I'd like to begin
today with a story about history and headlines.
As I walk along the corridors in the State Department, I step
through history. Lining the walls are portraits of former
Secretaries of State and stewards of American foreign policy. In
particular, if you pass through the ceremonial Treaty Room and head
toward my office, you will see the portrait of Henry Stimson.
Perhaps best known as Franklin D. Roosevelt's Secretary of War,
Colonel Stimson played a pivotal but less remembered role in
Central America in 1927. President Calvin Coolidge had sent him to
mediate among the competing factions in a Nicaraguan civil war.
Stimson negotiated a ceasefire, the disarmament of forces, and the
conduct of elections, as the U.S. Marines kept the peace. Stimson
was hailed in the press as a peacemaker. He went on to become
governor-general of the Philippines and later the 47th U.S.
Secretary of State.
But a Nicaraguan general named Sandino refused to accept the
election. Violence flared again, Sandino was killed, and the Somoza
family imposed a long dictatorship. Now fast-forward some sixty
years, to the time when I last served in the State Department under
President George H.W. Bush and Secretary James Baker.
In 1989, a Communist dictatorship named for General Sandino was in
power. With support from Fidel Castro and the Soviet Union, Daniel
Ortega and a clique of Sandinista commandantes had hijacked a
democratic revolution against the Somozas in 1979. For ten years,
the Sandinistas jailed political opponents, confiscated property,
and destroyed the country's economy.
Contra rebels, backed by the United States and based in Honduras,
were waging a determined struggle against this regime. Here in the
United States, fights in Congress over "contra aid" dominated the
headlines. These were some of our most divisive domestic political
battles since the Vietnam War. The conflict even threatened the
Reagan Presidency.
Elsewhere in Central America, El Salvador's fledgling democracy was
battling Cuban and Soviet-supported revolutionaries. Guatemala's
long civil war continued amid repression and human rights abuses.
Even peaceful, democratic Costa Rica was flooded with refugees
fleeing war.
In 1989, our new Administration negotiated with Congress a
Bipartisan Accord for Central America. We ended the domestic wars
over this region and joined together in support of a regional peace
plan that called for democratic elections and an end to outside
support for revolutionary guerrilla armies.
We also made Central America the testing ground for the new ideas
in foreign policy proclaimed by President Gorbachev, enlisting the
cooperation of the waning Soviet Union to end the region's long
civil wars. Indeed, bringing peace to Central America was an early,
important step in ending the Cold War.
The 1990s profoundly changed the history of Central America: the
Sandinistas were decisively defeated in Nicaragua's first free
elections, and the contra army was peacefully demobilized. El
Salvador negotiated a peace accord that strengthened civilian rule
and human rights, and disarmed the guerilla army. Guatemala
followed suit with a national peace accord. When President Bush 41
left office in January 1993, every nation in Central America was
headed by a democratically-elected leader for the first time in
history.
But with the advent of peace and democracy, Central America once
again faded from U.S. headlines.
The Price of Neglect
Henry Stimson's brief diplomatic mission to Nicaragua -- and the
on-again, off-again nature of our attention to Central America
since 1993 -- suggest a lesson from the pages of American history.
The involvement of the United States in Central America has been
episodic, with our attention swinging from intense periods of
intervention to long periods of neglect, only to have the region
again erupt onto our front pages.
From Stimson's time to the present time, America has paid a heavy
price for neglecting Central America. Today, Central America is
once again in our headlines: We are now engaged in a great debate
about the nature of our relationship with these small but important
neighbors. Once again, we run the risk of turning our backs on
Central America. After almost two decades of democratic progress,
the advances could turn to retreat, and the region could again
slide into a new time of troubles.
Our domestic debate over the U.S.-Central America-Dominican
Republic Free Trade Agreement (CAFTA) is about much more than
trade. The people of Central America fought and struggled, and many
died, because they believed that democracy would bring not only
peace, but also a better life for them and their children. Now the
people of the region are asking the United States to help secure
the work of democracy through a closer economic relationship that
could provide a new foundation for building opportunity.
Yet never has the gap between Central America and the United States
loomed larger. Central Americans are talking about freedom,
democracy, and hope. Meanwhile, our domestic debate has been
dominated by topics such as sugar and whether CAFTA will codify
international labor conventions that the United States has not even
ratified itself.
Our domestic debate pays slight attention to the historic
opportunity to stabilize and support Central America while
promoting America's strategic interests and values.
At root, the debate on CAFTA is fundamentally about America's role
in the world and our relations in this hemisphere:
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We must decide whether we will sacrifice the strategic interests of the United States and the future of Central America… for a spoonful of sugar.
