As Yogi Berra once said, "This is deja vu all over again." On
May 9, heavy military equipment will once again roll down Moscow's
Red Square for the Victory Day military parade. Tanks, missiles,
and 6,000 troops will be joined overhead by fighter aircraft and
military helicopters. The last time Moscow saw such a display of
military hardware was November 1990, before the collapse of the
Soviet Union.
The parade is designed to generate nostalgia among the Russian
people and to signal the U.S., NATO members and Russia's neighbors
that Russia's power is back. It also illustrates President Vladimir
Putin's emphasis on the military and security services at the
expense of modern, democratic institutions.
Mr. Putin has justified Russia's rebuilding of its military muscle
in a speech to the State Council, claiming the new arms race has
been triggered "by the world's most developed countries" - a clear
reference to the United States. In response to this threat, the
Kremlin plans to deploy new weapons claimed to be equal or better
than its Western equivalents. Also, research and development in
revolutionary biological, nano- and information technologies with
military applications will continue.
President Putin's government is reaffirming the central role that
the military and the security services play as pillars of the
Russian state. This is yet another indication from the Kremlin that
the so-called "power" ministries and agencies are the bedrocks of
the Russian Federation - as opposed to democracy, a multiparty
system, free media, fair elections, and the separation of
powers.
The parade is a signal to the world and to the Russian people that
the armed forces matter again, after a decade or so of decay.
Strategically, the display of newly built weapon systems - like the
road-mobile Topol-M intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs),
S-300 mobile long-range surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), bombers and
fighters - are intended to show that the Russian military is
resurging. To the Russian people, the parade will convey a sense of
national pride and security in the face of external threats, and
that Russia is a great power again. This is a hallmark of Mr.
Putin's new Russia and a revival of the Soviet and czarist
tradition of showing off the country's military prowess.
In essence, the parade is another sign Russia is going "back to
the future." It wants to return the military - as well as other
instruments of state power, from oil and gas exports to secret
police and a subservient judiciary - to the forefront in 21st
century Russian foreign policy.
Mr. Putin said two years ago that the Soviet collapse was "the
greatest geo-political catastrophe of the 20th century." Clearly,
the Soviet Union was Mr. Putin's country. During his career as a
KGB officer, he cultivated a sense of duty and loyalty to the state
(and to his "guild" of intelligence officers, many of whom now rule
Russia).
Since becoming president, his nostalgia for the Soviet past has
manifested in the readoption of symbols from the communist period.
When that era ended, President Boris Yeltsin resurrected national
symbols from the czarist period, including the tricolor Russian
national flag, the imperial double-headed eagle on the state coat
of arms, and the 19th century-style gala uniforms of the Kremlin
guard.
These symbols have been complemented by the communist Red Star,
which appears on military aircraft; the readoption of Josef
Stalin's Soviet anthem tune as Russia's anthem; the use of
"comrade" as a form of address within the military services; and
the placement of a bronze bust of Felix Dzerzhinsky in the
courtyard of the Interior Ministry in Moscow. Dzerzhinsky was the
founder of Lenin's dreaded secret police, the Cheka, and was
responsible for arresting, exiling, torturing and executing
countless victims. His successors in the secret services still
commemorate Dec. 20 as Chekist Day, recalling the day in 1917 when
the "Iron Felix" founded the Cheka, the predecessor of Stalin's
NKVD, the KGB and today's FSB.
The coexistence of czarist and Soviet symbols is a way to connect
Russia's present and past. According to a spokesman for the Moscow
Patriarchate, the use of both symbols means that "the continuity of
all Russian history is restored and demonstrated." The actions of
Mr. Putin's government show this continuity is not limited to
symbols. Mr. Putin also demonstrates his intent to restore the
state's historically central role in managing the politics, media
and economy in Russia.
The public display of Russia's military might reaffirms the power
of that centuries-old Eurasian leviathan, the Russian state.
Russia's resurgence is not limited to military parades, but
includes military deployments and maneuvers, as well as procurement
of weapon systems. Last year, Mr. Putin ordered regular patrols of
strategic bombers resumed deep into the Atlantic and Pacific
airspace. The Strategic Missile Forces are deploying silo-based and
mobile ICBMs. Moreover, Jan. 21-23, for the first time in 15 years,
the Russian Navy staged a large-scale exercise in the Bay of
Biscay, including its aircraft carrier and strategic bombers
together with air-refueling tankers and airborne early-warning
aircraft.
The announced rearmament, the parade, global maneuvers and new
weapon systems are designed to make others respect Russia as well
as deter NATO and the United States, which is viewed by Mr. Putin
as a hegemonic superpower seeking to harm Russia.
The fanfare communicates Russia's intentions to change the global
"correlation of forces" in its favor and signals Russia's neighbors
to do its bidding and not challenge its security or
interests.
Russia is back on the world stage with all the attributes of
power, including wealth and military might, for all to see. The
next administration will have its hands full dealing with resurgent
Moscow.
Ariel Cohen, Ph.D., is senior research fellow at The Heritage Foundation.
First appeared in the Washington Times