Kursk broke the backbone of the
Wehrmacht. The strategic gifts of Marshal Georgi Zhukov helped a
lot. Still, Soviets lost 25 million sons and daughters.
Mr. Bush can also remind his audience that the victories of the Red
Army were due to a large degree to Franklin D. Roosevelt's
"lend-lease" program: Studebaker trucks, Cobra fighter planes, SPAM
and GI boots.
Today, the president should say, the United States and Russia face
a new enemy: implacable Islamist terrorism coveting weapons of mass
destruction (WMD). In talks with Mr. Putin, Mr. Bush should advance
joint anti-proliferation efforts, such as the Nunn-Lugar program
worth up to $1 billion a year aimed at securing and destroying the
creaky Russian WMD arsenal and related materials.
The United States and Russia should work on ways to prevent Iran
from obtaining nuclear weapons. While Tehran can hit Russian soil,
it still lacks the missile capability to strike the U.S. The two
leaders should also discuss the future challenges U.S. and Russia
may face from assertive and resource-hungry China.
The president should extend a helping hand to the Russian people.
America can help address Russia's catastrophic social trends: an
HIV/AIDS and tuberculosis epidemics and a male life expectancy of
58-59 years -- behind that of Egypt.
Russia suffers from a wave of alcoholism, drugs and related
illnesses, and the abortion rate remains among the highest in the
world. This is not about geopolitics, it is about helping Russians
lead healthier, happier lives.
In meeting with Russia's democracy activists, President Bush should
explain why America promotes democracy around the world. Without
stentorian lectures, Mr. Bush should explain why smooth and
bloodless transition from one power elite to another benefits
Russia, why free media helps fight corruption, why transparency and
the rule of law attract foreign investment. If Russia wants to
modernize, it needs to liberalize. It is in the Russian national
interest to be free. The United States can help -- if the Russians
want it to.
Finally, a speech at the Independence Square in Tbilisi is a great
opportunity to look into the future. Mr. Bush should acknowledge
Georgia's accomplishments in its Rose Revolution, a bloodless
pro-democracy power change. He should express America's -- and the
world's -- firm hope that Georgia will remain on the democratic
path and its territorial integrity and sovereignty be restored.
U.S. should support return of secessionist Abkhazia and South
Ossetia to Georgia's fold, and withdrawal of Russian military bases
from Georgian soil.
Further, President Bush should demand the end to "frozen conflicts"
between Armenia and Azerbaijan in Nagorno-Karabakh and in
Transnistria in Moldova. These conflicts lasted too long, and make
everyone miserable and unable to economically develop.
Finally, the president should express our hope the right will be
respected of the region's peoples -- from Belarus to Turkmenistan
to Uzbekistan -- to elect their leaders. Tbilisi will be a terrific
place to launch a new campaign for a better future in the former
Soviet area, a future where dignity, the rule of law, civil
society, economic development and freedom prevail.
Ariel Cohen is
a senior research fellow in Russian and Eurasian studies and
international energy security at the Heritage
Foundation.
First appeared in The Washington Times