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We must decide whether we will leave hundreds of thousands of Central Americans in poverty and hopelessness… because of the short-sighted protectionism of U.S. labor unions.
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We must decide what message to send to struggling democracies in other regions, such as the Middle East, Southeast Asia, and Africa… where economic reformers are pushing for freedom and need our support.
In short, we must
decide whether to promote America's strategic interests -- or its
special interests.
The world is watching. If we retreat to isolationism, Daniel
Ortega, Hugo Chavez, and others like them -- autocrats of left or
right -- will push ahead.
The Strategic Choice: Reform or Retreat
From a strategic perspective, the choice should not be hard. In
many ways, CAFTA is the logical culmination of twenty years of
democratic and social progress in Central America, nurtured and
encouraged by the United States.
In Nicaragua, for example, for the first time in the country's
history, a former president was jailed for stealing. President
Enrique Bolaños's courageous battle against corruption set a
precedent for future leaders in the region. But President
Bolaños is now confronting a grim alliance between
unreconstructed Sandinistas and the corrupt allies of former
President Alemán. If we can't help Bolaños bring
economic opportunity to his people, the old guard that stole from a
poor people may stage a political comeback.
In Guatemala, President Oscar Berger was elected to replace Alfonso
Portillo, who fled the country in an attempt to evade corruption
charges. Berger has reduced the size of the military by more than
50 percent and has made the military's long-secret budget more
transparent. Free trade reduces and enhances governmental
transparency, curtailing state illegality and inefficient economic
regulation, strengthening President Berger's campaign against
corruption.
In Honduras, President Maduro is trying to move his country into
the 21st Century by building a dry canal between the oceans to help
integrate his country into the world economy. CAFTA is a
cornerstone of Maduro's development strategy.
In El Salvador, Antonio Saca, a progressive young President won
election by campaigning vigorously for CAFTA. Saca overcame the
former head of the Communist party of El Salvador, an FMLN
hardliner who has blocked internal reform of his party.
In the Dominican Republic, an outgoing and an incoming
administration -- though keen political opponents -- showed the
growing maturity of that democracy by working cooperatively to
address budget and financial crises. President Fernandez - like
President Mejia before him -- has pressed to make the DR part of
CAFTA to strengthen the climate for investment and hope in the
Caribbean.
These are encouraging signs and represent remarkable progress. But
the young democracies of Central America are fragile, and the old
enemies of reform have not gone away.
In Nicaragua, Daniel Ortega is still a political force. He opposes
CAFTA. Together with the jailed ex-president Alemán, Ortega
recently tried to strip power from the country's freely-elected
president through a legislative coup. The Sandinistas then incited
street protests that turned violent while Ortega was on a visit to
Havana. His methods show that while Ortega is a little older and a
little grayer, he is still an opponent of freedom.
FMLN leader Schafik Hándal of El Salvador joined Ortega's
journey to Havana, to voice support for a new Cuba-Venezuela trade
pact that he said should be a replacement for CAFTA.
The region is setting its course for the future: down one path
travel modern, democratic leaders who believe in economic reform,
adaptations to the challenges and openings of the global economy,
democracy, and better social conditions for all their peoples. Down
the other travel the pied pipers of populism, who hold out the
false promise of economic autarky achieved by the dangerous means
of political authoritarianism and personalized power.
CAFTA Will Strengthen Democracy
As the elected Presidents of Central America and Dominican Republic
explained when they visited eleven cities across the United States
before coming to Washington last week, CAFTA matters most to them
because it will strengthen the foundations of democracy by
promoting growth and cutting poverty, creating equality of
opportunity, and reducing corruption.
First, and most fundamentally, CAFTA means economic growth. When a
middle class develops and people have a larger economic stake in
their society, they demand more of a say in how that society is
run. This is profoundly important to the region's democratic
success. To strengthen democracy in the region, its people need to
see concrete benefits from economic freedom -- tangible
improvements in their daily life. Nothing is a more secure anchor
for democracy than citizens who are employed and building better
lives for their families.
Trade is a vital instrument in the toolbox of transformational
diplomacy. CAFTA will encourage the investment of new capital, both
foreign and domestic. Improved protection for intellectual property
will encourage new creative industries and access to life-saving
medicines, as we have already seen in other FTA partners, from
Jordan to Singapore. CAFTA's provisions will encourage competitive
and modern services industries, which supply the infrastructure of
development -- for telecommunications, financial, distribution,
express delivery, or energy services. Without these service
networks, countries will have a difficult time integrating into a
world of global sourcing, investment, transportation, and
information flows.
