Nuclear power has many advantages over other power sources, but a global expansion of peaceful nuclear technology could present risks if not managed properly. While acting to mitigate these risks, U.S. policy should, as in other sectors, include pro-market regulatory reforms, foster competition, and avoid unnecessary intervention. The government will, however, have a more direct role in the nuclear sector than in most industries due to its history and the nature of the technology. Following the government-induced stagnation of the industry in the 1970s and 1980s, the private sector remains leery of making large investments without a clear sign that the government will not regulate the industry out of business again. To reap the benefits of nuclear power, while minimizing the risks, the United States must commit to reestablishing itself as a technology leader in commercial nuclear power, avoid unwanted foreign dependencies, modernize its approach to waste disposal, promote marketplace freedom, and modify its approach to nonproliferation. The 10 straightforward principles laid out in this paper should guide Congress and the Administration's actions.
1. Avoid creating dependency-based
vulnerabilities.
To the casual observer, nuclear energy is domestically produced.
The plants exist in America, are generally operated by Americans,
and generate electricity distributed to Americans. This is a narrow
view, however; it does not respect the significance of the
industrial and intellectual base that produces the people,
components, and fuel necessary to build and operate nuclear plants.
After three decades of decline, the domestic industrial base does
not have the capacity to produce the components for a single
reactor.
This lack of capacity goes beyond items that are easily found on the international market. Essential components, such as heavy forgings (the enormous pieces of metal out of which components are manufactured) and specialized piping, are not available domestically and are in limited supply internationally. These industrial bottlenecks could be difficult to overcome as nuclear plant construction ramps up. Ultimately, there is little difference between relying on foreign oil or foreign manufacturing if both allow America's ability to produce energy to be disrupted by foreign interests. This reliance creates opportunities for others to exercise power over the U.S. Minimizing these leverage points is central to advancing national interests. The Administration and Congress must avoid the potential vulnerabilities and risks associated with foreign energy dependence.
2. Establish technological leadership across the
spectrum of military, civilian, and commercial nuclear
activities.
The international influx of investment to the commercial nuclear
sector (public and private) almost guarantees that more advanced
nuclear technologies, some of which could threaten the United
States, will become available to unfriendly actors. Preventing this
requires that the U.S. and its allies establish technological
superiority across the spectrum of nuclear activities. Close links
among civil, commercial, and military nuclear technologies will
assure that those nations with the most advanced commercial and
industrial capabilities are able to develop the most advanced
military technologies. Therefore, it is vitally important that
America's nuclear industrial base, along with that of its close
allies, both commercial and military, remain globally
preeminent.
3. Assure access to the components, capabilities, and
materials necessary to build, operate, and maintain America's
nuclear power plants.
Several critical sectors of the nuclear industry will have to be
strengthened to support a near-term, sustained effort to expand
America's commercial nuclear industry. For example, the very large
forgings needed to build reactors are available only in Japan,
which can provide parts for only seven or eight reactors annually.
This is not adequate to sustain a broad nuclear renaissance. Only
one U.S. company today can take those forgings and manufacture them
into the components used to build reactors. Other choke points may
include the capacity to manufacture steam generators and
specialized piping. Even if there were additional manufacturers,
there are too few skilled technicians, boilermakers, pipe fitters,
electricians, and ironworkers to support the effort. Supplies of
raw materials must also be secured. Global capacity could be enough
to support the near-term expansion of America's nuclear power
industry, but problems will arise as other nations expand their
nuclear industries simultaneously. This will seriously stress the
current infrastructure and challenge America's ability to meet its
energy needs.
4. Promote free trade as a central tenet of the global
nuclear industry.
The nuclear marketplace is often understood to be global, but this
is not exactly true. Though the U.S. market is certainly
international, with companies from around the world-many state
owned and subsidized-doing business in the United States, most
states control foreign access to their markets. American companies
are effectively barred from most countries' markets through a
combination of tariff and non-tariff barriers, bureaucracy,
protectionism, and onerous liability regimes. This is becoming a
significant issue as major manufacturing countries like China and
India and parts of Europe are developing plans to expand their
commercial nuclear capabilities. Gaining access to these markets
will be crucial to the long-term health of America's domestic
nuclear industrial base.
5. Limit subsidies to the commercial nuclear
industry.
The federal government has a critical role to play in the initial
phases of the American nuclear rebirth, but this role must be
finite. Many countries are choosing to consolidate control over
their nuclear industries to protect their strategic and economic
interests. This approach may seem attractive in the near-term-it
allows these industrial titans to underbid competition, minimize
risk calculations, and enjoy market preferences-but it will
undoubtedly leave those industries worse off in the long-term.
Congress and the Administration must resist efforts to rebuild America's commercial nuclear industry through long-term federal support. While some near-term incentives may be appropriate, given the government's part in inducing the current atrophy of the nuclear industrial base, industry must not become dependent on subsidies. An American industry that grows out of the free market will be stronger over the long term. Furthermore, a competitive, market-driven U.S. industry will provide critical competition to the state-owned and state-supported companies that currently lead the commercial sector. Strong competition will force these nationalized and quasi-nationalized industries to maintain high quality standards. Quality assurance is critical to the success of nuclear energy, because an accident at one facility could negatively impact the entire industry.
