Every profession has its unofficial
list-of-things-you-don't-say, and politics is no exception. A
leading entry: Never call for a tax hike.
At least, not by name. Instead, do what the Democratic presidential
candidates do: Cloak your hike in the reassuring moniker "tax
reform."
All the Democratic contenders want to repeal at least some of the
tax cuts enacted since President Bush took office. Howard Dean,
Dennis Kucinich and Al Sharpton (plus Richard Gephardt, before he
dropped out in the wake of the Iowa caucuses) want to repeal all of
the Bush tax cuts.
In other words, the reform they favor is a tax increase. Even if
they were candid enough to admit it, though, their policy is
misguided. There are two things we should do this year: Make the
previous tax cuts permanent and begin replacing the entire tax code
with a simple and fair flat tax.
The concrete results of the Bush tax cuts are all around us.
Economic growth for the third quarter of last year was 8.2 percent.
The stock market is soaring again. Business investment is at a
10-year high. Yet there's a big problem with many of the cuts:
They're set to expire in a few years.
Consider the estate tax, or the death tax, as it's often called.
It's being phased out year-by-year and will finally expire in
2010-only to return at pre-2001 levels the next year. If you think
family farmers and mom-and-pop business owners have a tough time
passing their businesses on to the next generation now, look ahead
a few years. Should they plan to die in 2010, or set up the
elaborate tax schemes required to preserve their property for their
family?
Of course, all this confusion can be settled with the stroke of a
pen. If Congress will agree to make the previous tax cuts
permanent, everyone could begin to plan and make sensible decisions
about the future. After all, lawmakers were smart enough to realize
that slashing taxes would energize the economy. Certainly they're
smart enough to realize that a huge tax hike in 2010 would be a
devastating mistake.
But we need to do more than just lock in the earlier cuts. We
should fix the tax code to bring down taxes even further and to
enact a flat tax.
Our current tax code is 17,000 pages long and includes more than
1,100 forms and publications. It's so confusing, taxpayers are
forced to spend almost $200 billion each year just to comply with
it. Even IRS employees don't understand the laws they're supposed
to enforce. Several years ago, a General Accounting Office survey
found that IRS employees gave incorrect tax advice half the
time.
We could save time, money and trouble with a flat tax. We could
file our returns on a form the size of a postcard. And we would
bring down marginal tax rates without causing revenues to fall
because loopholes would be eliminated. (A faster-growing economy
also would generate more tax revenue.)
That's important, because, as my Heritage Foundation colleague
Daniel Mitchell wrote recently, "History tells us that tax revenues
grow and wealthy taxpayers pay more tax when marginal tax rates are
slashed. This means lower-income citizens bear a lower share of the
tax burden-a consequence that should lead class-warfare politicians
to support lower tax rates." Simply put, a flat tax would be
fairer.
Unfortunately, it's probably not yet politically possible to enact
a completely flat tax. Politicians have spent years attempting to
use the tax code to engineer social policy, crafting deductions and
credits for behavior they approve of. It'll take some time to undo
that damage. And after all, the presidential candidates in one of
our political parties are actually pressing for higher, not lower,
taxes.
Still, this year we should start taking steps toward a flat and
fair tax system. When voters see how well it works, they're sure to
demand we make it permanent.
Distributed nationally on the Knight-Ridder Tribune wire.