The long-term certainty of special trade and business access to the
large and dynamic U.S. market will lead to more growth and less
poverty. Our recent free trade agreement with Chile expanded
exports -- on both sides -- by more than 30 percent in the first
year, and U.S. exports jumped over 50 percent in the first quarter
of 2005. By opening its economy and embracing far-reaching economic
reforms and disciplines, Chile cut poverty by more than half in the
last decade. The record from around the world is clear: Nations
that open markets to trade and encourage foreign investment do
better in raising incomes and reducing poverty.
Second, CAFTA will promote equality of opportunity in economies
long dominated by economic elites. For centuries Central American
society has been highly stratified, with\ a few powerful families
controlling the vast majority of economic activity. CAFTA will
create opportunities for people from all walks of life. Dealer
protection laws, which for decades gave exclusive rights to
distribute products to a select few, will be eliminated. Trade
capacity-building assistance will be targeted at helping small
entrepreneurs to build businesses. Tariffs protecting companies
controlled by a small number of powerful families will be swept
away. In both the United States and in Central America, the costs
of protection fall more heavily on poorer families, who devote a
greater share of meager funds to consumption.
Third, CAFTA goes beyond cutting tariffs to require broad changes
in the way economies and polities operate, challenging those who
have grown corrupt and complacent in captive, uncompetitive
markets. The agreement requires fair and open rules in customs
administration, government procurement, and services regulation. It
criminalizes bribery, casts sunlight on procedures long hidden from
public scrutiny, and strengthens the rule of law. Under CAFTA
economies will be based on rules, not corrupt relationships.
Fourth, CAFTA contains unprecedented provisions to strengthen the
role of civil society groups and individual citizens, the threads
that weave the modern democratic fabric. Groundbreaking
environmental provisions not only require effective enforcement of
laws protecting the environment, but also give citizens a much
greater role in highlighting and correcting trade-related
environmental abuses. To improve protection of workers, the
countries of the region invited the International Labor
Organization to conduct a thorough and wide-ranging review of their
labor laws and enforcement efforts. They then worked with the
Inter-American Development Bank to identify specific improvements
that will help protect worker rights.
These openings provide important new opportunities for
non-governmental organizations to support economic development with
attention to particular societal concerns. Patricia Forkan of
Humane Society International recently told Congress, "the momentum
brought about by the DR-CAFTA has brought the issues of protecting
the environment, habitat and species protection, and the need for
balancing environmental protections and economic development to the
forefront in Central America. The Central Americans are…
asking for our assistance, our friendship, and our support."
Trade is not, standing alone, a guarantee of democratic freedom.
Comprehensive free trade agreements can play a vital role, but
should also be linked with policies to combine trade and aid. That
is why the Administration is working to make sure our economic
assistance programs and our trade agenda go hand in hand, with more
than $80 million in trade-related capacity building assistance in
2004. At the State Department, for example, we are directing our
economic assistance programs in Central America toward better
enforcement of labor laws, protection of the environment, fighting
corruption, and strengthening the practices of democracy. And we
are working with multilateral institutions like the Inter-American
Development Bank to make concrete improvements in labor law
enforcement and to assist countries to benefit from more open
markets.
CAFTA and U.S. Security
CAFTA is the right thing to do because it will strengthen democracy
through economic growth and open societies based on the rule of
law. But from a strategic perspective, it is also the smart thing
to do for the United States, because we do not live in isolation
from what happens in Central America.
Our security is connected to development in our neighborhood.
Criminal gangs, drug trafficking, even trafficking in persons
create dangerous transnational networks. CAFTA offers a way to
treat the cause, rather than just the symptoms, of the problems in
our neighborhood. CAFTA will also strengthen our ties of
partnership with more robust democratic governments that have a
shared interest in countering these threats.
Economic growth, more equitable income distribution, and opening
opportunity are keys to resolving the security problems that menace
North and Central America today. When there is instability and
poverty in our neighborhood, it is common sense to help our
neighbors address those problems at home rather than import them
into our own country.
As long as there is poverty in Latin America, some will still see a
powerful incentive to leave their homes, their families and their
friends to come to the United States. Some will break our laws to
do so, and tragically, others will die trying. CAFTA will ease the
crushing poverty that motivates such migration. As Americans, we
want people to have the opportunity to come to our country legally
and enrich our society. But we want that decision to be driven by
choice, not by economic desperation.
Collectively, the United States, Central America and the Dominican
Republic face a common challenge: the rise of China as a major
economic power. Through CAFTA, we can unite within our hemisphere
to better face that challenge. In businesses such as textiles and
apparel, and increasingly in other industries as well, companies in
the United States are closely linked with producers in the region.