6. Recognize nuclear power as a clean and abundant
energy source.
It is not good that the federal government is working to pick
winners and losers in the energy market. The results will surely be
increased costs and limited choices for U.S. consumers. Instead,
once a set of goals and priorities are set following adequate
public debate, the government should remain technology-neutral. In
the current political climate, however, this may be unrealistic. If
the government is not able to be neutral, it should at least do as
little harm as possible. Federal laws, programs, and regulations
should recognize nuclear power as an emissions-free, domestic
energy source just like wind, solar, and other favorites of the
environmental community. Furthermore, nuclear energy is abundant.
Whether or not it fits the strict definition of "renewable," the
fact is that known uranium stocks will last for a very long
time-perhaps centuries or even millennia, with certain fuel
recycling technologies.
7. Move beyond a Yucca-only approach to spent nuclear
fuel.
When the nuclear industry was in decline, there was little
incentive to resolve the Yucca impasse or develop alternatives, but
renewed interest in expanding America's nuclear fleet demands a
change in policy. The expansion of nuclear power in the United
States should not be held hostage to political differences over the
use of Yucca Mountain as a nuclear by-product repository.
Although Yucca is critical to the overall future of nuclear power in the United States, other disposition options do exist. The recycling (capturing the unused energy from spent nuclear fuel) component of the President's Global Nuclear Energy Partnership is an important part of moving beyond Yucca. Depending on how technology evolves, recycling spent nuclear fuel could reduce the amount of highly radioactive waste that will require permanent storage. In addition, utilities have demonstrated the potential of interim storage over the past four decades, as they safely kept spent nuclear fuel while waiting for the government to take title of the material. The most appropriate policy will likely combine on-site, interim, and permanent storage with recycling.
8. Recognize that nuclear weapons are not the result of
peaceful nuclear energy programs.
Nuclear energy critics often argue that the threat of nuclear
weapons proliferation outweighs any potential benefits of nuclear
power. While civilian nuclear power has been used to clandestinely
pursue nuclear weapons programs in the past, there is no causal
link between the two. As has been demonstrated consistently
throughout history, states act in their interests and generally
behave according to agreed norms only to the extent that doing so
advances their national objectives. Therefore, limiting the
technology development of peaceful nations will not serve to limit
the threatening behavior of other nations. With very few
exceptions, law-abiding countries do not divert their energy
programs for weaponry.
9. Modify international nuclear regimes to better manage
a global nuclear renaissance.
The prevailing thrust of global nonproliferation policy has been
to keep weapons out of the hands of non-weapons states. The grand
bargain of the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty was that its parties
would have access to all nuclear technology so long as it was not
weaponized. This allowed countries like Iran and North Korea to
operate within the letter of the treaty while amassing technology
to begin a weapons program. With the growth of nuclear power, the
focus should be on the fuel cycle. Rather than be based on five
nuclear weapons states, the nonproliferation regime should be based
on a limited number of nuclear diverse fuel states. Some countries
could still pursue nuclear weapons, but by focusing on fuel cycle
activities, this nonproliferation regime would make such nations
much easier to identify, because they will have moved beyond the
bounds of international norms much earlier in the process.
10. Pursue nuclear power programs that make the U.S.
government work better.
Because of the integrated nature of the nuclear industry,
government programs work symbiotically with the private sector. The
United States should not fund programs simply to support the
nuclear industry; legitimate programs, however, will assure that
the United States maintains critical capabilities that nuclear
technology uniquely provides and serve as vital investment in
essential intellectual capital. For example, growing the Navy's
fleet of nuclear submarines and surface ships will help meet
critical national security requirements and strengthen the domestic
commercial industrial base. Rationalizing, streamlining, and
modernizing the nation's nuclear weapons complex and the Department
of Energy laboratory system would not only save taxpayers money but
would also strengthen domestic nuclear capability.
These programs not only make financial sense and provide significant operational upgrades but also demonstrate U.S. commitment to nuclear energy. These are the most important activities that the government can undertake to stimulate the nuclear industry, and undertaking them bolsters private-sector investor confidence. Ultimately, these steps would lead to a robust nuclear industrial base and the development of the skilled personnel base required to support an expansion of nuclear power in the United States.
Conclusion
The United States risks cementing its status in the second tier of
commercial nuclear power states unless it takes action. While
European and Asian companies aggressively work to meet the emerging
demands of a growing commercial nuclear market, America's industry
has lost its capacity, intellectual expertise, and competitive
edge. For economic and national security reasons, U.S. policy must
change to better promote and manage the growth of nuclear
power.
Jack Spencer is Research Fellow in Nuclear Energy in the Thomas A. Roe Institute for Economic Policy Studies at The Heritage Foundation.