The past month has been grim for British Prime Minister Gordon
Brown on several fronts. The ruling Labor party has become
embroiled in what may become a huge scandal over illegal secret
campaign donations, that threatens to bring down its deputy leader
Harriet Harman. After years of boom, house prices are beginning to
fall in the U.K. and major British banks are being hit by the
fallout from the collapse of the U.S. sub prime mortgage market.
Confidence in the government's ability to handle the economy has
plummeted, and the Brown administration is also facing growing
public disillusionment with the state of British schools and health
care, as well as its handling of crime and immigration.
The latest YouGov poll for the London Daily
Telegraph puts the rejuvenated Conservative party 11
points ahead, the biggest lead for the Tories since 1988, a loss of
over 22 percentage points for Labor in the space of just two
months. It is a stunning reversal of fortune described by leading
British electoral expert Anthony King as "among the most
devastating for any Government in the history of opinion polling."
Gordon Brown's own personal approval rating has plunged to a
miserly 23 percent, a figure that makes President Bush's standing
in the polls look sky high by comparison.
On the international front things are going less than swimmingly
for Brown too. To add to his domestic woes, the Conservative leader
David Cameron was greeted by President Bush at the White House on
Thursday -- a rare honor for an opposition leader, and a clear sign
of growing frustration on this side of the Atlantic with the Brown
government. Cameron (together with his Shadow Foreign Secretary
William Hague) also met with Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice,
National Security Adviser Stephen Hadley, and Treasury Secretary
Hank Paulson, delivered a strong
speech on the future of the Balkans, and laid a wreath at
Arlington National Cemetery in honor of America's war dead.
Cameron still has a mountain to climb before he can even hope to
fill the shoes of illustrious predecessors such as Margaret
Thatcher or Winston Churchill, and needs to adopt a clearer set of
conservative principles in the process, but his trip to Washington
was mature and statesmanlike, and a warning signal to Brown that
the era of New Labor dominance may be coming to an end.
In his first few months in power, Gordon Brown has badly misplayed
his hand with the Anglo-American alliance. Aside from a strong
commitment to the British mission in Afghanistan, where over 7,000
British troops are currently based, he has sent conflicting signals
on Iraq at a time when American troops have been making significant
progress. Moreover, he has demonstrated little leadership over the
Iranian nuclear question, and has strongly supported the new
European Union Reform Treaty, which will undermine British
sovereignty and the transatlantic alliance.
Brown's handling of the Iraq issue in particular has strained
relations with Washington. After emphatically ruling out a
timetable for the withdrawal of British forces in August, he
dramatically reversed course in October, by announcing that the
U.K. would reduce its troop strength by more than half by spring
2008. The decision to cut troop numbers may have been politically
expedient with the prospect of a general election in the air, but
it made no sense in military terms, and was a clear invitation to
Iran to step into the vacuum left by the British in Basra and
southern Iraq.
In addition, the disastrous appointment of the viscerally
anti-American Mark Malloch Brown as minister for Africa, Asia, and
the United Nations, sent a chill through the special relationship.
The appointment of the former chief of staff to Kofi Annan was a
huge slap in the face for White House, and sent a clear signal that
the new Prime Minister was keen to demonstrate a sharp break with
the close-knit Bush-Blair partnership. Just days into his new job,
the gaffe-prone Malloch Brown gave an outspoken interview to the
Telegraph in which he boasted that Britain and America were no
longer "joined at the hip" prompting a swift slap down from Foreign
Secretary David Miliband. He has also suggested that Britain might negotiate with
the likes of Hamas and Hezbollah. More recently Malloch Brown has been the subject of
intense media scrutiny over his taxpayer-funded grace and favor
residence in London, a privilege also given only to the prime
minister and the chancellor of the Exchequer in the current
cabinet.
While some of Brown's appointments have been embarrassingly high
profile, Gordon Brown himself has been more like the invisible man
on the world stage. He appears strikingly disinterested in the
gathering storm over Iran, the genocide in Darfur, and other major
international crises of the day. He has been outclassed and
outmaneuvered by his closest rival in Europe, the enigmatic French
President Nicolas Sarkozy, whose recent visit to Washington was a
triumph for U.S.-French relations. The French leader delivered a
brilliant speech to Congress that drew so many standing ovations
that he almost had to blush. While 9 out of 10 Americans probably
could not identify the British pPrime minister, a sizeable chunk
would know who Sarkozy is.