A t-shirt that says, "Made in Honduras" is likely to contain more
than sixty percent U.S. content, while a t-shirt that says, "Made
in China" is likely to contain virtually none. This is why both the
National Council of Textile Organizations and the National Cotton
Council support CAFTA. The agreement will strengthen links with
important economic partners in the face of rising competition from
China.
Ironically, if economic isolationists torpedo CAFTA over issues
such as labor rights, apparel production and other similar
industries will move to China. This highlights the inherent
contradiction in the position of CAFTA's opponents. They claim to
be concerned about worker rights, yet seem to ignore the
devastation for workers that would result from defeating the
agreement. The competitive challenge from China has changed the
strategic equation: without CAFTA, tens of thousands of Central
Americans and Dominicans will be thrown out of work and back into
poverty and hopelessness. And many of them will end up on our
borders. The opponents of CAFTA are not offering something better
for the people of Central America. They are turning their backs on
them.
Opponents claim to be defending poor people and working families
against the ravages of globalization. But the country in Latin
America that has dramatically reduced inequality, unemployment, and
poverty in recent decades while also increasing real wages and
pensions for working families is Chile -- the country that has most
opened its economy to free trade.
If CAFTA is voted down, the region's poor will not improve their
lot; instead investment will be diverted elsewhere, Central America
and the Dominican Republic will grow more slowly, wages will be
lower, and a door to upward mobility for the region's poor will be
slammed in their face.
If CAFTA is defeated, it will not be replaced by some mythical,
"perfect" agreement that incorporates every opponent's wish list of
provisions; instead Central America and the Dominican Republic will
be at a permanent disadvantage.
If CAFTA is defeated, labor rights in Central America will not be
strengthened; instead workers in the region will lose thousands
more jobs to China, competition for work will be more desperate,
and in that environment democratic trade unions and workers' rights
will be weaker.
The right answer on labor rights is to extend a helping hand to
improve enforcement of the laws on the books, to encourage ongoing
labor reforms, to draw U.S. businesses that provide better
conditions, and to increase prosperity.
Opportunity or Fear?
More than seventy-five years ago, frustrated by his experience in
Nicaragua, Henry Stimson wrote that the people of that country
"were not fitted for the responsibilities that go with independence
and still less fitted for popular self-government."
Fifteen years ago, former Costa Rican president Oscar Arias made a
more accurate observation. He said, "Without democracy, there can
be no peace."
For most of the 20th Century, Central America was plagued by civil
war, social strife, and violent conflict. Today, it is a region of
fragile democracies seeking a closer economic partnership with the
United States. These countries are looking North because they
believe in the United States -- not for dependency, but for
opportunity. They simply want a chance to compete, to trade, to
build with us. But success is not assured, for the old enemies of
reform are still close at hand.
For the United States, CAFTA represents a strategic choice about
our role in the region, Latin America, and the world. We must
decide whether we will stand with those who stand for freedom, and
whether we will stare down the old specter of economic
isolationism. It would be a mistake of historic proportions if we
turned our back on these struggling democracies. CAFTA is an
opportunity to sustain and support the work of democratic reform in
a region whose problems -- if ignored once again -- would quickly
become our own, as they have before.
For Central America and the Dominican Republic, CAFTA is a chance
to strengthen democracy, expand economies, reduce poverty and
corruption, and widen the circle of economic opportunity. It is
also a challenge to the United States to complete the work of
democracy and peace that we began two decades ago.
For all of us, CAFTA is the opportunity of a generation.
To seize it, the President will need your help.
As I have made the case for CAFTA to the Congress, I have been
struck that leaders from opposing sides in the political conflicts
over Central America in the 1980s - Senator Dodd from one
perspective, Chairmen Hyde and Dreier along with Senator McCain
from another -- come together on CAFTA.
These veterans know the high price of fighting for democracy in
Central and Latin America. They know the stakes in the vote on
CAFTA.
We need you -- each of you -- to have a voice in this debate. The
Members of Congress will be casting a vote on America's future.
This is a vote historians will write about.
We need you to ensure Congress knows the stakes.
I am confident that in the end the Congress of the United States
will not turn its back on Central America and the Dominican
Republic. I believe a bipartisan majority of farsighted members of
the Congress will ratify this historic agreement just as they
supported the Caribbean Basin Initiatives in the past.
Thank you for helping.
Robert B. Zoellick is Deputy Secretary of State. He delivered
these remarks to The Heritage Foundation on May 16, 2005.