Gordon Brown is neglecting the Atlantic Alliance.
Gordon Brown flies into Washington this week a day after the
pope does. The timing is unfortunate for the dour British prime
minister, whose D.C. visit will be hugely overshadowed by the
eagerly anticipated arrival of the far more dynamic Benedict XVI.
Whereas tens of thousands of Americans will queue up for a glimpse
of John Paul II's successor, Brown will garner little public
attention outside the White House, where he meets with President
Bush on Thursday. His predecessor Tony Blair always attracted
intense interest on his numerous trips to Washington. But Brown is
no Blair.
The new Labour prime minister will no doubt be hoping for a little
of the pope's popularity to rub off on him -- as he probably needs
a minor miracle to rescue his political fortunes. Brown's approval
rating is stunningly low -- and if a general election were held
today, Conservative David Cameron would be the new British prime
minister.
Divine intervention might be required to improve the state of
U.S.-UK relations, which have deteriorated since Blair left Downing
Street last June. While the Anglo-American "special relationship"
continues at many levels behind the scenes -- from intelligence
cooperation to collaboration over missile defense -- significant
signs of strain are beginning to show over the handling of the wars
in Iraq and Afghanistan, and the broader war against Islamist
terrorism.
In a disturbing move, Gordon Brown's government has dropped the
60-year old phrase "special relationship." Meanwhile, in deference
to the European Union, Britain's newly unveiled National Security
Strategy points out that while "the partnership with the United
States is our most important bilateral relationship," the "EU has a
vital role in securing a safer world both within and beyond the
borders of Europe" -- putting Brussels on at least equal footing
with Washington. Ironically, while Brown has avoided the term,
France's Nicolas Sarkozy used it when he addressed the House of
Commons last month to refer admiringly to the Anglo-American
alliance.
The Brown administration is likewise leery of any reference to the
"war on terror." The NSS even states that "while terrorism
represents a threat to all our communities, and an attack on our
way of life, it does not at present amount to a strategic threat"
-- a staggeringly naive assessment considering that British
intelligence estimates that al-Qaeda has at least 2,000 operatives
in the U.K. In contrast to Bush and Blair, Brown's government
refuses to acknowledge that Islamist terrorism is out to destroy
Western civilization, and instead treats the al-Qaeda threat as a
domestic law-and-order problem.
Brown's government refuses to increase British defense spending,
which currently stands at less than 2.3 percent of GDP, its lowest
level since the 1930s (the U.S. spends 3.7 percent of GDP).
Britain's military is massively overstretched and under-funded,
with huge manpower and equipment shortages, and faces billions of
dollars in further cuts over the next few years. The decline in
British military power is highlighted by the gutting of the Royal
Navy, which has dwindled from 136 ships and 38 submarines in 1987
to now just 75 and 13, respectively. Today, it would be almost
impossible for Britain to mount a military operation like the 1982
Falklands War. As U.K. Shadow Defense Secretary Liam Fox has
commented, "Labour has done what none of this country's enemies
have been able to do: bring the Navy to its knees."
The decline in British military capability is a major concern for
the U.S., increasing the global burden on America's armed forces
and reducing the force projection of Washington's only large-scale
military ally.
In the recent battle for Basra between Iraqi security forces and
the Iranian-backed Mahdi Army led by Moqtada al-Sadr, the U.S. air
force and hundreds of American ground forces were involved in the
Iraqi offensive to retake the city; British soldiers stationed
outside the city were ordered by their political superiors not to
intervene, except for limited logistical and artillery
support.
The non-involvement of British forces was the product of both
dramatically weakened troop strength (down to 4,100 men from a
height of 45,000), and a lack of political will on the part of the
British government, which fears the negative impact that troop
casualties have on the home front, and the prospect of taking on
Iranian-trained and -funded militias. The lack of British
commitment to the war in southern Iraq will ultimately force the
U.S. to deploy thousands of soldiers to the region, picking up the
slack left by the British Army and weakening America's ability to
combat al-Qaeda and its terrorist affiliates in central and
northern Iraq.
In Afghanistan, the 8,000 British troops on the ground are far
more engaged, and play a major role in Helmand Province. Still, the
bravery of British soldiers there is being undermined by poor
political leadership in London, as well as by shortages of
equipment, vehicles, and helicopters.
Britain's part-time Defense Secretary Des Browne (also Scotland's
secretary of state), gave an extraordinary interview recently which
revealed the appeasement mentality at the heart of Gordon Brown's
government. In comments to the Sunday Telegraph, Browne called for
negotiations with elements of both the Taliban and Hezbollah,
saying: "What you need to do in conflict resolution is to bring the
people who believe that the answer to their political ambitions
will be achieved through violence into a frame of mind that they
accept their political ambitions will be delivered by politics."
Such wishful thinking can only undermine morale among British
forces fighting in Afghanistan, and sharply illustrates the divide
that exists between the U.S. and U.K. over fundamental aspects of
the war on terror. This followed the February's revelation in the
Financial Times that the British government had secret plans to
build training camps in Helmand for former Taliban fighters, a move
strongly condemned by the Karzai government.
When he arrives in Washington this week, Gordon Brown will have a
major credibility problem. It is hard to be taken seriously as a
supporter of the Anglo-American alliance when he has banned his
diplomats from using the term "special relationship." Nor can he be
seen as a reliable military partner when he refuses to support a
robust role for British troops in Iraq and allows Britain's armed
forces to wither through budgetary neglect. Nor is he helped by a
defense secretary who believes Britain should be talking to
Hezbollah.
The U.S.-UK alliance has been the most successful partnership of
modern times -- a far more effective defender of the free world
than any international organization. If the special relationship
were to collapse, the security and prosperity of both the United
States and Great Britain would suffer. Its demise would also
embolden our mutual enemies, leaving the world a far more dangerous
place. It remains to be seen if the special relationship can
survive Gordon Brown's determined indifference. With all the clergy
in D.C. this week, this intention should be on their prayer
list.
Nile Gardiner is the Director of the Margaret Thatcher Center for Freedom at the Heritage Foundation.
First appeared in National Review