In contrast, Brown's first visit to the White House in July was
businesslike, but dull and underwhelming. While Sarkozy wowed
Washington's policy elites last month, Brown largely bored them.
Unlike his far more charismatic predecessor Tony Blair, Brown seems
dispassionate about foreign policy, and looks more interested in
the minutiae of interest rates and currency fluctuations than he is
in projecting British power across the world. The Prime Minister
seemed unenthusiastic about the Special Relationship, and made no
serious attempt to make his mark in the United States. In contrast
to many in his own party, Brown is not instinctively anti-American,
but he has made no real effort to reach out to Britain's closest
ally.
Brown's lackluster approach is not only bad for his personal
standing, but for Britain and the Anglo-American alliance too. It's
embarrassing for Britain to be out-hawked by the French of all
people, not least when Paris has offered little of substance on the
table but a great deal of spin. Brown must take a stronger stand on
the Iranian nuclear issue, and the U.S. and U.K. must remain united
in confronting the greatest threat of our generation.
The Prime Minister must play a bigger role in leading the campaign
for European-wide sanctions against Iran, and Britain must do more
to pressure the Germans in particular on the issue -- there are a
staggering 5,000 German companies doing business in Iran. He must
also make it clear that Britain will support the use of military
force against Iran's nuclear facilities if the regime does not halt
its drive to acquire nuclear weapons capability. The likely U.K.
role in a military operation against Iran, probably involving the
key strategic air base at the British protectorate of Diego Garcia
in the Indian Ocean, as well as world-class Special Forces units
and intelligence operatives, would be a significant one.
In terms of the quality of her armed services, and ability to
deploy highly trained forces worldwide as well as significant
diplomatic clout, Britain still remains the world's second most
powerful nation (and fourth-largest economy), ahead of Russia,
China, and her European competitors. Brown needs to run a foreign
policy that reflects this, and not a weak-kneed one that looks more
like Belgium's than that of a global power that just 60 years ago
ruled over a quarter of the world. British defense spending must be
significantly increased in order to deal with mounting threats to
national security. The current spending level of 2.2-percent of GDP
is pitifully inadequate, and stands at its lowest level since the
1930s. Realistically, Britain needs to be spending at least 3 to 4
percent of GDP to be able to handle several conflicts at the same
time, from Afghanistan, to Africa and the Middle East.
Brown must also take a stronger stand on human rights issues, from
Darfur to Burma to Zimbabwe, and demonstrate some real British
leadership on these matters. The Foreign Office's decision to send
Mark Malloch Brown to the December 8-9 EU-African Union summit in
Lisbon, attended by Zimbabwean dictator Robert Mugabe, instead of
boycotting it altogether, is an act of political cowardice. Downing
Street must send a message that there can be no welcome mat in
Europe for leaders of odious tyrannies that brutalize and starve
their own people. While the Brussels establishment continues to
kowtow to despots in the name of diplomacy, Great Britain should
refuse to play along.
With its long and distinguished history in the region, Britain
must take a lead role in stopping the genocide in Darfur that has
already claimed up to 400,000 lives at the hands of the murderous
tyranny in Khartoum and its puppet Janjaweed militias. In addition
to pressing for hard-hitting targeted sanctions aimed at the
leadership of the Sudanese regime, London should work with Paris in
exploring a possible Anglo-French military intervention to halt the
genocide in Darfur, as well as building support for the
establishment of a NATO-enforced no-fly zone. The West cannot stand
by while thousands more innocents are slaughtered or raped by
marauding gangs of barbaric militias backed by the al-Bashir
regime. The over-hyped U.N. peacekeeping mission has barely got off
the ground, and will only contain African Union troops at the
insistence of Khartoum, a surefire recipe for inaction and
failure.
An increasingly dangerous world needs more British leadership, not
less. It is unrealistic to expect the United States to shoulder all
of the West's burdens, from combating the Iranian nuclear threat
and defeating al-Qaeda, to standing up to acts of ethnic cleansing
and mass murder. It is vital that London play a bigger role
internationally alongside Washington in facing the major challenges
of our time. As Prime Minister, Gordon Brown has so far been a
crushing disappointment on the world stage, more of a lamb than a
lion. This is a state of affairs that will only serve to weaken
Britain's standing as a global power and undermine the future of
the Special Relationship.
Nile Gardiner is the director of the Margaret Thatcher Center for Freedom.
First appeared in the National Review Online